Wednesday, March 04, 2026

In which the bromancer and "Ned" go at it, while Cameron provides scenarios and Dame Groan shouts there'll be no more gruel...

 

It would almost be comical if it weren't so sad ...

Amidst all the agony, confusion, chaos, revisionism, and astonishing hypocrisy which has transformed the lizard Oz headlines into a war zone...



... Dame Slap decided that this was the moment for this...

The unbearable lightness of being Grace Tame
There is an unbearable intellectual lightness to being an intifada activist. Some intifadas are more fashionable than others.
By Janet Albrechtsen
Columnist

Put it another way: the unbearable obsessive compulsive monomaniacal stupidity of a deeply weird woman. 

Grace Tame is her angle into the war? 

It turns out that Dame Slap is one of those useful idiots that think you can bomb your way to democracy ...

Our homegrown “Globalise the intifada” activists appear to be similarly half-educated or, worse, hamstrung by their hatred of Israel and the US. Tailor-made useful idiots for Iran’s IRGC, their silence – as these two countries are singularly responsible for helping ordinary Iranians take their first steps towards a life without fear and oppression – is the currency of intellectual bankrupts.

The trouble with this sort of inanity is that it will take years for the chaos to subside, and the notion that you can bomb a country into a life without fear and oppression could only manifest itself in planet Janet, way above the clouds, in one of the remotest lands above the faraway tree.

Off to the intermittent archive with her... and if she gets lost in the bad gateways and time outs, the pond doesn't give a toss.

Meanwhile, the big guns were out in force, with the returning bromancer leading the way, and luckily it isn't up to the pond to recount or resolve the many discordances - does King Donald have a plan? is the couch-molesting JD really an isolationist or a turncoat? 

The pond is simply studying the hive mind in all its infinite strangeness and who better than the bromancer to act as a guide... ...



The header: How Donald Trump rewrote the rules of war with his Iran campaign; Trump’s black-and-white approach to Iran has demolished the careful ambiguity that defined four decades of Middle Eastern conflict, rewriting the playbook for global powers.

The caption: A woman holds pictures of Reza Pahlavi and US President Donald Trump as members of the Iranian community celebrate in front of the Federal Building in the West LA neighbourhood of Los Angeles. (Photo by Apu GOMES / AFP)

The bromancer was in shocked and awed mode, while explaining how monochromacy is now the new normal ...

Donald Trump has changed the nature of modern war by his military campaign in Iran. Specifically, Trump has delivered a massive blow to “grey zone” warfare.
Trump doesn’t do grey. He does black and white.
Long before China and Russia got there, Iran had perfected grey-zone attacks. No one will be able to use grey-zone tactics with impunity against the US again.
The essence of grey-zone tactics is to attack America and its allies using proxies, terrorists or disguised military forces, creating a thin veneer of national deniability. The idea is that it’s impossible for a democracy to strike back against irregular or disguised forces. The usual suspects will claim any retaliation is a violation of international law. And it’s hard to convince a democratic public that military action is justified if there’s any doubt about the enemy’s true identity.
Iran has been attacking the US without let-up since the Iranian revolution in 1979. First, it took US diplomats hostage. Its proxies in Lebanon killed over 200 American troops in one act of terrorism in 1983. It has directed terrorism at US targets across the Middle East and fired on US Navy ships. It has sponsored terrorism in the US, in Europe and indeed in Australia, as well as all over the Middle East and parts of Latin America.
Iran’s core ideology is “death to America, death to Israel”.
Under international law, the US has the right to defend itself. Trump obviously couldn’t care less for these niceties anyway. If you attack America, Trump will attack you. Even China and Russia will now have to calibrate grey-zone tactics very carefully, but any nation less powerful than China or Russia will have the Iranian, and indeed Venezuelan, examples always in their minds.

Only the bromancer could wheel out "international law" in such a cavalier way, but that's the charm of the bromancer. 

He never lets reality get in the way of inordinate stupidity, as the reptiles beguiled him with the sort of kit that inevitably produces an orgasm (how long that takes for a reptile or the average Australian male is a matter for others): US sailors prepare to stage ordnance on the flight deck of Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) in support of Operation Epic Fury on February 28, 2026. (Photo by U.S. Navy via Getty Images)



Once kitted up, the bromancer was fully down:

At the same time, Iran’s scattergun reaction of attacking Gulf Arab nations and hitting oil facilities makes its own kind of sense. It follows a serious military logic. Iran is trying to demonstrate its own version of deterrence. The US and Israel have gravely weakened Iran’s military capabilities. Iran can no longer project credible deterrence against Israel, much less the US.
In the short term, attacking the Gulf states and their economic infrastructure is highly counter-productive for Iran. The Sunni Gulf states mostly fear and dislike Shia Iran. But they all have undercurrents of anti-US feeling as well, not to mention popular anti-Israel sentiment. By attacking the Gulf states, Iran ensures they will cling to the US for security, back US efforts to neuter Iran militarily and tend to bury their differences with Israel, at least for the moment.

The reptiles were so delighted at the return of the bromancer that they doubled down with an appearance on the still titled Sky Noise...The Australian’s Foreign Editor Greg Sheridan claims Iran is “massively weakened” by US President Donald Trump’s brutal strikes on the country. “I think Trump’s going to redefine, incidentally, grey zone conflict,” he told Sky News Australia. Mr Sheridan said Tehran has “solidified the very strong anti-Iranian sentiment” all through the Gulf following its retaliatory strikes in the Middle East.




A few saucy doubts and fears began to creep in, but unlike other pundits, the bromancer understood the true objectives...

However, Iran is operating on a longer-term horizon. There is still a good chance that the regime survives in Tehran. Remember, the lesson from the first great experiment in strategic bombing, back in World War II, is that, leaving aside nuclear bombs, to have a genuine strategic effect, bombing has to go on for a long, long time.
Hamas, in Gaza, never lost the ability to fire missiles against Israel even after years of warfare with Israel. Gaza is a tiny territory right next door to Israel. It’s difficult to imagine a bombing campaign alone could destroy completely Iran’s ability to launch short-range missiles and drones.
Assuming it survives, the regime in Iran wants to establish that if it’s attacked militarily, it will cause chaos in the Gulf and greatly disrupt international energy supplies.
Which brings us back to the true US objectives in Iran. One objective surely is to re-establish US deterrence, to punish Iran for more than 40 years of attacks on the US and its allies. When the US campaign began, Trump frankly emphasised regime change as its objective.

So it is regime change? And it's best accomplished by making the country completely leaderless and rudderless? 

The reptiles slipped in a snap of King Donald in majestic pose, apparently in full charge of his senses and his objectives, Donald Trump overseeing Operation Epic Fury from Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach. Picture: AFP




Inspired by the close presence of the mad King, the bromancer provided a coherent explanation of the kind that's been singularly missing from the mad King's minions, who've been coming out with contradictory suggestions on an hourly basis ...

