Saturday, August 23, 2025

In which the pond refuses to enable the genocide enablers, and enables the Ughmann and "Ned" instead ...

 

The pond woke to news of a report offering irrefutable proof of an Israeli-government induced famine in Gaza, together with the usual defences, of the insidious and pathetic "blood libel" kind.

The pond wondered if it had been a fever dream, but no, there it was in the NY Times, with the usual both siderist "monitors say" spin ...




The Graudian followed the same line ... only this time they were UN-backed experts ...




Haaretz went all in, not relying on the report while offering their own detailed account of the unfolding disaster.. (*archive link)




So the pond turned to the lizard Oz this morning, and got exactly what it expected.

The sound of crickets, and the cornfields at work again, and here's the evidence ...



The pond checked back a little later in the morning, and there were still crickets...

Over on the extreme far right it was the same story ... enablers of ethnic cleansing and genocide at work ...



The dog botherer led the way for the genocide enabling useless idiots ...

What we do and say matters to Israel – and the bloodthirsty jihadists of Hamas, too
There can be no resolution of the ‘Palestinian question’ until the useful idiots in the West understand that the Islamist extremists who fire the rockets and slaughter the innocents are not a liberation army – but jihadist zealots.
By Chris Kenny
Associate Editor (National Affairs)

There were variations ...

PM and Bibi must call truce to save crucial friendship
As a first step, Anthony Albanese should propose a truce with the Israeli leader in their public disagreements, and meet him in New York, despite their fundamental positions on Gaza.
By Peter Jennings
Contributor

Down below the fold you could find more useless idiot enabling ...

Netanyahu’s powerful insights
Israel’s dispute with the Albanese government over premature recognition of a Palestinian state comes down to lack of conviction from Australia while Israel is fighting on behalf of Western civilisation.
Editorial

James Kirchick from the WSJ offered a particularly contemptible form of denialism, by denying the targeting of Gazan journalists on the pretext that they weren't journalists at all, so no matter, no never mind ...

Who is a ‘journalist’ in Gaza?, To put people who celebrated or participated in the October 7 attacks in the same category as journalists Daniel Pearl, Marie Colvin and James Foley is a disgrace.

Inter alia ...

...What’s being hyped as an unprecedented attack on journalists is actually a cynical salvo in an information war. By claiming that Israeli brutality is responsible for the deaths of a “record” number of “journalists” in Gaza, international press-freedom groups have committed a category error. The figure is high because the world has never seen a conflict in which so many people working on behalf of terrorist organisations have been disingenuously characterised as journalists by once-respected watchdog groups. The cause of international press freedom is undermined when its leading institutions launder jihadist martyrdom into journalistic sacrifice.
Consider Ian Williams, president of the Foreign Press Association, who recently told CNN, “Frankly I don’t care whether Al-Sharif was in Hamas or not. We don’t kill journalists for being Republicans or Democrats … Hamas is a political organisation, as well as a terrorist organisation, perhaps.”
That last word— “perhaps” — explains everything. To Mr Williams and others of his ilk, a totalitarian Islamist movement that murders its opponents has the same democratic legitimacy as an American political party. As long its members put on a flak jacket with the word PRESS written on it, they qualify as intrepid war correspondents protected by international law.
Organisations like RSF and the CPJ rightly complain when governments falsely accuse reporters of being terrorists so they can surveil, prosecute, imprison and kill them. But by championing propagandists for jihad as members of the Fourth Estate, press freedom advocates are guilty of the same transgression: conflating terrorism and journalism.
The Wall St Journal

And yet the reptiles would consider themselves "journalists", when in reality they're propaganda hacks for a monstrous foreign invader.

Don't take the pond's word, celebrate the keen Keane's excoriation in Crikey ...

Netanyahu proves he’s a thin-skinned, genocidal man-child — and that News Corp is a foreign propaganda outlet, The Israeli prime minister poses as a tough guy, but criticism reduces him to a quivering jelly of rage. It’s no surprise he went to News Corp to vent. (*archive link)

Inter alia ... (and full disrespect to simpleton Sharri intended) ...

..Netanyahu — whom one would think had a country to run, a genocide to preside over and a campaign of ethnic cleansing to coordinate — has made it his number-one priority to personally attack Albanese and harangue Australia.
It’s as if Slobodan Milošević had rung in to Alan Jones to whinge about Gareth Evans during the siege of Sarajevo.
...It’s no surprise Netanyahu turned to News Corp to give him a platform. It is the RT of Australia: a foreign-owned propaganda outlet dedicated to pushing the interests of its foreign masters and the governments they favour. But one would have thought even Sky News had standards. Given it has previously apologised for platforming a neo-Nazi, Sky News surely should have thought twice before platforming a far-right leader who is not merely an accused war criminal on trial for serious corruption, but also one who actively aided and abetted Hamas, the terror group he now insists Australia is rewarding.
Is this the kind of guest Sky News now allows on, a man who encouraged payments to Hamas? A man who enabled Hamas to conduct its atrocities in October 2023? Is it now Sky News’ policy to platform people who not merely encourage but also enable the funding of monsters like Hamas? Truly Sky News is Australia’s own Genocide Network.
...Not that Israel’s equivalent of Trump covered himself in glory before a fawning News Corp employee. Pro-Palestine protesters in Western countries should be “counteracted”, he insisted, a strange choice of words, and an alarming one given the enthusiasm of the Israeli Defense Forces for shooting protesters.
If a Chinese leader had demanded Australia “counteract” protesters against China in our streets, you can imagine the febrile reaction from News Corp and the Sinophobes scattered across Australian media. And Netanyahu persisted in denying that Israel was responsible for any starvation in Gaza despite Israeli human rights groups and Israeli media arguing — in some cases for well over a year — that Israel has been starving Gazans deliberately.
But most of all, Netanyahu was keen to hammer the trope that Israel was the bleeding edge of Western civilisation facing savage hordes: “We’re actually fighting the war of Western civilisation against these barbarians.”
“Fighting the war” means starving children to death, turning the provision of food aid into a bloodsport for foreign mercenaries, using drone strikes to kill aid workers, killing journalists to prevent coverage of atrocities, bombing and sniping civilians sheltering in tent encampments, and ethnically cleansing regions to accommodate colonies.
As it turns out, that’s exactly what “Western civilisation” has meant for so many non-white peoples for so long. The thin-skinned man-child was, however inadvertently, pointing to a historic truth far more resonant than his laboured comparisons with 1938.

