The pond reacted with fear, alarm, despair.
The pond knew what this top of the page splash meant in a heartbeat, in a cosmic flash of fatigue ...
...and yet the pond couldn't look away. It was like stumbling on a car accident or an ancient mariner.
It might be the ruination of the pond for all time, as correspondents reeled away, a mingle of nausea and tedium jumbling in their agitated bowels, but it had to be done...
The header: Crisis of conviction: how the Liberal Party destroyed itself from within; three PMs in nine years had policy wins facing new challenges but Australia did not deliver its potential under a badly divided Liberal Party.
The caption for Sean's brave use of his digital finger: Liberal leaders, from left, Scott Morriosn (sic, so and thus, don't try to pin that one on the pond), Tony Abbott and Malcolm Turnbull, with John Howard in the background. Digital illustration: Sean Callinan
A full 13 minutes of "Ned" ferreting through ancient remains, allegedly to provide insight, but really acting as a glorified extended book promo? So be it, if it had to be done, it must be done.
It wasn't as if there weren't alternatives. Diligent reptiles faithfully kept up familiar reptile jihads.
Relax, the pond just threw in that yarn about the horrific eggs, but won't bother linking.
Instead those who can't handle "Ned" can head off to the intermittent archive ...
Chalmers’ capital gains tax fix is a non-starter: start-ups
Jim Chalmers has been warned that Labor’s proposed capital gains tax exemption for start-ups has onerous hurdles that will make it too hard for most innovative companies to qualify.
By Greg Brown, James Kirby and Thomas Henry
It was way back on 12th May 2026 that the budget came down, and yet here the jihadist reptiles still are, jihadist egg beaters at the ready ...
‘Chasing their tail’: Renters caught in budget trap
Renters hit by soaring costs as federal budget housing reforms backfire
Weekly rents are outpacing savings, and house prices refuse to fall fast enough, economists warn.
By Mackenzie Scott and Marcus de Blonk Smith
Valiant snappy Tom stood in for the bromancer, and raged at the guvermint ...
Labor’s approach to urgent challenges is bitsy; no wonder the simpletons are on the march
Our defence bill could hit $1 trillion, wages are shrinking and growth is stalling – yet the government’s answer is a tax tweak here and there.
By Tom Dusevic
Columnist
They were tempting in their own way, but the pond felt like King Lear ...
Thou art a soul in bliss, but I am bound
Upon a wheel of fire, that mine own tears
Do scald like molten lead.
It was past time to scald some ancient lead with "Ned" ...
The Liberal-National Coalition was in office over 2013-22 but its hold on power for much of that period was unconvincing. The grip the Liberal Party had long exercised on Australian psychology – exemplified by the success of Sir Robert Menzies, Malcolm Fraser and John Howard – began to fall apart during the Abbott-Turnbull-Morrison era. The party of the established order lost its hold on the nation.
The great reform age that began with the 1983 Hawke-Keating election and continued under the Howard government had passed into history. This was the age of Australian Exceptionalism, when the nation was reshaped by bold governments and astute leaders.
The reform project spanning 20 years finally succumbed to generational change and mounting sclerosis in the political system. The Rudd-Gillard-Rudd era retreated from Hawke-Keating reformism, the Abbott-Turnbull-Morrison era failed to capture the Liberal reformism of the Howard-Costello period, and the Albanese Labor government struggled to implement a convincing agenda in its first term.
Death knell for Exceptionalism
Australian Exceptionalism had entered the twilight zone.
By the early and mid-2020s the conclusion was obvious: Australia was no longer a global exemplar of reform, no longer leading the pack of industrialised nations in its performances.
Interviewed in late 2024, former treasurer Peter Costello argued that Australian Exceptionalism had terminated: “Australian Exceptionalism became a phrase used in the IMF (International Monetary Fund). We were considered a model by other Western nations. This process began with Hawke and Keating but the fiscal high point – 10 budget surpluses and the retirement of all commonwealth debt – was considered to be Australian Exceptionalism.