That transformed into four different objectives: destroying Iran’s ballistic missile stocks and production capabilities; destroying its ability to reconstruct its nuclear program, especially in hardened facilities; destroying the Iranian navy, and; destroying Iran’s ability to sponsor international terrorism.
US House Speaker Mike Johnson said the US had to act because Israel was about to strike Iran and Washington had “exquisite intelligence” that Iran would launch massive assaults on US bases in the Middle East in response. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel observed Iran digging new, deep underground facilities to restart its nuclear program in locations that would be immune from future attack.
So that’s all as clear as mud. No one should underestimate the nuclear component of this decision. Iran with nuclear weapons would be a horrifying prospect. However, while it’s always sensible to allow for a good deal of chaos in Trump administration talking points and even decision-making, it may well be that there’s a bit of deliberate disinformation going on here.

Exquisite intelligence? 

Only the squeaker of the house could come up with that one, while preserving his chastity, as the reptiles decided to drop in an Explainer borrowed from The Times ...



This was all very well, but doesn't labelling something scenario one imply that there are other scenarios to follow?

The pond looked for additional scenarios in vain. (Relax, it will eventually get sorted)

Instead it had to turn to the bromancer offering "sensible support" for the latest bout of imperial madness ...

Regime change is the only objective that really makes sense. If the ayatollahs’ regime survives, they may not be able to rebuild a nuclear program, so long as Israel or the US retain the ability and will to bomb any such program that emerges. But they will certainly be able to rebuild missiles and missile stocks, and to build and buy drones. They will also be able to sponsor international terrorism.
Terrorism, the oldest grey-zone tactic of all, is relatively cheap. The ayatollahs are happy to see their people suffer while they ship billions of dollars to terrorist proxies such as Hezbollah in Lebanon. But regime change is probably more likely to happen if the Americans talk about it less, so that any alternative Iranian leadership that emerges is less obviously seen as Washington’s creation.
Every big conflict changes in some measure the nature of war. Ukraine has seen the emergence of drones as a central feature in modern warfare. The Australian Defence Force is among the only people on the planet not to have learned this lesson.
Trump has decisively changed the rules of grey-zone warfare and its costs, and is also making a huge effort to transform the geostrategic course of Shia Iran. Australia has enormous interests in his succeeding, which is why, presumably, the Albanese government is sensibly supporting Trump’s actions.

Sensible support?



And so to "Ned", who finally got around to considering it all with a dinkum natter ...



The header: No strategy, no deterrence: what is Trump’s endgame? Russia and China won’t like losing Iran, if that’s what eventuates. But they will understand the world Trump wants – and it’s exactly the world Russia and China want. Thanks, Donald.

The caption for the snap of King Donald which the pond could swear it had seen a nanosecond ago in the bromancer's piece, but hey, a hive mind thrives on repetition: Donald Trump overseeing Operation Epic Fury activity against Iran from Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida. Picture: Daniel Torok, The White House, AFP

"Ned" didn't sound overly impressed, wasn't quite so willing to offer "sensible support".

Donald Trump has a contempt for his presidential predecessors, seeing himself as a powerbroker for the ages. With his attack on Iran he now aspires to a new method of revolution – revolution by aerial bombing. There is no textbook for this, just Trump’s genius.
Trump is willing this revolution on Iran, a country about which he knows extremely little. But how serious is he? Despite his stunning initial success in killing supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, there is no evidence that Trump has any plan or strategy for regime change.
It may happen, but securing a meaningful and improved regime in a 90 million strong country is a daunting task. There is no organised political opposition in Iran. Has Trump given his pledge serious attention? There is no evidence about this whatsoever.
On day three of the war, speaking to the Iranian people, Trump said: “I made a promise to you and I fulfilled that promise. The rest will be up to you.” Got it? The Iranian people can do the real job. Trump has “fulfilled” his promise. Let’s reflect on the remaining task: that unarmed civilians, almost certainly unorgan­ised, are expected to overthrow a regime loaded with guns and willing to shoot its own people.
Trump has started this latest crisis, but does he accept responsibility for its consequences and how it might end? Before the 2003 US invasion of Iraq, the US secretary of state, General Colin Powell, advised president George W. Bush: “You break it, you own it.” Trump wants to break the regime but he has yet to demonstrate any practical agenda to assist the Iranian people. Indeed, his attitude seems to be: “I break it and you own it.”

Um, the pond had always thought it ran "you break it, you buy it", what with that being the title of the wiki, which dared to end with Powell himself ...

It is said that I used the "Pottery Barn rule." I never did it; [Thomas] Friedman did it ... But what I did say ... [is that] once you break it, you are going to own it, and we're going to be responsible for 26 million people standing there looking at us. And it's going to suck up a good 40 to 50 percent of the Army for years. And it's going to take all the oxygen out of the political environment ..."

Okay, so now it's going to be c. 90 million people?

And they'll be standing there, looking at King Donald?

Talk about heartbreak hotel time.

Dn't expect imperial Benji or the mad King or the bromancer in his cave down under to care about those rules or your future ...Donald Trump shakes hands with Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a news conference at Mar-a-Lago in December. Picture: Alex Brandon/ AP



"Ned" was tempted by Niall's nonsensical word games...

Recent reports suggest a ruthless operative of mass murder, Ali Larijani, is now in charge, having recently called the rioters against the regime an “urban quasi-terrorist group”. How long he lasts or whether the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps sticks with the ayatollahs defies prediction. Maybe the regime will fragment or even fall. The killing of Khamenei along with 50 other senior figures must significantly weaken the regime but not necessarily terminate it.
How does Trump determine victory? The regime cannot defeat Trump in this war. Its central goal is survival and if the regime does survive, then Trump must be careful. Does that mean he has failed? In that situation Trump must find other criteria for his inevitable declaration of success.
Some analysts, for example Niall Ferguson in The Free Press speculate that Trump’s real method is not regime change but a far more modest “regime alteration” – given that in Venezuela, while the US extracted its dictator, Nicolas Maduro, and brought him to New York for trial, Trump kept the regime in place and merely got a new leader more willing to bow to Trump’s own dictates.
This makes sense if Trump, as assumed, has no intention of committing major ground forces to Iran, just as he didn’t commit them to Venezuela.
Indeed, in Venezuela, unlike Iran, there was an organised political and democratic alternative to the regime, but Trump didn’t want a bar of it. He repudiated Venezuela’s path to democracy. Trump preferred a dictatorial regime that was his regime and enabled him to boast that he was in charge of Venezuela.

Just to emphasise the point the reptiles flung in a snap, Nicolas Maduro is seen in handcuffs after landing at a Manhattan helipad.




