The pond regrets having to put the bromancer in a late arvo slot, all the more so because it suggests, in a deeply perverse way, that Dame Groan might have had something original or interesting to say this morning...
But right at the moment when all the news was focused on King Donald and the Marrickville mauler, the bromancer chose to focus on Susssan's battle with the lettuce ...
By all accounts the pond's plunge on the lettuce is looking good ...
The pond tried to do the right thing by providing an archive link ...
But the archive is a fragile beast, and so a late arvo celebration of the lizard Oz's alleged foreign affairs editor yet again meddling in domestic affairs...
The header: Note to Coalition: free market is a tool, not a god, It’s insane that Andrew Hastie, Jacinta Nampijinpa Price and Matt Canavan are on the backbench. It’s like a cricket team intentionally fielding a second XI.
The caption for the risible uncredited collage: Opposition Sussan Ley, ‘who can’t manage her team’, and Andrew Hastie and Jacinta Nampijinpa Price.
As the bromancer has mentioned markets, please allow the pond a little detour, a note on how there are many alternatives to reptile reading.
The latest copy of the NYRB dropped into the letter box the other day - it's the last gasp of tree killers in the pond home - and there was this beguiling offering from Suzanne Schneider ...
From the Cesspool to the Mainstream, The “new fusionist” intellectuals are the missing link between nineteenth-century race science, twentieth-century libertarianism, and the contemporary alt-right. (*archive link)
Just a teaser trailer...
Slobodian skillfully shows how Rothbard, Brimelow, Hoppe, and the other intellectuals of this movement emerged from prominent neoliberal institutions like the Mont Pelerin Society (MPS), the Manhattan Institute, and the Ludwig von Mises Institute. Founded in 1947 by the Austrian philosopher Friedrich Hayek, MPS has proved the most influential of these bodies, counting among its members luminaries such as Milton Friedman, James Buchanan, and Gary Becker. Their arguments in support of privatization, deregulation, and regressive taxation formed the intellectual core of the Reagan revolution. Reagan joined MPS’s libertarian economic and philosophical outlook to social conservatism and hawkish anticommunism, heralding the advent of the neoliberal era.
The pond couldn't help thinking of crazed Murdochians and in particular of the bromancer.
While at the NYRB, please be sure to drop in on Jacob Weisberg's Algorithm Nation, Fights about digital filtering tools have turned more and more bitter. That’s because of their extraordinary power to shape both political opinion and mass culture. (*archive link)
The pond refuses to honour logarithms with their preferred pronoun, as Uncle Leon got a serve ...
That these were far-right voices only underscores the point: X is now the kingdom of Musk, and anyone else posts at his pleasure. Instead of optimizing for growth and revenue, the way Facebook does, he optimizes the site for his ever-changing moods. Musk has done what Zuckerberg at his worst has never done: seized his megaphone for a monologue.
On to the bromancer megaphone in a moment, but first a link to Geoff Mann's The Price of Tomorrow, The current discount rate means that the government views the long-term future of humanity as not metaphorically but literally worthless (*archive link) is a rather dry meditation on the matter of discounting, and the way that market mechanisms destroy the future.
It does begin with a nice quote ...
The nineteenth-century abolitionist Lorenzo Dow, who spent years wandering the US as a revivalist preacher, once wrote of the American settler’s unholy hunger for more:
And what does he want with more land? Why, he wishes to raise more corn—to feed more hogs—to buy more land—to raise more corn—to feed more hogs—to buy more land—and in this circle he moves until the Almighty stops his hoggish proceedings.
More than a century and a half later, we have had all the hoggish proceedings we can take. Carl Sandburg quoted Dow’s phrase in a 1936 poem critical of American economic mythology, in which a businessman crows about how “it wasn’t luck nor the breaks/nor a convenient public/but it was him, ‘I,’ ‘Me,’/and the idea and the inference is/the pay and the praise should be his.” Since then, the drive for yield, the celebration of those who seek it, and the supplication before the investors who demand it has only intensified. Risks and sacrifices today are supposed to deliver a future of more as soon as possible.