Well scribbled keen Keane, and what a relief there's a forum for it, and a writer willing to say it.

The pond realised that offering any of the reptiles this day doing their best to present a genocidal government in a way pleasing to the hive mind would be deeply wrong, and so regrets to advise correspondents that the pond has decided not to enable any of the lizard Oz genocide-loving useless idiots enabling a genocide this weekend.

Nor will it be enabling Pembo from the deep croweater south ... who has suddenly gone full JK and discovered TG bashing is the reptile jihad of the day ...

Why has it taken JK Rowling to call this issue out for what it truly is?
Occasionally stories come along which make you do a double-take and rub your eyes to make sure you haven’t been pranked. But no, this actually happened.
By David Penberthy
Columnist

Instead of all that, the pond will offer some mild sport, starting with the Ughmann...



The pond could almost stop at the get go, at the low comedy offered by that AI-looking image, but will press on ...

The header: Why are the Liberals so bad at telling their own success story? In the history wars, the Liberals are scarcely in the ring. Howard and Abbott tried, but as the 50th anniversary of Gough Whitlam’s dismissal, it’s time for modern MPs to rebalance the books and reclaim the narrative.

The caption for the execrable illustration, featuring that ding dong onion muncher, and never mind that he was one of the country's worst PMs in recent years, contending with other Libs such as Billy McMahon for the honour: Australia owes its existence to liberal thinking and was built on the firm foundations of its creed: individual freedom, the rule of law, parliamentary democracy, the family as the bedrock of society, equality of opportunity, enterprise, liberty and a fair go. Pictures: News Corp

Strange that the former seminarian should have decided that "liberal thinking"was the way forward, and not the hocus pocus of a trip to heaven ...

If the pond wanted to discuss the notion it might head off here for starters ...

Professor of Politics and Philosophy from the Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, Alexandre Lefebvre argues that liberalism isn't just a political ideology having to do with individual rights, parliaments, and courts. Today it has become so much more. Its values have become the air we breathe and water we swim in, impacting every aspect of our lives from our moral values to our everyday choices.
“Let me put it this way,” he says. “If you ask a religious person where they get their values and moral sensibility from, they’ll have an answer right away: a church, faith, or religious text. No fuss, no muss.”
“But it’s tricky for those of us, like me, without religion—the 40 percent of us in Australia who select ‘no religion’. What can we point to?”
The answer he puts forward is liberalism. Liberalism is an ideology born in the 19th century and its core values, Lefebvre states, are “personal freedom, fairness, tolerance, reciprocity, self-reflection, and irony. In the way that Christianity, for example, has a recognisable package of moral commitments and excellences (such as love, fellowship, charity, and devotion), so does liberalism.”
From television and movies to stand-up comedy and social media, he says liberalism profoundly shapes our cultural landscape:

“Netflix, not civics lessons, is where we imbibe liberalism nowadays.” Professor Alexandre Lefebvre

He says the influence of liberalism in pop culture is pervasive, whether it be TV (Parks and Recreation and The Good Place), stand-up comedy (Hannah Gadsby and Dave Chappelle – whose humour is all about probing the limits of tolerance and identity), swear words (and how slurs have become our taboo words), or pornography (the mainstream of which trades on toying with the notion of consent).

The pond might get picky, a mention of the Renaissance and early Enlightenment days, and Netflix is where idle streamers imbibe a never ending stream of crap, but it was good to have a mention of irony and atheism ... (and the bush religion of mateship can be saved for a Russell Ward day) ...

Meanwhile, the Ughmann makes the classic mistake the reptiles make on a daily basis: confusing and conflating Liberals and the Liberal party with "liberalism".

Egad sir, the onion muncher is no liberal, not in the proper sense of the word, nor for that matter the lying rodent ...

Why are the Liberals so bad at telling their own story? This is not just a critique of incumbent MPs and senators; it has held true of the party for decades.
Stories and mythologies matter. They are the scaffolding of identity and meaning. We live in the stories we inherit, and for the better part of the past half-century the Liberals have allowed their opponents to shape the national tale. Labor casts itself as the party of progress and ideas, the architect of every great reform, while painting the Liberals as dull, reactionary administrators. That frame has become the shorthand of our history.
But history shows that when it came to shaping the nation itself, it was the liberals who laid the foundations. Australia was born of liberal ideals, yet the party that bears that name has rarely claimed its inheritance.
This is not to deny Labor its achievements. It has much to be proud of. But re-reading its history in the lead-up to the 50th anniversary of the dismissal of Gough Whitlam underscores that Whitlam’s enduring achievement was not in reshaping the nation so much as remaking an ossified Labor Party.

The pond promised rich comedy, and the haunting of the reptiles by Gough continues - he must be torn between living in heaven and living rent free in the hive mind, During Australia's constitutional crisis of 1975, Prime Minister Gough Whitlam addresses reporters outside the parliament building in Canberra after his dismissal. Picture: Getty



For his next trick, the Ughmannn passes off David Kemp as a fair-minded, balanced observer of matters ...