It might have been more to the point to remind the hive mind that there's a sucker born every minute ...




But then you'd have to remind the hive mind that there's a peace prize for every occasion ...




Those aged well.

Back to "Ned" ...proudly cynical about Faux Noise's favourite ...

If regime change is the goal in Iran, that demands truckloads of time, effort and money. But Trump says his military campaign is essentially based on a four to five-week timeline.
The idea that Trump will repeat the blunder of Bush in Iraq and sink into a protected, long-term, heavy casualty involvement won’t happen.
On the evidence so far Trump is no champion of democracy in Iran or Venezuela. In his more recent comments, he doesn’t even mention regime change. What, therefore are the tangible goals Trump can claim from what is a brutal war? Regime alteration is a gain, even if regime change is too hard. But that’s not remotely enough.
The US has being putting three issues on the table – no uranium enrichment, thereby eliminating Iran’s nuclear weapon option; dismantling Iran’s missile capability; and abandonment of its vast network of proxy terrorist organisations. These are highly ambitious military and political goals.
Trump was adamant in his opening statement announcing the war. He pledged “to destroy their missiles and raze their missile industry to the ground” along with the annihilation of Iran’s navy; ensure the regime’s terrorist proxies “can no longer destabilise the region or the world and attack our forces”; and guarantee “they can never have a nuclear weapon”.
Trump must deliver on his justification for the war. This war will be deemed a failure if Iran is not broken in terms of its excessive Islamist mission and military capability. Trump always boasts about his achievements, but this is different. These are his declared goals in the most important war he has launched as President and the most vital war in the Middle East for decades. The surgical strike power of the US-Israeli war machine is awesome, but dismantling the ambitions and capacity of Iran’s Islamist security state seems close to a counter-revolution not likely to eventuate.
Trump will probably need to settle for much less: an Iran heavily damaged, more isolated, more discredited and less able to threaten its enemies.
He will surely choose a short war because that is his strategic character, because polls show about 75 per cent of Americans oppose the war or are neutral, and because of the strains and risks on the US military. America’s ability to absorb shock and pain is much reduced compared with a generation ago and Trump will not want to test its limits.
While Trump is the key initiator, Iran and its eliminated leader, Khamenei, have brought this catastrophe on themselves. The Hamas October 7, 2023, attack on Israel has delivered a devastating and rolling strategic reversal for Iran, its terrorist proxies and the Islamist campaign against the Jewish state. The Iranian regime was deluded by its own propaganda, continually misreading the retaliatory will and capacity of Benjamin Netanyahu and Trump.
Ever since the 1979 revolution the regime has waged a relentless campaign against Israel and America, exporting terrorism to the region and the world, killing Americans and Israelis via its proxies and engaging in the slaughter of its own people. Its success in escaping lethal punishment bred confidence that no US president would resort to a full-scale military retaliation – an illusion that Trump has shattered.

Was it so long ago that "Ned" has entirely forgotten the country that was behind 9/11? 

Look at them now. Sure the odd journalist has bitten the dust, but they're in the fold and ready to start erecting Trump hotels all around the world with the help of Jared.

Never mind, cue another snap ... More than a million supporters of an Islamic republic assembled around Shayad (Shah Memorial) monument in Tehran. Picture: AP Photo/Aristotle Saris




"Ned" tried to celebrate but the drink must have turned sour in the mouth ...

Trump’s elimination of the Iranian leadership is a plus for the Middle East and the world – a reality that constitutes a problem for critics of Trump’s campaign. Indeed, this reality is recognised by the Albanese government saying it supports the US-Israeli military action on the grounds that Iran must be denied a nuclear capability. The message: there is always an argument to be found against the Iranian regime.
The message, explicit in Trump’s war, is that we live in an age increasingly dominated by the exercise of brute force, whether by great powers or regional powers in their own domain. This is not the world that Australia wants or prefers, but it is the world in which we live. The rules-based order that Australia loved to invoke is largely shattered, as Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said recently.
The worst mistake is to think Trump is exercising strategic deterrence in launching this war. Let’s get clear: this is not deterrence. Such thinking is utter folly. Russia and China won’t like losing Iran, if that is what eventuates. But they will understand the world Trump wants – where great powers are entitled to use the force they possess for the goals they want. It’s exactly the world Russia and China want. Thanks, Donald.

But wasn't that always the way? Hasn't he been busy selling Ukraine down the river to Vlad the Sociopath? Does he really care if Xi takes over Taiwan? Won't a good bombing fix anything that ails ya?



And while some might think that's already more than enough, the pond simply had to include Cameron carrying on, if only because he too was on the extreme far right of the lizard Oz, and his column helped sort a mystery:




The header: Donald Trump warns Iran conflict will be longer and more destructive than expected; Donald Trump has warned the conflict with Iran will become longer and more destructive than expected, even floating the possibility of deploying US ground troops.

The caption: President Donald Trump arrives for a Medal of Honor ceremony in the East Room of the White House on Monday. Picture: AP

The pond had always thought the phrase was "buckle up", but buckle down for a new introduction:

Buckle in. The conflict with Iran will not become a forever war, but it will be longer, bigger and more destructive than expected.
This was the essence of Donald Trump’s warning to the world on day four of the US-Israeli assault on Iran, in the face of ongoing retaliatory attacks from Iran across the Middle East.
He was joined by a fiery warning from Israeli leader Benjamin Netanyahu that he and Trump see the danger of Iran more clearly than other “slumbering’ democracies” that did not understand the need for this war.
With many Gulf states shocked by Iran’s decision to target them as well as Israel and US forces, Trump has assumed the role of “scarer-in-chief” to warn Iran that the US was only just warming up and there was an apocalypse coming its way.

At this point the reptiles introduced that scenario that had featured in the bromancer's piece ...



At first the pond was mystified, but then vastly relieved.

It was Cameron's duty to provide some word salad, proving some interruptions while the real business of more scenarios could unfold.

So this short bit of blather ...

He said the “big wave” of American and Israeli attacks on the Iranian regime was yet to come and that the war could last more than a month. What’s more, the President even floated the possibility of sending in ground troops, saying “I don’t have the yips with respect to boots on the ground”.
Even the Iranians are unlikely to believe that. Polls in the US show Trump has little public support for this air war against Iran, much less for sending US soldiers into harm’s way and potentially getting bogged down in the sort of “forever war” he promised never to enter.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio quickly hosed down Trump’s comments, saying the US had no current plans to use ground troops.
But although American and Israeli forces continue to bomb Iran, degrading its forces, destroying its missiles and picking off its leaders, the broader costs of this military campaign are becoming sharper.

... was immediately interrupted by a second scenario ...




It began to make sense - if there's any sense to  the madness.