... but ends in gloom ...
Speaking of defective, that brings the pond back to the bromancer, who somehow in his defective way imagines the defective The Price is Wrong, the Canavan caravan, and the pasty Hastie might be the way forward. Always wanting more in a clueless way, without ever considering what that more might mean ....
With all that other reading to hand, there hardly seems any point bothering with the clueless bromancer, and yet here we are, as the bromancer began with a classic flourish of bromancer panic and hysteria ...
Both sides of politics in substance are appalling. The government, however, is easily winning the politics. It has a mostly tame media that shares its agenda, a dismal opposition, and is willing to spend any amount of money to mollify interest groups.
Discussion within the opposition about whether they should be populist or orthodox, free market or interventionist, socially conservative or liberal, whether they should demand big, or extremely big, cuts to immigration, what they should say on taxes, etc, are all legitimate up to a point.
In France and Italy, populist right-of-centre parties have replaced traditional right-of-centre parties. Nigel Farage might do the same in Britain. But as Italy’s admirable Giorgia Meloni shows, when they get into government, budget and security constraints mean they can’t quickly transform their nations.
Then came another reminder of the reptiles deep fear of Victoria, not the monarch, but those dastardly sparrows down south ... ’The Victorianisation of the Australian economy’ was the most interesting line from James Paterson’s ‘rightly lauded speech’. Picture: NewsWire / Martin Ollman
The bromancer kept up his hysteria...
Meanwhile, Australia’s economic, security and social trajectory is disastrous, only clearly worse during the bleak chaos of the Whitlam years.
Really?
The pond is surprised that the bromancer didn't compare the country to Argentina, what with it being run by Killer Creighton's favourite economist ...
“Argentina’s fighting for its life, young lady, you don’t know anything about it,” Trump told a reporter on Air Force One in response to a question. “They’re fighting for their life. Nothing’s benefiting Argentina.”
“They’re fighting for their life. You understand what that means? They have no money, they have no anything. They’re fighting so hard to survive. If I can help them survive in a free world — I happen to like the president of Argentina, I think he’s trying to do the best he can. But don’t make it sound like they’re doing great.”
Trump’s administration is seeking to secure a total of $40 billion in financial assistance for Argentina to assist the country’s libertarian leader in stabilizing its turbulent financial markets.
Earlier this month, the U.S. locked down a $20 billion currency swap line with Argentina’s central bank to hold up Argentine President Javier Milei’s struggling economy.
Last week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the U.S. wanted to give an extra $20 billion to Argentina, by way of a mix of financing from sovereign funds and private banks.
“We are working on a $20 billion facility that would complement our swap line, with private banks and sovereign funds that, I believe, would be more focused on the debt market,” Bessent told reporters.
“Many banks are interested in it and many sovereign funds have expressed interest,” the Treasury secretary continued. (The Hill)
Now that's an interesting economy, and a very interesting example of America first, as the bromancer carried on ...
But the Australian opposition, virtually all of them, could profitably spend less time theorising about the ideal party structure and more time trying to improve the truly dismal and unprofessional performance they’ve put in.
He won’t thank me for saying this but James Paterson is the only exception.
The most interesting thing from his rightly lauded speech was the line that the Albanese government was producing “the Victorianisation of the Australian economy”. Victoria is, notably, the basket-case state, having suffered a long period of a government that was good at politics and truly dreadful at the substance of policy. It’s now flat broke, deep in debt and doesn’t work at any level.
Opposition is often about creating memorable images or phrases that capture a reality that is true and simultaneously hurt the government. Tony Abbott as opposition leader was a genius at this. The carbon tax was “a great big tax on everything”. Rather cruelly and personally, Kevin Rudd was “a toxic bore”. The opposition’s policy was to “stop the boats” and “end the tax”.