Whitlam described himself as “the first of the middle-class radicals” and infuriated Labor’s old guard, none more so than Arthur Calwell. In 1966 Whitlam branded the ALP executive “the 12 witless men” and came close to expulsion. Two years later he briefly resigned the leadership after another clash, prompting Calwell to rage in a telegram: “You are not, and never were, a Labor man.”
Whitlam prevailed, liberalising Labor and recasting it as a party of the middle class.
With his 1972 triumph Whitlam began shaping the tale that progressivism consigned the Liberals to history’s margins. That myth, burnished over time, became a powerful weapon in Labor’s political armoury.
History also highlights another truth: Labor has been uneasy with the Constitution since 1901 because it had no hand in writing it. As former minister and historian David Kemp notes in A Free Country, the ideas that governed Australia at the turn of the previous century “were principally those of Britain’s liberal intellectual culture”.

If you want a review of Kemp's work, head over to Stuart Macintye in The Inside Story ...

Inter alia ...

...More idiosyncratic is Kemp’s juxtaposition of moderate Labor reformists and “anti-capitalist utopians,” with their false doctrine of class warfare. It’s a particularly inapposite term since Marx and Engels distinguished their own scientific socialism from the utopian socialism of predecessors such as Saint-Simon, Fourier and Owen, who offered only a moral critique of competitive individualism that failed to explain how capitalism created such divisions.
Nineteenth-century liberals sought to remove the restrictions that prevented individuals from enjoying a full measure of freedom, and to devise forms of government that would safeguard their liberties. In earlier volumes Kemp showed how Australians drew on the arguments of liberal theorists such as Bentham, Mill and Green. In this volume he uses Hayek, Friedman and Rand as equivalent guides in the twentieth-century battle to throw back the encroachment of the state and resist the malign influence of anti-capitalist utopianism. But they had little presence in Australia at this time. Although a local edition of Friedrich Hayek’s The Road to Serfdom appeared shortly after its publication in Britain in 1944, to claim it exercised “a profound influence” is gross exaggeration. Milton Friedman was little known before he toured Australia in 1975. Most Australians had no idea who Ayn Rand was until Malcolm Fraser declared his admiration of her work.
The lengthy summaries of these and other prophets of neoliberalism contribute little to the argument of this book.

Meanwhile, the Ughmann performs his own time warp howler ...

The authors of the Constitution were classical liberals who valued the rule of law, parliamentary government, property rights and liberty.

Nice try, but when you head off to the wiki on classical liberalism, there's some odd company for them to be keeping ...

Classical liberalism gained full flowering in the early 18th century, building on ideas dating at least as far back as the 16th century, within the Iberian, French, British, and Central European contexts, and it was foundational to the American Revolution and "American Project" more broadly. Notable liberal individuals whose ideas contributed to classical liberalism include John Locke, François Quesnay, Jean-Baptiste Say, Montesquieu, Voltaire, Marquis de Condorcet, Thomas Paine, Thomas Malthus, and David Ricardo. It drew on classical economics, especially the economic ideas espoused by Adam Smith in Book One of The Wealth of Nations, and on a belief in natural law.

Ah so liberalism is a Humpty Dumpty philosophy and will say what you want it to mean ...

On with the Ughmann ...

Lessons of history
The defining moment in our history was the birth of a nation, and it was an entirely liberal project.

Entirely a liberal project? 

What a stupid man. If Xianity in this country is entirely a liberal project, remind the pond why it's an atheist with a taste for irony ...

This should be the wellspring of the modern party’s identity, if only it could work out how to embrace it.
And here is something you won’t hear in Labor speeches: much of the labour movement opposed Federation.
In NSW those who supported it were expelled, while in Queensland some feared it might weaken the campaign against “coloured labour”.
In 1901 all parties supported the White Australia policy, but none more enthusiastically than Labor.
In his book I Remember, former NSW premier Jack Lang called it “Australia’s Magna Carta”, proudly noting that the “total exclusion of coloured and other undesirable races” was etched into Labor’s first federal platform in 1900.
He admitted it was about race, but also about wages: “From the start it was a simple bread-and-butter issue.
Australian workers were simply trying to defend their own living standards.”
That Labor would want to bury this history is understandable. That it continues to recast the past to accuse others of racism is unforgivable.
Yet when Foreign Minister Penny Wong delivered the 2022 Whitlam Oration she ignored Labor’s record and declared: “Gough described racism as the ‘common denominator’ of a whole range of Menzies-era foreign policies.”
The White Australia policy remained in Labor’s platform until 1967, and its old guard fought Whitlam and Don Dunstan to keep it.

And the Liberal and Country parties were also fully racist, and that staining strain continues to this day, so your point is?

The point perhaps is to stay stuck in the 1950s, and so Ming the Merciless was rolled out yet again, Former Liberal PM Sir Robert Menzies was instrumental in the progressive dismantling of the White Australia policy. Picture: News Corp



Just to celebrate Ming ...

Menzies: "I don't want to see reproduced in Australia the kind of problem they have in South Africa or in America or increasingly in Great Britain. I think it's been a very good policy and it's been of great value to us and most of the criticism of it that I've ever heard doesn't come from these oriental countries it comes from wandering Australians."
Lamb: "For these years of course in the past Sir Robert you have been described as a racist."
Menzies: "Have I?"
Lamb: "I have read this, yes."
Menzies: "Well if I were not described as a racist I'd be the only public man who hasn't been."

It was the fashion at the time, and it took an effort on both sides to get rid of it, and yet it still lurks, more so in the great replacement theory fearing, Voice bashing, white nationalist devoted, Western Civilisation celebrating lizard Oz, but do go on ...