“What we have lost is the idea that Australia can be exceptional. The idea that Australia can lead the world has disappeared. I feel it is the end of an era, when Australia was exceptional but does not see itself as exceptional any more.”
Part of the process was to examine every little bit that the cat and "Ned" had dragged in ... In 2011, former Prime Minister Paul Keating implored Labor to ‘recognise what it has created’. Picture: News Corp
Sheesh, "Ned" and his cycles and his conundrums ...
History moves in cycles. In 2011 Keating implored Labor to “recognise what it has created”, saying Labor “has created a new society and it has to be the party of the new society” yet he was met with denial and incomprehension. The Hawke-Keating age was not reproduced; it was finished and consigned to history.
The conundrum of the 21st century was that the more successful nations became, the more problems they generated – expanding budgets, high debts, more carbon emissions, greater environmental damage, rising social divides, the loss of social mobility, the resentment of the disadvantaged, the greed of the elites, the decline in education standards and the relentless debasement of cultural life.
How soon before the reptiles did a bigly book cover plug? Pretty soon ... The Twilight of Exceptionalism by Paul Kelly.
The pond isn't exactly sure if this is the point the official extract began, not having read the original, nor ever likely to ... but in any case, the pond's feeble justification, yet again, is that it might have some interest for those refusing to part with their shekels, and those who realise the tome might take a while to hit a street book library ...
‘The pervasive defect facing the Liberal Party in the 21st century was the demise of conviction – the party conducted three experiments under three different prime ministers, unable to agree among themselves about what they represented.
Tony Abbott, Malcolm Turnbull and Scott Morrison had strong policy beliefs, but a party that cannot agree on its leader is a party that cannot summon conviction. Once the lack of conviction infects the party, recovery is slow and painful, at best.
The Liberal Party suffered a loss of conviction over much of its governing 2013-22 era. This culminated in opposition in 2025 when the Liberals endured the worst election defeat in their history – a defeat where the demise of Liberal conviction was the pivotal factor in the public’s rejection.
The warning pathway was brightly lit. The public detected a loss of party nerve after the 2014 Abbott-Hockey budget. Turnbull’s 2016 election campaign was devoid of persuasive Liberal values and beliefs. In 2022 the Morrison government was defeated because people were unsure of its beliefs – they saw a party conducting politics but confused about conviction.
The Liberal and Labor reviews of the 2022 election agreed on one point: Scott Morrison’s unpopularity drove the government’s debacle. But this missed the greater truth – the Liberals were years deep into an identity crisis.
Blaming Morrison was yesterday’s news. If Morrison had been the sole problem the solution would have been simple.
Over the nine years there were three decisive events with consequences for the conviction deficit.
The first was the September 2015 removal of Abbott, an elected PM in his first term, by a relatively narrow partyroom vote. The upshot was a permanently fractured partyroom with Turnbull, from the start, doomed in his effort to keep the Liberals fit for purpose.
The second event was Turnbull’s narrow re-election in 2016 after just the first term of office with a loss of 14 seats – the ruin of Turnbull’s claims as a vote winner or an exponent of Liberal faiths – setting a perilous second-term trajectory pointing to the government most likely facing termination in 2019.
Oh dear, not SloMo again ... Scott Morrison’s unpopularity missed a greater truth – the Liberals were years deep into an identity crisis. Picture: Getty Images
Apparently if you read "Ned", SloMo had "intellectual fuel", but ran out, a bit like the way the Russians are currently running short of petrol...
After the loss of office, senior figures reflected on the malaise eroding the Liberal Party. John Howard said while longevity was a factor, the deeper issue in the 2022 defeat was “we had no plan for the future”. Elections are about the national direction. Yet, said Howard, “We had no manifesto. No statement of where we were going to take the country.”
After nine years of Liberal government the Morrison engine ran out of intellectual fuel.