These days an opposition needs to be very clever and active on social media as well. It needs lots of images there. But the striking thing is that in nearly four years, the “Victorianisation of Australia” is the only memorable line or image the entire opposition has come up with.
The pond has no idea why the reptiles have it in for the beefy boofhead from down Goulburn way, but their selection of snaps is unremittingly savage, Angus Taylor should ‘stop talking about agile and innovative ... words completely without meaning’. Picture: NewsWire / Martin Ollman
Did he just swallow a fly? Or did he spot those whale-killing windmills?
At this point the bromancer came up with a billy goat butt ...
This is not to reduce politics to slogans.
Then he let loose with a series of wannabe slogans ...
In my nearly 50 years of writing about politics, among other things, three of the most effective opposition politicians I’ve encountered, especially in recent decades, were Abbott, Rudd and Josh Frydenberg.
Each, like all of us, had his downside but one thing they had in common was that they started off each day at the crack of dawn, loaded with energy, went hard all day and much of the evening, dropped exhausted into a brief slumber late at night and emerged again next morning, Energiser bunny-like, wanting to talk on any radio station that would have them, contribute op-ed articles, devour policy research, hone new lines of attack, attend or create any community event, dream up gimmicks for the media and so on. None of them remotely kept gentleman’s hours. Who in today’s opposition, beyond Tim Wilson, fits that description?
Airy talk about free markets is all but meaningless. Abstract nouns are the enemy of oppositions. Angus Taylor, for God’s sake stop talking about agile and innovative. These are words completely without meaning. No voters say to themselves: give me agile and innovative.
Would it be a bromancer piece without the war on China by Xmas?
Of course not ... The Australian government is seeking a response from Beijing over another allegation of a dangerous incident between the defence forces.
The bromancer then turned his attention to wannabe defence slogans...
Before it’s agile and innovative, a defence force needs firepower. Concentrate on firepower.
Good slogans.
Want another slogan?
Similarly, the free market is a tool, not a god. It’s useful in some areas, not in others.
Had enough of slogans? You're in the wrong place with the wrong reptile scribbler...
No one will ever match the renowned “China price”. This is because Beijing will always sell rare earths below cost if necessary to maintain market dominance. The US and all its allies, including Australia, have to buy rare earths from China to build the weapons they need to defend themselves from Beijing. Per capita, China is much less wealthy than Australia. Yet for strategic reasons it takes a serious chunk of that wealth and subsidises rare earths and other key industries.
The free market cannot solve this problem. Companies will always buy the lowest cost unless directed by their government or offered a subsidy. Yet Western governments, which waste money on every nonsense imaginable, won’t commit to this obvious need for government subsidy of a national security industry.
Collectively Western governments have spent trillions of dollars on green energy subsidies for very little return. Energy prices have skyrocketed while greenhouse gas emissions continue to climb.
Would it be a proper bromancer piece without the bromancer at some point joining the Canavan caravan?
Of course not ... Senator Matt Canavan has nudged disenchanted Liberals to rally behind the Nationals banner after a particularly tense party room meeting in Canberra last week. An unnamed Liberal MP has mused that if seven Liberals switched to the Nationals, the balance of power in the Coalition would switch. Mr Canavan told Sky News Australia that the numbers “check out”.
Go coal, it's the only way forward ...
Go, go, go, all the way ... if you don't mind entirely discounting and stuffing the future ...
It turns out that the bromancer is an old fashioned socialist with a love of government interventions ...
It is indeed a tragedy that Australia no longer manufactures cars. For a few hundred million dollars a year we had an industrial base and infinitely better trade education than a hundred TAFE systems could provide. We’ve spent countless billions on failed defence projects trying to pay off Adelaide for killing the car industry.
But not all interventions.
The bromancer loves to discount the future ...
But it needs spokespeople who can passionately and convincingly argue these positions, focusing on what the government has done to energy prices, and win a public debate, as Jacinta Nampijinpa Price won the voice. That’s a herculean task for this opposition because none of them is even known by most of the public.