These scenarios included cosy terms such as "regime adjustment", which could be trotted out at dinner parties so that people could sound fully hive mind aware - and so the pond carried on ...

Iran has continued to spray missiles and drones at the Gulf states, hitting hotels, residences, ports and military bases housing US and, in one instance, Australian military personnel.
Those states have successfully shot down the vast majority of these missiles and drones, but will soon run short of the interceptors required to intercept these projectiles.
Iranian drones continue to occasionally breach key defences, most recently hitting the US embassy in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, and more buildings and people in Israel.
Iran’s decision to close the Strait of Hormuz, a passage of water where almost a quarter of the world’s oil transits through, has sent oil and gas prices soaring and rattled world markets. The attacks on the UAE and Qatar have closed their international airports – the main air travel hubs between Europe and Asia and Australia – causing chaos and dealing a major blow to the economies of those countries. Six US soldiers have so far died in the campaign.
None of this means the US and Israel are losing this fight – in fact, they are winning it easily – but it does place pressure on the US and Israel to try to achieve their aims sooner rather than later.

It hadn't been long, and yet already there was another scenario to hand ...




Cameron interrupted to observe it had been a bit of a muddle of mixed messaging, but without exploring the sublime stupidity of warrior Hogsbreath ...nor the way that King Donald continually forgets his origin story, or more to the point, keeps making up the same one over and over again ...




Just the sort of detail-laden king ready to do a regime makeover ... as Cameron pressed on ...

Trump, Rubio and Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth have given muddled messages about what America’s aims are.
Trump said it was regime change but has since played this down, while Hegseth has denied this, saying this is “not a regime-change war”. An end to Iran’s nuclear program, the destruction of its missiles and navy, and an end to Iran’s funding of its terror proxies are variously given as the primary aims of the conflict.
Reading between the lines of these mixed messages we can safely say the following: the US and Israel will continue to hit Iran as hard as they can in the coming weeks, destroying its military and assassinating its surviving leaders whenever possible.
Where it ends, no one knows, and that includes the White House. In Trump’s perfect world there would be a complete collapse of the current regime and a people’s revolution to pave the way for a democratic leader.

And that brought the pond to the last scenario ...



Such a stunning insight.

Chaos is possible, if order breaks down.

The pond must add that to its collection of favourites, such as: world will continue if sun rises tomorrow, Dr Strangelove permitting.

Sure these stupendous insights were just borrowed plumage, plucked from the hive mind's UK kissing cousin The Times, in a land where there are no Churchills left, but the pond was pleased to have scored the complete set, as Cameron wrapped up his proceedings ...

A second-best solution would be a Venezuelan-style outcome where the most senior surviving Iranian from this current regime makes a deal with Trump and Israel, paving the way for a more compliant Iran that poses no threat to its neighbours.
But neither of these may come to pass. The new ruler of Iran may be yet another cleric, or a general from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, who detests the West as much as did the late Ali Khamenei.
Nothing is certain, but the likelihood that this will be a short, sharp war looks less likely by the day. Buckle in.

Indeed, indeed, the pond will buckle up, because there's one final trip with the reptiles to be taken this hive mind morning...



The header: Get ready for Jim’s flood of ‘global uncertainty’ excuses; Call me cynical, but days of global economic uncertainty are positively heady for the treasurer of the day. Playing the hero with other people’s money is a very alluring phenomenon.

The caption for that smirking villain Jimbo: Treasurer Jim Chalmers during Question Time at Parliament House in Canberra. Picture: NewsWire / Martin Ollman

How could the pond ignore the old biddy?

The pond's in-tray had scored many disturbing messages, such as John Hanscombe getting hysterical about lettuces, even though the lettuce had temporarily retired after winning its bout with Susssan ...

The days of $10 lettuces might return this winter (sorry, newsletter, no link).

Talk about a panic merchant ...

Enjoy it while you can. Those fresh, crisp vegetables. The salad with your steak. The cheese plate after the main course. Almost every food that depends on fertiliser to make it to your plate.
If this war in the Middle East drags on - and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to shipping - it won't just be oil and petroleum products that surge in price. Australia is also dependent on fertiliser which passes through the strategic waterway.
Last financial year, Australia imported 95 per cent of its fertiliser, 64 per cent of which came from the Gulf states. Qatar, which supplies 11 per cent of the world's urea, shut down its liquefied natural gas production. LNG is crucial for the production of nitrogen based fertiliser.
Australia buys roughly 12 per cent of all urea exported from the Middle East, making us particularly vulnerable. And the timing of this supply disruption, with our farmers preparing for winter crop preparation, couldn't be worse. They'll be competing with northern hemisphere producers gearing up for summer for a product in forced short supply.
Almost immediately, prices for urea surged and Australian farmers won't be immune from this conflict-driven supply shock. Nor will you and I when we're shopping for food to put on our tables.
We saw this during last June's 12-day war, when urea prices surged by $118 a tonne over seven days. With President Trump forecasting the war could drag on for five weeks or longer, and Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu conceding "it may take some time", that means more pain at the checkout as farmers pass on the cost of production to consumers.
It won't just be fresh veggies affected. One analysis published on Monday estimates wheat production costs per hectare will rise by between $45 and $60, canola by $35-$50, cotton by $120-$180 and dairy pasture management by $25 to $40.
Even the plastic packaging in which too much of our food is wrapped is set to rise in price because so much of the world's polypropylene comes from the Middle East. The Jebel Ali port in the United Arab Emirates handles 65 per cent of the Gulf region's polymer exports. Like oil and fertiliser, these exports need to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

The old biddy would have none of that sort of nonsense ...

We should expect to hear a lot about the impact of global economic uncertainty from Jim Chalmers in the coming weeks. The Treasurer will be referencing the events in the Middle East frequently when discussing the economy and the government’s responses to the emerging risks.
We will be asked to forget about the economic difficulties that had been apparent – inflation well above the target band, a budget in deficit for years to come, stagnant living standards – and concentrate on the economic consequences of global developments in the Middle East. The budget papers will need to be redrafted, and the economic forecasts will be reset to consider the possible scenarios now at play, particularly higher headline inflation (including higher petrol prices), but also slower economic growth.
Call me cynical, but days of global economic uncertainty are positively heady for the treasurer of the day. Playing the hero with other people’s money is a very alluring phenomenon. Having declined all those entreaties for higher spending and new programs, suddenly, it’s all systems go.
We saw this with Wayne Swan, Australia’s treasurer during the global financial crisis. We also saw it in action during the height of the Covid pandemic when Scott Morrison was prime minister and Josh Frydenberg the treasurer.
It’s worth going over these events to pinpoint some of the weaknesses in the government responses as well as highlight some longer-term effects.