But Howard saw a broader difficulty. Referring to the entire 2013-22 era, Howard said: “People lost sight of our enduring philosophy. This was obviously one of the reasons why we had changes of leader. Part of this was a lack of conviction over policy and identity.”
The lying rodent thought he had an enduring philosophy? There's no end to the capacity for delusion, and even worse, the reptiles decided to slip in a bunch of cracker barrel thoughts ...
Former federal director of the Liberal Party and former minister Andrew Robb described the collapse of faith: “At the 2022 election defeat many of our people didn’t turn out. They had lost all confidence in the prime minister combined with the absence of any sense of future direction, rooted in policies people needed and expected from the Liberal Party.
“Since John Howard left, the party has been characterised by too much endless disruption, endless changes in its authority figures and the lack of consistency. The recent era has been characterised by the lack of consistency, unity and conviction.”
After the 2022 defeat, Abbott confronted the issue of conviction: “Our job is not to be a slightly less politically correct, slightly less fiscally irresponsible, and slightly less overbearing version of the Labor Party.”
Sheesh ... Former Prime Minister Tony Abbott. Picture: Getty Images
Why bother with this parade of dropkicks and losers contemplating their navels, while "Ned" busily gathered fluff?
Because it's there, and because that's what pro herpetologists do, no matter the pain ...
The conviction malaise, in effect, was conceded in the official review of the 2022 Liberal election campaign conducted by Brian Loughnane and Jane Hume. It said: “The Coalition’s agenda for a fourth term appeared to be limited and unclear to the electorate. The sense the government had ‘run its race’ was allowed to develop as a result.”
Interviewed in 2023, opposition leader Peter Dutton tied the lack of conviction to the leadership eruptions: “It’s important to be honest with ourselves. From the time that Tony Abbott was deposed by Malcolm Turnbull the Liberal Party hasn’t stood for any substantive policy formulation. The Morrison government was defined by the response to Covid and by AUKUS and it did a sterling job in both areas. But there was no major policy offering at the 2022 election.”
The irony in these remarks is that Dutton was describing the central mistake he would make as Liberal leader before and during the 2025 election – this was a case of knowing the problem but being unable to avoid repeating it.
Asked about Howard’s critique that the party had no 2022 election manifesto to highlight Liberal–Labor differences, deputy leader and treasurer at the time Josh Frydenberg partly conceded the case: “There were points of difference. But it wasn’t enough just to say we had managed the pandemic as well as any other country in the world. We needed a couple of key battlelines with the opposition to highlight the differences between us and them. And that wasn’t present.”
From Frydenberg, it is a telling concession.
Then came three more from the cracker barrel ...
“So this is hell. I'd never have believed it. You remember all we were told about the torture-chambers, the fire and brimstone, the "burning marl." Old wives' tales! There's no need for red-hot pokers. Hell is ... either other people, or worse still, "Ned" blathering endlessly on about the Liberal party!”
Turnbull approached the conviction issue from a different vantage point – as a progressive. The point is the Liberals were plagued not just by a lack of conviction but by differences over what constituted conviction. It was a double dilemma.
Turnbull said: “You get this madness that the party is being told by its media backers to move further and further to the right, focus on values issues, whether transgender kids or denying climate change, all of this craziness that had been infecting the party for years … it’s electoral catastrophe.”
Turnbull claimed that unless the Liberals found conviction on the climate issue, “it is difficult to see how the Liberal Party can ever win a majority in the House of Representatives”. This is a doom-laden statement about the party’s future. There was heavy irony surrounding these remarks given Turnbull’s leadership as PM was notable for its conviction malaise – witness the 2016 election. Indeed, the conservative wing typically assailed Turnbull as PM for the defect against which he was lecturing – a lack of conviction.
Not the mutton Dutton, anything but that ... Opposition Leader Peter Dutton concedes defeat during a Liberal Party election night event at W Hotel on May 3, 2025. Picture: Getty Images
By this time, some punters might be feeling a little Golding ...