The final vestiges were not erased until 1971. It was the governments of Robert Menzies, Harold Holt, John Gorton and William McMahon that progressively dismantled White Australia between 1958 and 1971. Labor under Whitlam followed; it did not lead.
Wong’s charge of Menzies’ foreign policy racism also jars with a remarkable wartime radio address by Menzies.
He condemned Curtin government propaganda that sought to stir racial hatred of the Japanese, calling it “fantastically foolish and dangerous”.
He said “hatred is the mark of a small man” and warned that if war bred only bitterness, then peace would be “merely the prelude to disaster and not an end of it”.
Wong also claimed Whitlam shifted Australia’s perspective of Asia.
Menzies made his mark
Yet it was Menzies who set about rebuilding relations with Japan in the shadow of the war. He backed the 1952 peace treaty and the reopening of embassies in Canberra and Tokyo, and in 1953 told Australians it was time to move on from the conflict.
Former Labor industry minister John Button had the grace to acknowledge the significance of this in his book Flying the Kite: “In the early 1950s prime minister Menzies invited a small delegation of Japanese industrialists to Australia. It was, in the post-war climate, a courageous and prescient invitation.”
Nippon Steel’s Eishiro Saito later described the visit as a seminal moment in the relationship. From that point, Australia’s exports of coal and iron ore to Japan began a steady climb until Japan became our largest trading partner.
It was Menzies who signed the 1957 Commerce Agreement in Tokyo, and who later hosted prime minister Nobusuke Kishi in Canberra. Australians knew Kishi’s past. He had been imprisoned as a suspected Class A war criminal until 1948 because of his role in Japan’s wartime government.
Think about that in context: many Australians still loathed Japan, and some in Menzies’ own government, such as Alexander Downer’s father, were former prisoners of war.
To invite Kishi and forge this partnership, at this time, required remarkable political courage. Union protests greeted the trade deal and Kishi’s 1957 visit, the ACTU warned of lost jobs and ex-servicemen’s groups condemned any reconciliation with Japan.
Yet it is Labor’s caricature of Menzies that endures, and the blame for that lies with the Liberal Party’s failure to tell its own story.
Wong’s speech also repeated the line that Whitlam “withdrew our troops from Vietnam”. But by the time he came to power in December 1972, all combat troops had already returned and only some advisers remained.

Here's one thing that's certain. Ming the Merciless embarked on a useless war on the basis of lies, and introduced conscription, and by whim of a birthday ballot, sent young Australian men off to die in a meaningless cause ... and no amount of Ughmann re-writing will erase that shame.

Nor the reality that as defeat loomed the rats realised they'd better scuttle and run from a futile folly ...

The reptiles tried to trick the pond by introducing a Liberal who actually knew about the pain of war, but undercut it by accompanying him with a quavering failure, best known for having a wife with an affection for a split skirt ... Liberal PM John Gorton (left) with Treasurer William (Bill) McMahon in 1969. Picture: News Corp




Oh come on reptiles, why so solemn?




Now there's a reason to remember a Liberal ... he had a wife inclined to liberal legginess ...




And so to the wrap up ...

Vietnam is not the only case where Labor overreaches and Liberals undersell their record. Whitlam is routinely credited with the explosion of Australian arts in the 1970s, yet it was Liberal prime minister Gorton who created the Australian Council for the Arts in 1968 and launched the Australian Film Development Corporation in 1970, contributions that largely have been forgotten.
The Liberals cannot win a battle they do not fight. And in the history wars, they are scarcely in the ring. Some, such as Kemp, John Howard and Tony Abbott, have tried to rebalance the books. But it should be the work of every Liberal MP and senator to reclaim their heritage in our national story.
Since its birth this nation has had two great political traditions, and for 124 years they have served us well. Labor’s story is well told. The Liberal story must be retold, beginning with its intellectual roots. Australia owes its existence to liberal thinking and was built on the firm foundations of its creed: individual freedom, the rule of law, parliamentary democracy, the family as the bedrock of society, equality of opportunity, enterprise, liberty and a fair go.
This tradition is timeless, and as vital now as ever. Unless the Liberal Party can tell that story to a new generation, it risks being written out of history.

If the lizard Oz and the likes of the Ughmann keep on living in the 1950s and provoking the pond to remember those ancient days, good luck appealing of vulgar youff. 

Even King Donald can manage to be on Tik Tok while banning it - a singular feat- and a little of that Schrödinger's cat might help the Ughmann in his search for young 'uns ...

And so to the "Ned" Everest climb for the day ... and a warning, this is clocked by the reptiles at a hearty 11 minutes, and so is only suitable for those wanting a lack of oxygen, a slumping in the chair, a feeling of ennui and existential tedium, while doing the productivity rag yet again ...




The header: Ambition v reality: Labor at crossroads, With this week’s economic roundtable, productivity becomes a permanent test and measuring stick for the Albanese government, but can it deliver?

The caption for the uncredited collage which looks like only AI could have assembled it in a nanosecond of mindlessness: The economic roundtable convened by Anthony Albanese and Jim Chalmers was a meeting of our best and brightest, including (clockwise, third from left) Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock, Productivity chairwoman Danielle Wood and Treasury secretary Jenny Wilkinson, but it failed to produce any bold new policies because it was never designed to produce them.

Remember, this is only for compleatists, and in order to get through it, the pond will perforce will avoid offering too many notes. "Ned" is not nearly as much fun as the Ughmann ...