Yes, the very best way to cope with current crises is simply to retreat back into the past, stick head in sand and blather about Swannie, and even show a snap of the lad to remind the forgetful of what he looked like way back when... Wayne Swan was Australia’s treasurer during the global financial crisis. Picture: NewsWire / Martin Ollman




There, everything sorted, and time now for some economic theory designed to stimulate correspondents ...

It’s very easy to go overboard, to bring on poorly designed programs, to offer handouts across the board. It’s more difficult to wind back spending, to restore a degree of balance to the budget and to deal with the fallout from bad programs.
One of the fundamental problems with the government’s response to the GFC was the misunderstanding of the source of the problem. It was never a GFC; it was more a North Atlantic financial crisis caused by massive mal­investment in the US real estate market coupled with faulty financial instruments to underpin the spending.
Of course, the impact of what happened in the US and Europe did spread to Australia, most notably in the form of a freezing in the corporate debt market and some liquidity problems in the banking system.
But it was never a classic Keynesian slump and so the advice of Ken Henry, the Treasury secretary at the time, to “go hard, go households, go early” was unwise given the more specific nature of the issues. Providing deposit guarantees to the banks was sensible, for instance. Ramping up government spending by nearly 13 per cent in real terms in 2008-09 was just foolish.
It’s worth looking at the figures. In 2007-08, government payments were 23 per cent of GDP, a figure that was mainly due to the prudent budget management of the Howard-Costello years. In 2008-09, the proportion was 25 per cent. We went from having a budget surplus of 1.7 per cent of GDP to a deficit of 2.8 per cent. In the following year, 2009-10, when global economic conditions were improving, the budget deficit was $55bn or 4.2 per cent of GDP. It’s much easier for a treasurer to hit the accelerator than to apply the brakes.

The reptiles did their best to remind the old chook that there was a war going on ... Iran has targeted energy facilities in Qatar and Saudi Arabia – a major escalation in the conflict which could threaten the global supply of oil and gas and drive up prices. An oil refinery in Saudi Arabia was damaged by debris from drones, which were intercepted but fell onto the facility. Meanwhile, Qatar had to shut down the world’s largest natural gas plant after it was hit by Iranian missiles.




But Dame Groan was having none of it, and was quite prepared to play the role of the Beadle in the hive mind's production of Oliver Twist, with "no more gruel for you" one of the stand out numbers ...

It’s not even clear whether most of the spending even worked. The cash handouts triggered a degree of caution among many of the recipients, with at least some of the money saved. (I recall my hairdresser telling me it must be bad if the government was sending him cheques, so he thought he would save it.)
New programs were rushed out, such as the home insulation scheme, with completely inadequate attention given to safety regulation and appropriately trained staff. Eventually the government had to fork out about $1bn to fix the mess created.
The National Rental Affordability Scheme rolled out in 2008 was another example of poor design and deficient execution.
Notwithstanding Swan’s seeming determination to return the budget to surplus after the worst was over, he never achieved this outcome. (Who can forget his 2012 budget speech and the four budget surpluses he announced?)
From inheriting the position of effectively zero government debt, by the time the Labor government was voted out in 2013 government debt had reached more than $300bn or 20 per cent of GDP. A lot of money had been spent in a very short time.
Interpreting the federal government’s responses to the Covid pandemic is slightly trickier, particularly because of the initial uncertainty about the virus and its transmission.
But let’s be clear, most of the spending and measures implemented were in response to government restrictions rather than to the virus itself.
A fundamental problem became apparent quite quickly: the disjunction between the state governments handing down health-related restrictions and the federal government picking up the tab for the consequences for households and businesses of these restrictions.

Where would this sort of exercise be without a reminder of the speaking in tongues liar from the shire and jolly Josh? Scott Morrison and Josh Frydenberg. Picture: Jason Edwards



Then came a last gobbet of Dame Groan wielding the lash ...

Do we really think the Victorian Labor government could have commanded one of the longest periods of lockdown in the world had it not been for the federal government spending as it did?
Again, the scale of the spending response was substantial. In 2018-19, federal government spending was 24.5 per cent of GDP. The following year it was 27.6 per cent; and the year after that it was 31.3 per cent.
The JobKeeper scheme – the largest federal government scheme ever – was quickly rolled out, providing wage supplements to those workers in businesses that had lost sales by dint of the restrictions.
Far too little attention was paid to the details, however. There needed to be greater transparency about qualifying for the support as well as the need for refunds in cases where sales had not dropped. Many casual workers found themselves better off lying under the doona. It is estimated that between $20bn and $25bn in JobKeeper spending was essentially wasted.
The lesson of these two tales is that treasurers are often very happy to crank up the spending faucet when confronted by “global economic uncertainty”.
But spending like there is no tomorrow has limits because tomorrow does arrive. We can only hope that Chalmers uses more restraint this time and refuses to blame clearly domestically generated economic problems on what is happening overseas.

Yes, dammit, we've quickly moved from we'll all be 'rooned by the end of the week to no more gruel for you, don't even think about getting any help.

And if you want to play the lettuce game with the beefy boofhead and the pastie Hastie, you must expect to pay full quid ...or triple quid, or tens of quids...

And now - as John Oliver has returned, and so has the infallible Pope, and not before time - this ...




Who wouldn't trust a cheque with that sort of art work? With those bombs attached, it's guaranteed not to bounce ...




And the T and C in the detail seems ever so fair ...




Tuesday, March 03, 2026

In which the bromancer at last makes a return, but sounds about as much of a comeback kid as the beefy boofhead from Goulburn does ...

 

There was the pond, watching the first episode of Tom Clancy's Jack Ryan (branding!), seeing how the random aerial bombing of a couple of carefree young boys in the first act led to a couple of dangerously radicalised men going off in the third act.

Apart from the metaphorical relevance to the current King Donald chaos, the pond idly wondered whether reading one smugly complacent reptile column as a first act led to a dangerously radicalised reader by the third column (damn you Chekhov).

Whatever, the pond doesn't care, because salvation is at hand.

The pond has spent weeks mourning the bromancer's absence, MIA for no apparent reason apart from bludging, at precisely the time when his white Catholic nationalism would explain everything for the pond.

And then suddenly he was back.

One of these returning apparitions was a sentimental book review, just a warm up act, of no relevance, and best consigned to the intermittent archive.

‘I’m not me without you’: Bob Carr confronts savage grief in powerful new memoir
Greg Sheridan knew Bob and Helena Carr for almost 50 years. He believes Bob’s book on his wife’s sudden death advances our understanding of life’s joy and tragedy.

But the other was a crucial read, five minutes designed to transform the pond, help this hapless herpetology student to understand the world in the correct reptile way.

It will be remembered that there was never a foreign adventure the bromancer didn't like, from 'Nam through Iraq to Afghanistan, and he spent years hungering for a war with China, preferably before Xmas.