Abbott and Turnbull had conflicting beliefs on climate policy and fought over the issue for a decade. In this sense the conviction failure became an identity failure. The question became: conviction for what?
Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison – then Dutton as opposition leader – had different views on what the party should be convinced about. By the time of the 2025 election under Dutton the dilemma seemed to be solved – the party apparently settled on the absence of conviction.
In truth, Morrison’s defeat at the 2022 election transcended his personal deficiencies. The Loughnane-Hume review offered devastating conclusions, saying the result “is not comparable to any previous one in Australian political history”.
Losing control of the brand
The Liberal Party had been reduced to four out of 44 inner-metropolitan seats. The debacle had been years in the making. The party lost seats to the left and to the right – to Labor, the teal independents and to the Greens.
The review report said: “By the time of the election the Coalition had lost control of its brand.” The lack of policy projection meant the Liberals were “unable to frame the electoral contest” and the government was defined by its opponents.
A party that cannot define itself has no future. The problem was not just tactics and presentation but core belief.
The 2014 budget was a work of conviction. Abbott and Joe Hockey saw it as a statement of belief. But that budget became a turning point in the Coalition era, conceivably the turning point – by bringing down punitive savings for which a shocked public was unprepared.
Robb, a minister at the time, said of the first budget: “It killed Abbott, it killed Hockey, and it threw the government into disarray.”
Abbott and Hockey were believers. But their conviction in winding back the budget deficit triggered a collapse in government support and, unsurprisingly, a sustained retreat from conviction. Hockey said: “Turnbull weaponised the internal dissent and got away with it because of the lack of conviction in our ranks about the economic strategy.”
The lesson is that convictions can be dangerous. The wrong conviction can destroy a leader – witness Abbott with his first budget. Conviction can make a government but also ruin a government – recall Abbott again with his knighthood for Prince Philip.
Turnbull arrived with his new manifesto of cosmetic progressivism that would never be acceptable to the wider reaches of the party. He was exposed at the 2016 election when he ran a mediocre campaign.
The party’s internal review of that election, scathing and largely kept secret, criticised the government’s failure, saying there was no “clear plan with a clear narrative”. Decoded, there was no conviction. Turnbull demonstrated there was no necessary nexus between intelligence and conviction. He lost 14 seats and came to the brink of minority government. Turnbull survived but was permanently diminished.
Former federal president of the Liberal Party Richard Alston said, after Turnbull had left politics, that he should resign from the Liberal Party: “He should acknowledge the reality that he has no interest in party politics and no interest in the Liberal Party.”
On the upside, Malware was the last snap in the parade of dropkicks and losers... Former Australian prime minister Malcolm Turnbull. The party’s internal review of the 2013 election, scathing and largely kept secret, said there was no “clear plan with a clear narrative”. Picture: AFP
That seemed to inspire "Ned" to get even more prolix, in his ponderous, portentous, pedantic way ... as if mere words could turn SloMo into some weird down-to-earth pragmatic, rather than the clap happy clown he was ...
In 2019 Morrison won a narrow victory, a tribute to his tenacity, yet much of the victory reflected a negative campaign on Labor’s tax agenda while retaining just enough confidence in the Coalition to get across the line. Morrison’s win secured three parliamentary terms for this Coalition era, but defeat – when it came in 2022 – was devastating.
During the Coalition era the Liberals won three elections but lost the battle of ideas with the Labor-led progressive alliance on a range of economic, social and cultural issues.
Howard said competence is vital in politics. But he added that competence “does not really inspire people” – they “bank it and say ‘OK, that’s good, what’s next?’ and this was Morrison’s failure.” Howard said: “After a long time in government people wanted more and Morrison didn’t have that.”
Howard was astonished at the absence of resolve – that Morrison did not take a stand against identity politics, did not back economic reform, prosecute the religious discrimination bill far earlier or push the anti-corruption commission bill to a parliamentary vote. You can agree or disagree with Howard’s comments – the point is he was searching for signs of Liberal Party conviction.