Australia now stands at a crossroads. Albanese Labor is full of intent, poised in anticipation, but still largely inhibited. Here’s the killer point: this week’s much vaunted roundtable hasn’t touched the edges of Australia’s productivity and living standards slump.
Jim Chalmers hails his roundtable as delivering “lasting and enduring” economic progress. Yet there is a chasm between the 900 ambitious briefs fed into the roundtable and the worthy yet incremental outcomes.
The Albanese government seems hooked on process but process is a double-edged instrument; it can enhance through consensus or suffocate by delay.
Yet there were distinct gains. Productivity is put up in lights at the start of Anthony Albanese’s second term. It now becomes a permanent test and measuring stick for this government. It needs to permeate Labor’s entire project – but this is a daunting task.
Chalmers foreshadowed a tax agenda for this term, conceding the tax system was “imperfect” and saying the roundtable had agreed on three goals – tax to deliver a fair go for working people based on an intergenerational lens; tax to incentivise business investment; and a more sustainable tax system to fund the services people need.

There were any number of attempts at visual relief, but how can snaps of politicians help, save to make "Ned" sound even duller? As Anthony Albanese and Jim Chalmers made clear, the roundtable has little authority. All issues now reside with the government and cabinet. Picture: Martin Ollman/NewsWire




And so a member of the hive mind expounds on consensus in the hive mind:

These goals are potentially contradictory. What’s missing is any decision on whether the overall tax burden is increased or reduced, but you can bet on the former. There is no productivity dividend without corporate tax reform, but that test is deferred to the cabinet. In truth, consensus has its limits; when tax decision time comes the debate will be deep and divisive.
As the Prime Minister and Treasurer made clear, the roundtable has little authority. All issues now reside with the government and cabinet. The roundtable was a meeting of our best and brightest but failed to produce any bold new policies because it was never designed to produce them. The roundtable was strictly reform foreplay, without any promise for the big event.
The risk is the Albanese government is in danger of admiring itself too much and running gun-shy on old-fashioned Labor conviction. The coming year will bring a decisive judgment on that conundrum. While talk of reform has rekindled memories of Paul Keating, let’s be clear: Keating would never have spent three days running this roundtable without producing a fanfare of eye-catching results that would monopolise the media.
These meetings always exaggerate the consensus. It’s a function of human nature in a small room. The enduring lesson cannot be forgotten: this is a time for leadership. The Albanese government has the majority; it has the political command; its opponent, the Coalition, is broken in the country and internally compromised. And every scrap of analysis from the Treasury, the Reserve Bank and the Productivity Commission tells the same story – unless there is a new age of productivity-based economic reform, Australia will slip into decline, become an increasingly unhappy place and repudiate the finest instincts of its democratic mission.

At this point the reptiles attempted an EXPLAINER distraction, In a week when the government’s much-anticipated economic reform roundtable delivered more caution than conviction, the real shock came from Health Minister Mark Butler’s bombshell overhaul of the NDIS. While the roundtable produced little beyond consensus on tariffs and road charges, Butler announced sweeping changes that will tighten access for children with mild autism and cut scheme growth, saving billions. Sarah Ison is the senior political reporter at The Australian.




"Ned" rambled on in his dreary way:

The productivity problem is now a decade old. The Reserve Bank just scaled downwards its long-term productivity growth outlook from 1 per cent to 0.7 per cent annually with trend GDP growth a truly dismal 2 per cent. These figures, unless reversed, point to a Labor betrayal: a failure to revive real wages and living standards, the central promise of Albanese Labor.
The big picture cannot be missed. The historic challenge is up to Labor: to Albanese, Chalmers and the cabinet. They need to think outside the circle of intellectual Labor orthodoxy. That’s what all great Labor governments do. They need to take calculated risks, that’s what their huge parliamentary majority enables them to do.
The roundtable is an insight into this government. It wants to prepare the ground, test the waters, summon the stakeholders, judge the political risk against the economic gain. It desperately wants its motives and credentials to be lauded. But it leaves everyone puzzled about the ultimate test: can Labor deliver the goods? Can Labor rise to the challenge and lead Australia, again, into the sunlit uplands?
Chalmers made clear there was no single silver bullet for reform. It’s lots of things done at once. Road-user charges are coming. That’s confirmed, the model yet to be sorted. Labor wants to cut red tape and compliance – but that’s easier said than done. The tax reform emphasis is on intergenerational fairness – but that means tax redistribution. It’s tough politics. There was a good discussion on artificial intelligence, the impression being Labor won’t legislate a separate AI act, but no decision is taken. Chalmers told Inquirer that his goal in the roundtable had been to “enliven some more reform”.

The reptiles tried on a double bunger visual distraction, Former Reserve Bank governor Phil Lowe lamented the failure to impose proper fiscal rules. Reform talk rekindled memories of Paul Keating but the event lacked his flair for fanfare.




It didn't work for the pond, because after the pictures came more "Ned" words ... promising not to get fooled again, as if writing Who lyrics ...

Don’t be fooled by any broad consensus at the roundtable. In reality there is no consensus in Australia about productivity. Witness two former authority figures – former Reserve Bank governor Phil Lowe and inaugural Productivity Commission chairman Gary Banks – delivering withering critiques this week of the economic foundations of the Albanese government.
Lowe lamented the failure to impose proper fiscal rules, penetrating to the issue of government spending; Banks delivered the devastating analysis that Labor’s first-term agenda was actually anti-productivity despite the endless spin about reform.
Outlining his central theme, Banks said of productivity: “The challenge we face is that the conditions for sustained improvement don’t exist, despite the government’s narrative to the contrary. A lot of public policy, and much so-called reform, is working against the productivity objective.”
However, there was an impressive, exceptional event this week.
Labor, finally, displayed the ruthless compassion to reform the out-of-control National Disability Insurance Scheme, cut its eligibility and remove children with mild autism from the program. This is a vital decision taken by the Albanese government early in its second term.
Health Minister Mark Butler, announcing the change, said the 2023 Labor cabinet decision to reduce NDIS growth to 8 per cent annually – still a huge increase – was a target “simply unsustainable in the medium to long term”.