So naturally the pond expected him to be all in, yet again, much like that frog, always willing to give the scorpion a ride across the creek.

But this time the bromancer seemed curiously tempered, with one of those both siderist takes that sounded like the NY Times:



The header: Trump’s Iran campaign aims to reverse the revolution; If Donald Trump produces a more normal government in Tehran the whole world benefits. But every outcome, including the worst, remains possible.

The caption for King Donald: When US President Donald Trump declared, ‘No president was willing to do what I am willing to do tonight,’ he was for once telling the truth. Picture: Mandel Ngan/AFP

The worst outcome remains possible? 

How un-bro could you get?

The bromancer did his very best to sound all the right notes from the get go, but also sounded nervous from moment he left the gate.

The bromancer turned snowflake nervous nelly jellyfish? Spot the clues...

In launching his military campaign against Iran, Donald Trump has made his boldest play at history yet. This is his biggest attempt to bend decisively the planet’s geo-strategic arc.
The instant reactions give you some the clue. Around the Western world, perpetual demonstrators of the left, and pro-Islamist demonstrators, are in the streets denouncing Trump. Ethnic Iranians in the West, long subject to co-ordinated intimidation from Tehran, danced in the streets, as did Iranians at home, at the end of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s rule.
Trump has the right enemies, the right friends. That’s not to say he’ll succeed. His operation is intensely risky, involves huge human cost, and is unpredictable in its consequences. Nonetheless, when Trump declared: “No president was willing to do what I am willing to do tonight”, he was for once telling the truth.
Whether previous US presidents were constrained by wise prudence, or an unwillingness to face strategic necessity, is a matter of judgment.
The Albanese government is right to endorse Trump’s action and deserves some recognition for this. Deciding that in a war between Iran and the US, Australia backs the US, is not exactly rocket science – morally, strategically or electorally. Nonetheless, the government has made the right call. That the UN secretary-general, Antonio Guterres, is strongly opposed to the US action is a further sign that it’s probably more good than bad.

How the bromancer yearned to deliver full-throated enthusiasm, especially as it involved Islamics, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s waves during a meeting in Tehran on February 1. From the start, the ayatollahs had the ambition of leading – morally, culturally and politically – the whole of global Islam. Picture: AFP



The bromancer reached for the broad arc of history and the culture wars, days of the crusaders if you will:

Why is Trump’s action so historically important? This is in part because of the nature of the global project of the Iranian ayatollahs. The Iranian revolution of 1979, which brought the ayatollahs to power in Tehran, was an electrifying moment for political Islam the world over.
It would be wrong to think the Iranian revolution garnered majority support among the world’s Muslims, now numbering two billion people. You cannot possibly generalise about such a vast population.
But the Iranian revolution had a profound impact on the nature of political Islamic thinking. Of course this had some pretty serious limitations. Iran is a Shia nation, but the majority of the world’s Muslims are Sunni. Nonetheless, from the start, the ayatollahs had the ambition of leading, morally, culturally and politically, the whole of global Islam. They were also deeply entwined with the other great strain of violent Islamist extremism represented by the Sunni Muslim Brotherhood.
Leaders of the Iranian revolution had been involved in translating the writings of Sayyid Qutb, the Egyptian intellectual who was the chief theorist of the Muslim Brotherhood, into Persian. Sayyid Qutb spent some time in America and was especially outraged at the licentiousness of American life.
Deeply embedded in the ayatollahs’ world view, right from the start, was a profound view that America was the enemy of Islam, that America, in its materialistic and libertine ways, tried to seduce Muslims away from true Islam. And of course Israel was also inherently an enemy of Islam in this view, because it was Jewish, it was Western and decadent like the US, and it existed on land once ruled by Muslims.

The pond must pause to applaud the way that the bromancer has restrained himself, and resolutely refused to mention either the current ethnic cleansing of Gaza and the West Bank or the Trumpstein files, and instead introduced the appropriate Zionist note, Israel’s new ambassador to Australia, Hillel Newman, speaks about the war with Iran, the chance of a new relationship with the Gulf, and a post-Bondi relationship with Labor. 



Apparently the current mess is all the fault of Jimmy Carter and that damned socialist from Kenya, but that had implications for King Donald, shouldering the burden:

The rule of the shah in Iran was brutal and corrupt but it was also modernising and involved substantial economic development. Jimmy Carter abandoned the shah. For a moment, the ayatollahs recruited Iranian democrats, among the shah’s opponents, into a unified opposition. Once they took power, however, the ayatollahs crushed the democrats, and made Iranian life more and more repressive.
The Iranian revolution was also important because of the prestige and history of Persian civilisation. Iran is a big, powerful, consequential nation.
Over time al-Qaeda, and later Islamic State, evolved along separate Sunni tracks independent from, and often hostile to, Shia Islamism. But no single event more heavily accelerated and influenced the spread of violent Islamist extremism than the Iranian revolution.
Trump is now attempting to reverse the Iranian revolution. The idea that he’s doing this because he’s being pushed around by Israel is preposterous. Naturally, Israel rightly sees Iran as an existential threat. Naturally, the interests of Israel, the closest of US allies, is one of the factors Washington considers.
The Washington Post reports that both Saudi Arabia and Israel lobbied Trump to take action against Iran. But anyone who thinks Trump gets pushed into decisive actions of the first order of importance against his own will has not been paying any attention at all these past 12 years.
I don’t think Trump believes he can bring democracy to Iran. Although Iran is a sophisticated society – you only have to look at the films it produces – it lacks the institutional structures for democracy, and almost everyone with a gun in Iran is against democracy in principle.
What Trump seems to want to achieve with his limited military interventions in this term is use precise military action, not involving ground troops, to achieve, in Niall Ferguson’s words, not necessarily regime change – meaning total regime replacement – but rather “regime alteration”.
This is roughly what he got in Venezuela, when he got rid of Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro. This is more or less what the Americans eventually got in Egypt. Their old ally, Hosni Mubarak, lost credibility. There was a popular revolt. Washington, under Barack Obama, sided with the demonstrators.

Ah, "regime alteration", close companion to "alternative facts" and alternative reality, as the reptiles tried to reassure the bromancer by slipping in a snap of the sort of kit that always gives him a hard on, An F/A-18E Super Hornet, attached to Strike Fighter Squadron 14, makes an arrested landing on the flight deck of Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln in support of Operation Epic Fury. Picture: US Navy/Getty Images




Not even a fighter in arrested landing mode could sooth the bromancer, and at this point the bromancer's thinking became somewhat existential:

This produced a disastrous Muslim Brotherhood government in Cairo. That in turn was overthrown by military leader Abdel Fattah el-Sisi. The Americans have been perfectly happy with him ever since.
I once heard one official express it this way: “What we want is simple – a dictator who won’t commit genocide, won’t go after nuclear weapons and won’t attack us and our allies”. The most likely way something like that could emerge in Iran would be a military leader who would pledge enough fidelity to the Iranian revolution to satisfy basic Islamic identity, but would also promise social reform, for Iran’s young people, and business reform, for Iran’s economy and living standards, while ending Iran’s sponsorship of terrorism in the Middle East and around the world.
Frankly, that’s a pretty unlikely outcome, but it is at least conceivable. And such astonishing transformations have occurred in the past. Egypt changed from pro-Soviet to pro-American under Anwar Sadat. Before Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger made their overture to China, it was almost impossible to imagine Beijing ending its backing for communist insurgencies in Southeast Asia.