Killing ground of conviction
Internal division is the killing ground of conviction. The list of Liberal and Coalition policy divisions over nine years was a litany: climate change, same-sex marriage, fiscal policy, tax policy, free speech, religious freedom and LGBTIQ rights.
In truth, Howard’s record as PM only highlighted the subsequent Liberal loss of conviction. He was far more defined by what he did than what he denied – sponsoring gun law reform, waterfront reform, the GST-led tax reform, budget surpluses, industrial relations deregulation, Work Choices, income tax cuts, private school funding, border protection, offshore processing, support for East Timor’s independence, deepening the US alliance, anti-terrorism laws, war commitments in Afghanistan and Iraq, and backing the constitutional monarchy.
Some of these stands succeeded and some failed – Work Choices set the Liberals back many years. The point is Howard, even more than Menzies, saw the Liberals as a party of political attack. By presenting the Liberal Party as a “broad church” embodying conservatism and liberalism, Howard widened his scope for political initiatives and attack based on conviction
principles. (sic, reptile layout, reproduced with uxorious pond fidelity)
The reptiles repeated yet again an AV distraction, yet somehow this time it ended up on YouTube as a freebie, as the reptiles tried to repair the damage of decades of intractable iron curtain paywall...
The Front
presented by Claire Harvey
Nation Loses
Damned if the pond would link to something the reptiles were trying to give away for free, because by this point, the pond had begun to feel even more Learish ...
I am mightily abused. I should ev'n die with pity
To see another thus. I know not what to say.
I will not swear these are my hands. Let’s see.
I feel this pinprick. Would I were assured
Of my condition.
At last the final gobbet arrived, the last extract a reminder sundry dental extractions...
Former Institute of Public Affairs executive director John Roskam said: “The broad church has fractured. Conservatives have become more assertive and more defensive of their positions. At the same time progressives or moderates have formed a different view of society and are appealing to an entirely different demographic. The Liberal Party is lacking confidence. It hasn’t renewed ideologically or philosophically, and it doesn’t know how to achieve this.”
The Liberal Party over the Abbott-Turnbull-Morrison era became an institution prone to identity experimentation. It embraced and discarded leaders but, in the process, undermined the concept of a party in control of its brand or political values. This defect evolved into a full-scale conviction and existence crisis in the following four years.
Howard had departed politics in 2007 – yet he remained ever-present. Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison sought his advice and invoked his name while seeking to promote their own vision for the party. They aspired to reinterpret Howard to fit the second decade of the 21st century. Each tried and each failed in his separate, distinctive way.
In the process, the sense of Liberal abiding conviction all but disappeared.’
Yes, yes, it's profoundly amusing to see the IPA blathering about the fracturing of the broad church, but the pond was more startled to be reminded that this was yet another step in the destruction of the reputation of the University of Melbourne ...
– This is an edited extract from Paul Kelly’s The Twilight of Exceptionalism: The Liberal and Conservative Era, published by Melbourne University Press, out on July 14.
Only three days to go before the book hits the stands, but will that put an end to this nonsense?
The pond couldn't help but wonder if the lizard Oz might keep on promoting the book for an eternity of suffering ...
You see, is killed in him. And yet it is danger
To make him even o'er the time he has lost.
Desire him to go in. Trouble him no more
Till further settling.
Speaking of time lost, and lost times...
The pond just had enough strength left to deal with a most heartbreaking tale from the Angelic one...
The header: Tax changes mean it’s closing time for the bank of mum and dad; We had nothing from our own parents except good advice, which basically counselled frugality, to buy whatever you can and work your way up.
The caption for the incredibly moving snap: Sisters Isabella and Olivia Maxwell received a monetary gift from their family to help them get a joint property under the 5 per cent deposit scheme in September. Picture: Aaron Francis
The pond has saved a few reptiles for its Sunday meditation, but felt compelled to add this harrowing account by the Angelic one to "Ned's" Everest climb.
See if you are so insensible, so insensitive as to not suffer along with her ...