The next snap fired a shot across the pond's bow ... Gary Banks delivered a devastating analysis that Labor’s first-term agenda was actually anti-productivity. Mark Butler announced the cut to NDIS eligibility and decision to remove children with mild autism from the program.




That mention and snap of Banks was a warning.

It will be remembered by correspondents that "Ned" is always quoting others at endless length to boost his word count, as if he was doing a Dickens ... and so, in due verbose course, it came to pass ...
With the NDIS projected cost at $105bn compared with $46bn today, Butler flagged a more reduced target of around 5 or 6 per cent and warned that bringing growth under control was not just a budget issue but necessary to preserve “social licence” for the scheme.
The purpose is to return the NDIS to its original mission. The need for this is obvious given that one out of every six boys in grade two is on the scheme. In reality, it is public policy malfunction on a massive scale that should have been confronted far earlier with drastic action. Butler said of more than 260,000 NDIS service providers only 16,000 were registered, leaving the way for poor quality and sharp practice.
There will be a degree of political backlash but the financial and health imperatives made this decision essential. Just under half of NDIS participants are children under 15, meaning, as Butler said, that “tens of thousands of young children with mild to moderate developmental delay or autism are on a scheme set up for permanent disability”.
For many parents the NDIS was “the only port in the storm” and Butler said he didn’t blame parents. In truth, “the NDIS model doesn’t suit their needs”. The extent of therapy provided to children in the NDIS is “extremely high” compared with the health system. Kids with developmental delay and mild autism needed to be supported by mainstream services and diverted from the NDIS. This will be an extremely sensitive task.
Labor’s 2023 decision provided for a joint federal-state funding scheme for lightly affected children but the states never signed up.
Butler envisaged a new scheme called A Program for Thriving Kids with the federal and state governments working together. But the basis for such co-operation is yet to be finalised.
The July 2026 timetable for starting the new kids program is highly ambitious and the government will face intense pressure. Yet it is doing the right thing – belatedly. The new policy will bring into play the entire autism debate – the rate of detection and how it is best treated.

Still no Banks, just a snap of Jimob? Jim Chalmers and Innes Willox at the second day of the roundtable. Picture: NewsWire / Martin Ollman




Don't despair, the pond promises that the Canavan caravan, and Banks with it, will in due course roll into "Ned" town ... but first more endless quoting of others ...

Butler said a $2bn budget provision was being made for the commonwealth’s share in the Thriving Kids agenda.
This commitment typifies the second-term resolution required from Albanese Labor. Is the NDIS reform an example of a systemic outlook or is it conspicuous in its isolation? In reality, much more is needed given Australia’s numerous problems – a productivity crisis, weak private investment, a decade of budget deficits, excessive reliance on state power and equivocation on tax reform.
Australian Industry Group chief executive Innes Willox captured the post-roundtable mood, saying there was an “intent” to tackle our problems, leaving him “very hopeful, if not confident”. Productivity Commission chairwoman Danielle Wood said of the meeting: “It was at least pro-growth, which is a good thing”, and agreed that the outcomes wouldn’t suffice to repair the productivity trend. Chalmers said the “opportunities and our risks are finely balanced in the economy”.
Chalmers said there were 10 reform directions identified: a single national market to improve the federation; reducing tariffs; better regulation; faster approvals in national priority areas; building more homes more quickly; making AI a national priority; attracting more investment capital; building a skilled workforce; a better tax system; and modernising government services.
Identifying such directions is worthy. It is not rocket science. Much of this list reflects work already being done. But any extra momentum helps. The reality is that each area is loaded with difficult policy decisions that demand leadership.

Another distraction by way of yet another EXPLAINER, It might sound like a dry legal report, copyright laws, fair use rules, Productivity Commission jargon, but at its core, this fight is about something far more human: creativity and the world we want to live in. The Australian’s Editorial Director Claire Harvey and Media Editor James Madden unpack how a new proposal could let big tech scrape and repackage the work of journalists, musicians, and artists, without paying a cent.




And soon the Canavan caravan will arrive ...

Chalmers then identified areas when decisions can be processed quickly – depending upon cabinet. They are: abolition of nuisance tariffs; reducing complexity in the National Construction Code; accelerating changes to the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act; knocking off the backlog of environmental approvals for new homes; finalising assessments from the major regulators on cutting red tape and sorting where regulation doesn’t achieve its purpose; seeking action on the financial regulation front; a new regulatory reform bill to ensure people don’t need to provide the same information over and over again; releasing work on a National AI Capability Plan; and road-user charges.
The Treasurer said there was a “sense of urgency” on these fronts. One area discussed but with little apparent output was government spending and fiscal accountability. The regulatory, tax and productivity initiatives announced by the Treasurer as broad agreements are important in their own right. But they are significant only if they constitute the launch of a distinct new reform agenda.
At the end of this meeting Chalmers issued his rallying call: “A lot of the hard work begins now.” This raises the question: Does Chalmers have the cabinet clout to prosecute the necessary agenda to fruition?
Albanese loves calling his government inclusive, optimistic and consultative. He says it has “an appetite for ideas” and it thrives on “recognising challenges”. It’s focused on delivery, on getting the job done. This sounds too good because it is too good to be true. The government in the end will be judged only by results.
The week saw two competing debates about productivity, both valuable. The government roundtable with 29 hours of discussion and 327 different contributions ran in parallel with a shorter, smaller, rival event, hosted by Nationals senator Matt Canavan, a former economist with the Productivity Commission.