So there's still hope, a good bermbing can lead to transformation and redemption, and even better, with not a single boot on the ground, and look at what a good kidnapping can do to a head of state: Nicolas Maduro is seen in handcuffs after landing at a Manhattan helipad. Picture: XNY/Star Max/GC Images



Incidentally, in relation to all that, John Hanscombe spent this morning in The Echnida outrageously proposing Assassination shouldn't become the new normal (sorry, newsletter, no link). 

Inter alia...

...The 1973 New York Convention lists heads of state as internationally protected people.
As Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said in response to the killing of Khamenei, "It is an age-old convention that the heads of state/government should not be targeted."
Aware of this convention, several American presidents prohibited the killing of foreign leaders by the US.
Executive Order 11905, signed in February 1976 by then president Gerald Ford, banned the US government from engaging in or conspiring to engage in political assassination. The order came after the Senate Church Committee unearthed plots by the CIA to hit the leaders of Cuba, South Vietnam, the Dominican Republic and the Congo.
Jimmy Carter went a step further in 1978 with Executive Order 12036, which strengthened the ban. And Ronald Reagan added his proscription with Executive Order 12333 which forbade people working on behalf of the US government from engaging in assassination plots.
These orders are now meaningless. We know the CIA provided Israel with Khamenei's precise location, facilitating the assassination. Trump even bragged about the agency's ability to track Khamenei during the 12-day war last June.
Albanese's haste in supporting the action might come back to bite him in ways he should have anticipated. The surge in oil prices yesterday could be a taste of things to come, with one energy analyst warning of an oil shock far worse than those of the 1970s should the Strait of Hormuz be closed to shipping.

Hanscombe joined the "if" game ...

The inflationary effect of higher gas and fuel prices would be a disaster. For the government and for ordinary Australians struggling with a cost of living crisis that seems never-ending. That narrow path of defeating inflation while maintaining full employment will become razor thin if we're confronted with an energy shock far worse than the one triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Of course, there's a possibility things could go the other way. Should the regime change objective of the military campaign be achieved and Iran rejoins the international community as a responsible nation, oil prices would plummet as sanctions are lifted.
But that's a big if.

Luckily none of that troubled the bromancer, but waddya kno, the bromancer joined in the "if" game, this time by reverting to the art of the deal, a tome notoriously put together by King Donald's ghost writer:

One central and imponderable question is how widely and deeply the core ideology of the Iranian regime is genuinely believed in by the power elites. The Iranian population plainly hates its government, with very good reason. The Iranian revolution has delivered nothing to the Iranian people. In the past few months the regime has slaughtered tens of thousands of its own citizens who, with astonishing courage, keep protesting.
But “death to America, death to Israel” is core Iranian government ideology. Yet Iran’s whole governing apparatus has become fantastically corrupt. Business operators with decades of experience in Iran tell me Islamist ideology is now less important to elites than money.
You can make deals with corrupt governments in a way you can’t with ideological or theocratic true believers. Trump, reflexively, makes deals. If he produces a more normal government in Tehran the whole world benefits. But every outcome, including the worst, remains possible.

There you go, an epic "if" for the ages, but unfortunately it was followed by that epic billy goat butt ...

But every outcome, including the worst, remains possible.

What a gloomy old sod he's become. Clearly going MIA did nothing for his mental health.

Every outcome, including the worst, remains possible? What happened to the cheerleader of yore?

As for that opening flourish ...

In launching his military campaign against Iran, Donald Trump has made his boldest play at history yet. 

TT had some thoughts... about history remembering the demented one and his demeaned acolytes ...



Oh that poor old couch molesting bearded isolationist, so many exquisite flip flops, it should be an Olympics event.

And there was the pond, so wildly excited by the bromancer's return, so deluded into thinking he'd be able to solve everything, shockingly ignoring all the other reptiles as they beavered away to put together a digital edition for the ages ..

Yes, once again the hive mind was full of it early in the morning...




The pond only included that for evocative atmosphere ... (note the hard of hearing man featured in that opening snap).

Lesser member of the Kelly gang, a certain Joe, was all in on the idea of boots on the ground, because when has that ever gone wrong?

CRUSH THE THREAT
Trump vows to crush Iran’s threat: no boots ruled out, more attacks ahead
Trump won’t rule out US ground troops in Iran
In his first public appearance since the strikes started, Trump said Iran posed a ‘grave threat’ to the US and flagged a bigger wave of attacks.
By Joe Kelly

Crush that tin can:

In his remarks at the White House, Mr Trump provided an assurance that he would not “get bored” and move on from the conflict.
“There’s nothing boring about this,” he said. “I never get bored. If I got bored, I wouldn’t be standing here right now. I guarantee you that.”

Here no boredom, no boredom here, and if you read the opening rolling coverage, you might have stumbled across cowardly Keir ...

Keir Starmer says the UK will not join the US and Israel in its offensive strikes against Iran, telling the House of Commons his government “does not believe in regime change from the skies”.
The British Prime Minister said his party had learnt from the “mistakes of Iraq” and that any UK military action “must always have a lawful basis and a viable, thought-through plan”.
He said he decided to allow the US to use UK military bases, after initially refusing Donald Trump’s request, in order “to prevent Iran firing missiles across the region” and killing civilians.
“I say, again, we were not involved in the initial strikes on Iran and we will not join offensive action now. But in the face of Iran’s barrage of missiles and drones, we will protect our people in the region and support the collective self-defence of our allies,” he said.
“That is our duty to the British people. It is the best way to eliminate the urgent threat, to prevent the situation spiralling further.”

What a gormless knob, and the infinitely wise King Donald would have none of it ...

Donald Trump told The New York Post that he’s not ruling out sending US ground troops into Iran “if they were necessary” — adding that Operation Epic Fury was “way ahead of schedule” by taking out dozens of Tehran’s top officials.
“I don’t have the yips with respect to boots on the ground — like every president says, ‘There will be no boots on the ground.’ I don’t say it,” Mr Trump said after launching strikes Saturday to decapitate Iran’s military and political leadership
“I say ‘probably don’t need them,’ [or] ‘if they were necessary.’”