And so to the real insanity.
The notion that The Price is Wrong, the hastie Pasty, and the Canavan caravan are the way forward, but then the bromancer's first love was the onion muncher, and that pretty much explains everything you need to know...
Which leads to a final point. It’s insane that Andrew Hastie, Nampijinpa Price and Matt Canavan are on the backbench. It’s like a cricket team intentionally fielding a second XI.
If that trio of troglodytes should be in the first XI, at last there's an explanation for why the Australian cricket team routinely stuffs up ...
The opposition is a shambles. It’s thus facilitating some of the worst governance Australia has seen. Surely they can do better.
Yes, that unruly mob need to take a leaf out of King Donald's playbook, see how it should be done...
Fifty years of writing about politics, and anything else that catches his attention, and even the Bromancer himself admits that he’s a completely ineffectual dropkick -
ReplyDelete>>I tried with absolutely no success to get senior ministers in the previous Coalition government to explain what their net-zero commitment meant. >>
Josh Frydenberg was an incredibly diligent and effective member of the Opposition? Not that I recall. If he was, how to explain his transition to quite ordinary Minister? Particularly during his period as Treasurer, when he always looked like a deer in the headlights.
Still, this is a bloke who continues to sing the praises of Hastie, Price and Canavan, despite lack of any evident political talent, and doesn’t seem aware that the three are on the backbench purely due to their own decisions and actions. It’s truly remarkable that after 50 years the Bro has learned so very little about politics - or much else. But who needs knowledge when you have hysteria?
Hi Dorothy,
ReplyDeleteFirst I found it weirdly telling that Scott Bessent (US Secretary of State) and political gadfly owed his wealth to being a protege of George Soros.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scott_Bessent
That must be Awkward!
Second I wondered about how short term political gain overrides long term political and economic benefits.
So I asked our future AI masters what they think about “our” abilities to plan for the future and asked this question
“homo sapiens good at short term prediction but bad at long prediction”
The AI result;
Humans are good at short-term predictions due to immediate cause-and-effect understanding, but are poor at long-term predictions because of factors like hyperbolic discounting, cognitive biases, and evolutionary wiring that prioritizes immediate survival over future planning. Our brains are wired to seek immediate rewards and to rely on familiar patterns rather than complex, long-term trends, which makes us struggle with predicting outcomes in complex systems like the economy or long-term climate change.
Reasons for poor long-term prediction
* Hyperbolic discounting: Humans have a strong preference for immediate rewards over larger, future rewards, which can lead to poor long-term decision-making.
* Cognitive biases:
* Hindsight bias: The tendency to believe past events were more predictable than they actually were.
* Optimism bias: A belief that future outcomes will be better for ourselves than they might be.
*
* Evolutionary wiring: Our ancestors evolved in unpredictable environments where immediate threats and rewards were paramount for survival. This may have hardwired us to prioritize short-term gains over long-term strategies.
* Brain structure: The human brain may spend more time looking for familiar patterns than scanning for the unexpected, which hinders long-term planning and prediction.
* Complexity and rate of change: In complex systems, such as the economy or technology, human predictions are often inaccurate because there are too many variables. The rapid pace of societal and technological change makes predicting the future even more difficult.
Very comforting!
DW.- looks like we had lucubrations at much the same time. If you have come back here - thank you for those items, which I have saved, for further contemplation. Particularly the Soros ref.
DeleteTa, DW, consider the pond exceptionally comforted ...
DeleteMy quick skip across Sky Noise for this evening leads me to believe that Trumplestiltskin spent the entire day mocking, slamming, criticizing, humiliating (all Sky vogue words) one Kevin Rudd. Apparently there wasn't time for anything else, so goodness knows what version of AI made up the narrative that places like ABC were broadcasting, including almost realistic pictures of Trumplestiltskin and Albanese signing their names, both in joined-up writing, on some papers.
ReplyDelete