My husband and I are founding members of that bank.
We have been married for 50 years and have nine adult children. We had nothing from our own parents except good advice, which basically counselled frugality, to buy whatever you can and work your way up. We did. We bought and sold, and eventually in the fifth year of our marriage we bought a good three-bedroom house in a non-gentrified inner suburb of Sydney. Then over time we have been able to acquire some older investment properties and so have progressed to become the bank.
But it was difficult. We didn’t set out to be owners of more than one house. We had to move several times, which was when we discovered negative gearing. However, we almost lost our one family house in the 1980s when our interest rates went up to 18 per cent. My husband changed jobs and we moved to a regional town, I worked part-time and we lived on the family allowance while hanging on grimly to our Sydney house.
Oh the gruesome lot of being a landlord, the endless boot strap suffering, worthy of a stock footage snap... Unintentionally becoming the bank of mum and dad was far from easy. Picture: iStock
That banal image just about said it all ... yet for some reason, the pond was reminded of Mr Krook in Bleak House, notorious illiterate rag-and-bottle merchant and landlord, given to spontaneous combustion ... just the sort of chap who'd love to pick up a few more shabby old flats...
We had our ninth child by this time and needed more accommodation, especially for the two eldest who were 18 and 19. It was cheaper and a better investment to buy two old flats than to put on an extension. The two eldest were at university and had part-time jobs, so instead of renting a flat to them we put one in their names. Ten years later, when our daughter married, they sold the flat and had a good return that enabled them to buy their own family houses.
I don’t understand the resentment towards people who can do this. After all, why do people think we struggle, save and buy other property? Just so we can sit around and tell ourselves how successful we are? No, we do it for our children and our possible future grandchildren. As for the young who buy and sell for a profit, so what? Like us, several of our children for whom we have been guarantor have bought, sold and renovated their way into very good houses.
What is more, they have housed going on nine grandchildren between them. So, our older children have all profited by our ability to go guarantor for them.
To help out those who wanted to join the landlord class, the reptiles provided these numbered points to summarise landlord despair.
Damn you Jimbo, damn you to reptile hell...
Today’s young people are very mobile. Many who would have used negative gearing to buy and build equity in an old cheaper place they didn’t live in as a way to offset their mortgage repayments, increase their equity and use that investment as a means to buy a better, larger place to live, perhaps something in a better area where they could eventually have a family, now are almost denied that opportunity. Worse, with prices falling, many young people who bought to live in their place with a 5 per cent deposit, like the two sisters featured in The Australian (“Bank of Mum and Dad cuts funding”, 8/7) who were able to buy with a guarantee from their mum and dad, will end up stuck in negative equity.
Another aspect of all this is that since the advent of compulsory superannuation, older people have been encouraged to invest and prepare for their own retirement. Some may invest purely for their own retirement. However, every parent has an idea of what they can do to help their children while they are alive, or what they can leave their children after their death, as my parents eventually did. Hence the importance of the family home, which is also the basis of the bank of mum and dad.
The Angelic one was simply joining in the obligatory reptile jihad about the budget ... Anthony Albanese claims to be promoting generational equity. Picture: Getty Images
Oh the suffering, the endless reptile suffering, oh the horror, the lizard Oz jihadist horror ...
So, despite Labor’s mantra, by almost destroying mum and dad investment, it has torn out the heart of generational equity.
Anthony Albanese is the child of a single mother who lived in a housing commission home. As a good mother she had her son’s future welfare on her mind when, as the Prime Minister once told us in parliament, she gave him a salient piece of advice: “As soon as you can, buy a house.” He did. Doubtless he was able to benefit from negative gearing as property values soared in Marrickville. But it is a pity he didn’t think about the rest of us who were using those same legal mechanisms to help their own children, many now stuck with negative equity in a property with a mortgage they can’t afford.
DP, when will you start invoking the lettuce to boofhead? It is a Ley down Misère mizaire.
ReplyDelete