So the isolationists assembled around the couch molester, or listening to poor old Marge, have been soundly defeated.

Whither MAGA now? Wither away?

On the domestic front, you had to look way down the page for a treat, and it seemed that the yips were out and about in force...

LIBERAL REFRESH
‘Hit job’: Peter Dutton slams suppressed election review, Angus Taylor targets ISIS brides’ return in first sitting day as leader
Peter Dutton has warned Angus Taylor he can only succeed if he totally reforms the federal party headquarters.
By Sarah Ison

Turning to that epic disaster, that compleat dropkick, for his thoughts is a refresh? Off to the intermittent archive with him.

As for the rest, the pond did really go in search of the Caterist, but it seems he also went MIA this week, and so the pond's studies on the movement of flood waters in quarries had to be postponed.

That left ... not much.

Where have all the political giants gone?
Why today’s politicians can’t match Howard, Keating or Hawke for leadership
Leaders have failed to match the conviction and courage, governing skill, policy boldness and electoral success of the Hawke-Keating and Howard eras.
By Troy Bramston
Senior Writer

Waste time with ancient Troy doing the old "golden age" routine? 

Nah, might as well just go period folkie ...

Where have all the flowers gone?
Long time passing
Where have all the flowers gone?
Long time ago
Where have all the flowers gone?
The reptiles have picked them, every one
Oh, when will they ever learn?

What a pity the intermittent archive is so intermittent ... sometimes the pond feels guilty at sending the reptiles off there, as it's often a fate worse than ending up in the cornfield.

On the other hand, what a way to escape the musings of simpleton Simon:

Farrer by-election to test credibility of One Nation polls
While the Liberals worry whether Peak Pauline has passed, Hanson faces a critical challenge to convert support in the polls to bums on seat in parliament.
By Simon Benson
Political analyst

The pond will concede it's a cunning ploy, making the by-election a test of One Nation rather than a test of the beefy boofhead from down Goulburn way, allegedly in charge of the major alternative government party.

A sample of the bleat will suffice:

...Farrer is not the seat it once was. It has two major centres that make up almost 70 per cent of the voters in the seat, but one that is dominant – Albury. Albury has an increasingly young demographic and has had a significant growth in public sector jobs. Ironically, decentralisation, a policy once championed by the Nationals (and Barnaby Joyce no less), has imported workers who are less likely to vote conservative. Water rights and an upgrade to Albury hospital seem to be the main concerns beyond cost-of-living pressures.
Unless the combined Liberal-Nationals vote can stay ahead of One Nation, the Liberal candidate – whoever that may be – won’t even be in the race. It’s a scenario that would have been unthinkable even a year ago: that the Coalition could lose this seat, which has been in either Nationals or Liberal hands since its formation.
The legacy of the fight between One Nation, the Liberals and the Nationals may well be gifting this seat, once held by Nationals leader Tim Fischer, to an independent and see Farrer go the way of Indi.
While Farrer poses a significant challenge for the Liberals to retain in the current circumstances, perhaps the more significant test will be One Nation’s ability to convert support in the polls to bums on seats in parliament.

So the simpleton's work is to set up the beefy boofhead for failure? 

He's likely a loser, so let's see if the lesser mob bomb out too?

Weird times, and so for a little relief, the pond took in a brief two minute draught of a depressed bouffant one ...



Poor bouffant one, unhappy times, unhappy scribbler ... but the pond became strangely cheerful at the sighting of freedumb boy, and the smirking beefy boofhead, entirely unaware of the bouffant one's lament, as he carried on ..

Albanese worked it so that he was the only MP to say anything nice about the departed Liberal leader – she acted with “grace and dignity” – and left Taylor only enough room to say nice things about the winter Olympians.
But the real problem for Taylor was that the tactical mistakes were built on a strategic failure.
Worse still, the strategic failure was a result of trying to recapture the wrong lost voters for the wrong reasons.
For the entire question time, the Coalition – Liberals and Nationals alike – did not ask one question on the economy. Not one, as new opposition Treasury spokesman and bright spark Tim Wilson was benched.
All the questions were about the so-called ISIS brides and Labor’s “plan to repatriate them”, including one question that was so poorly phrased Albanese simply dismissed it without the need to answer.
Facing a Labor government that is contributing to rising inflation, interest rate rises, increasing housing costs, a retreat into negative real wages, a lift in food prices and a massive surge in energy costs, Taylor asked only about 11 ISIS supporters and their children in a camp in Syria.
Taylor was determined to appeal to people who have shifted their support from the Coalition to One Nation with an appeal to “shut the gate” and “close the door” to the ISIS supporters.

Just to add to the bouffant one's woes, the reptiles flung in an AV reminder, The price of oil has surged on Monday after Iran shut down a crucial chokepoint — and experts warn Aussie households will not escape the fallout.




Now there's a delicate problem, which might be a tad tricky for the beefy boofhead, always a knife short of a good sharpening. 

Get on board with team MAGA and celebrate a cost of living disaster (unless you happen to have an EV, said the pond in a tone suffused with insufferable gloating) ... or deplore King Donald's adventurism, attack Albo and Wong's shameless attempt to duck and weave in a word salad of fellow travelling, and sound remotely sane ...

The bouffant one decided it was all beyond the beefy boofhead, intent on a culture war while the world moved on ...

It came after a press conference before question time during which he explicitly declared he would show respect to people thinking of voting for One Nation but wanted to convince them to “trust the Liberal Party again”.
Taylor said he wanted “to restore Australia’s standard of living and protect our way of life, shutting the door on ideologies that are unacceptable in this country, making sure that housing is affordable and that we have home ownership as a centrepiece of our economy again, making sure we’ve got affordable energy without Labor’s net-zero ideology”.
But in parliament Taylor and his team didn’t mention anything about the economy and let Labor set the agenda on tax, superannuation, wages and cost of living while batting away questions on the ISIS brides.
A narrow focus on ISIS brides as an appeal to Liberal supporters moving to One Nation misses the point that fears about high immigration are based on the belief that it is pushing up prices, particularly of rents and house prices, which is the real concern.
Introducing a bill to stop 20-odd mothers and children connected to ISIS is not going to alter the view that the real problem is the rising cost of living. Since October last year, while the Coalition has been tearing itself apart and completely missing in action, satisfaction with Albanese has dropped seven points to 40 per cent in the latest Newspoll.
Taylor needs to realise quickly that it’s about the economy and if Albanese’s support can fall so drastically when the Coalition is doing nothing, imagine what it could achieve by asking real questions about living costs.

And that's it for the day. 

No careening Caterist, no floodwaters, no epic Groaning, and as the pond has been hitting the reptile books way too hard, it was time for a rest ... and for the next bermb to go off in the third act ...