Here it comes, an attempt to take the Canavan caravan seriously, but did the reptiles have to dig up a snap of him looking weirdly sinister, ‘Allow all types of energy to flourish,’ says Nationals senator Matt Canavan who hosted a shorter rival event. Picture: NewsWire / Martin Ollman




The pond had promised minimal interruptions, but that mention of "allow all types of energy to flourish", code for "bring back coal" reminded the pond of a Paul Krugman outing that recently dropped into the pond's in box ... Kilowatt Madness ...

Inter alia ...




The pond doesn't regret the interruption. Perhaps some will decide to abandon "Ned" and head off to watch Krugman at work.

That way they could avoid the Canavan caravan, but speaking of the MAusGA brain ...

Summing up after his own roundtable, Canavan said the government needed to focus on what it could control and deliver – it couldn’t control the environment and it couldn’t control the AI phenomenon beyond a regulatory approach in relation to use and abuse.
Asked about his view of the productivity priorities, Canavan said: “Cut government spending, free up our energy markets – allow all types of energy to flourish – and slash red tape. Energy affects every aspect of the economy. The cheaper the energy, the more wealthy and country will be.”

On the upside, he's not president of the USA, nor more than a tick on the rump of government in this country.

Now remember what the pond said? Remember what "Ned" had promised, remember what the pond threatened? Here it comes ...

Interviewed by Inquirer, Banks referred to his forthcoming publication on Australia’s productivity performance that outlined his assessment and critique: “When it comes to productivity, the policy foundations will have been weakened, not strengthened, by the (Albanese) government’s policies. During its first three years, the government managed to surprise even its critics by extending the pre-existing record of poor performance in two key respects.
“First, by not just neglecting reforms that would support productivity growth, but taking actions that will undermine it. Second, by repeatedly presenting its anti-productivity initiatives as solutions to the country’s productivity problem.
“To hear political leaders speak of productivity gains from policies directed at ‘cleaner, cheaper, more reliable renewable energy’ or expanding the ‘care economy’ or re-regulating workplaces, for example, is to be transported to a world with little connection to the one with which most economists would be familiar. It is a world where alliterative sloganeering takes precedence over explanation; where policy problems are misrepresented and solutions oversold – or not really solutions at all.”
In his speech to the Canavan meeting, Banks said the two most conspicuous policies where anti-productivity steps were dressed in “reformism garb” were those covering energy and industrial relations. He said Australia was in a “virtually unique position internationally” – no other government signing up to net zero had exclusively committed to a “wind and solar with storage” future for electricity since most had domestic hydro or nuclear or interconnections to other countries’ energy grids that might be firmed by coal or gas.

The rant was only interrupted by a final snap, a reptile favourite, endlessly repeated in recent times whenever "childcare" turns up, Productivity Commission recommendations raise serious questions about the value for money of the Albanese government's proposed expansion of childcare. Picture: Bianca De Marchi/AAP




Then "Ned" went on a final gallop ... doing his best to lather it all up as yet another renewables disaster ...

He said the rise in renewables’ market share depended on substantial government assistance, estimated as the equivalent to more than $16bn last year.
Banks said: “In a nutshell a ‘wind and solar with storage’ future would require more capital to produce less reliable electricity – or very much more capital to achieve anything like comparable reliability – the antithesis of a pro-productivity outcome.”
On tax, Banks called for indexing income tax rates and widening the GST’s coverage, vital reforms, with still no obvious constituency in this country. He said less spending and less tax would deliver productivity gains – but this isn’t Labor policy. On the “care” economy and the non-market sector, Banks said they accounted for three-quarters of the million jobs created last year; the rate of employment in the non-market sector where productivity was weak was “staggering”.
More dangers loomed ahead, since Albanese had foreshadowed universal childcare at a projected spending increase of more than $8bn annually with “little difference to work participation and almost none to productivity”. On industrial relations reforms, Banks said the majority of the first-term changes would reduce “the ability of enterprises to be adaptable and innovative while weakening their competitiveness”.
In an e61 Institute and University of NSW video released this week, former governor Lowe criticised the lack of disciplined rules for Albanese government fiscal policy. Lowe said: “After Covid, we haven’t really got back to a clearly articulated framework for decision-making with fiscal policy. These frameworks are really important in disciplining the political process. It seems to be where there is a need, we’ll spend.”
This reflects a defining feature of the Albanese government – government spending as a proportion of GDP is expected to reach 27 per cent in 2025-26 compared with the long-run past average of 24.5 per cent. In his remarks to the roundtable Chalmers said the government took “great pride” in its budget progress while opposition Treasury spokesman Ted O’Brien said spending today was running $160bn higher than in the final year of the Coalition government.

Good old Ted, still nuking the country to save the planet ...

That was a lot of suffering to get to a closing 'toon, but on the sunny side, it's a bright and cheerful tale of a world without solar or windmills ...




Friday, August 22, 2025

In which the pond tries a little Newsom entertainment before heading off to Ukraine with the bromancer and our Henry ...

 

The reptiles at the lizard Oz rarely deliver childish pleasures, and yet sometimes it's great fun to think and act like a child.

Hence the unalloyed joy in the quaintly named Guv Newscum (so named in a bid to elevate political discourse) and his vigorous, neigh epic, trolling of King Donald.

Anyone wanting to surf the full to overflowing web can find stories and examples...

See the Beast

See The Bulwark ...

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS GOVERNOR! What to make of Gavin Newsom’s new social-media performance art.

See The Hill ...

Newsom's Trump act wins raves from Democrats (and also Dana allegedly getting the joke, as if Faux Noise folk had a sensa huma).

See Politico ...

How Gavin Newsom trolled his way to the top of social media, Inside the MAGA-parodying strategy that has rocketed the California governor to algorithmic dominance — while annoying leading Republicans (*archive link)

And so on, with the pond's algorithms full of talk of Newscum (*this just dropped into the pond's email in-tray), and while some moan and rub hands and sigh to the heavens about the dark side of sh*tposting and trolling, there are any number upsides, not least the high anxiety induced in Faux Noise, and in King Donald himself ...

Even though the pond doesn't have much time for Newsom, at least he's providing entertainment ... and drawing attention to the stark hypocrisy of Faux Noise and the rest of the barking mad right ... baulking at his gentle teasing, while normalising the deep weirdness of an eternity of weird trolling by whacky King Donald...

Why there's even a hint of Xians riding with dinosaurs, as revealed in the bible (which ain't liable to be true) ...



There wouldn't be a dry eye in the Faux Noise house if that figure had been King Donald ...

And his account occasionally shoots and scores ...




See Luckovich for a summary ...



The pond would like to have similar success trolling the lizard Oz, but it's very hard to troll a bog standard hive mind ...and so off to another dullard day with the heretical down under lollards, while noting that all it's possible to do is observe them in their native habitat, and hope for the best for them ...



Right there, at the bottom, somehow the reptiles found space for some TG bashing by prize loon Gary Johns ...

On the upside, it seems that productivity is finally winding down, with this the lead EXCLUSIVE ...

EXCLUSIVE
‘I wouldn’t go that far’: Productivity Commission boss tables her verdict
Productivity Commission chair Danielle Wood has cast doubt on whether the economic reform roundtable’s outcomes can fully repair Australia’s sluggish productivity.
By Matthew Cranston, Greg Brown and Ewin Hannan

Over on the extreme far right the reptiles were sounding bored and wanting to move on, with Chambers chambering a final round ...

Talking’s over, now it’s time for the cabinet to act
Put simply, the outcomes of the Albanese government’s three-day economic reform roundtable do not match the inputs.
By Geoff Chambers
Political editor


But what's the reptile idea of productivity? 

Here they're exceptionally canny. 

You get in a guest representing a tribe with whom you're in a perpetual war ...

Australia, don’t forget our shared history in the fight against fascism
During one of humanity’s darkest hours, China and Australia stood firmly as allies in the fight against fascism, making important contributions to the defence of world peace and justice.
By Xiao Qian

And then you write it up, embellishing a little and dubbing it an EXCLUSIVE, a veritable mailbox busting double bunger ,,.

EXCLUSIVE
Xi’s man in Canberra issues warning on Taiwan return
Xiao Qian, Xi Jinping’s top diplomat in Australia, is seeking to exploit the memory of World War II to push the Communist Party’s strategic aims over Taiwan.
By Geoff Chambers and Ben Packham

Double the productivity for no effort at all.

Meanwhile, the infallible Pope put a stopper in the productivity bottle this day ...



The pond's proudest boast, here no vulgar youff, no vulgar youff here ...

As for the rest, you follow the same strategy by having the bromancer and our Henry both muse about Ukraine, though our Henry does at least go off into the Finland woods ...

The bromancer wasn't happy as it dawned on him that King Donald was a bit of a TACO dud ...



The header: Trump’s Ukraine peace is already collapsing, The big winner out of all these so-called historic summits aimed at ending the war in Ukraine is Vladimir Putin. You can rest assured that Beijing is watching intensely.

The caption for the hand wrestle: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and US President Donald Trump shake hands during a meeting in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, on August 18, 2025. (Photo by Mandel NGAN / AFP)

It was only a three minute outing, a warm up for our Henry ...

The prospect of peace in Ukraine is fading away as quickly as Donald Trump conjured it up, just days after all those so-called historic summits.
Look not at what nations are saying but what they are doing.
Vladimir Putin has yielded absolutely nothing in these negotiations. He has refused to enter into a ceasefire and in fact has intensified his military campaign in eastern Ukraine. Trump says Putin has made all sorts of concessions. The problem is, neither Putin nor anyone in authority in the Russian system says the same thing.
Thus, Trump says Putin has accepted that a European military stabilisation force can be stationed in Ukraine. The Russian Foreign Ministry says that’s unacceptable. Trump says Putin has agreed to meet one on one with Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky. Russia’s Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, says lengthy negotiations should take place at the level of “experts” and only after they have agreed on a deal should Putin and Zelensky be brought together.

The reptiles interrupted with a snap showing the weirdness of it all, The White House released behind-the-scenes photos of Donald Trump’s meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and other European leaders on August 18, 2025 in the White House



Not being of an historical mind, in the way our Henry is, the bromancer failed to mention the fate of the last round of guarantees ... per Politico on proposed meeting places...

...Hungary would be an uncomfortable choice for Ukraine as it harkens back to the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, during which the U.S., the United Kingdom and Russia promised to uphold Ukraine’s independence, sovereignty and respect for its border in exchange for relinquishing its nuclear weapons. Putin’s 2014 assault on Ukraine proved the agreement meaningless when none of the signatories provided military forces to counter the attacks.

Well yes, explaining why all this has just been more Captain Bonespurs' nonsense, as the bromancer slowly caught up ...

Putin continues to insist the “root causes” of the war he launched against Ukraine must be solved. These root causes include Ukraine’s independence, its possession of armed forces, its desire to join the European Union, and the expansion of NATO among other nations near Russia. Trump agrees that Ukraine must never be allowed to join NATO.
Putin is also insisting on “land swaps”, which means he takes virtually all of the rest of Donbas that he has not yet conquered. This includes well-fortified cities on high ground that the Ukrainians have so far successfully defended.
The Europeans have done their best to show solidarity with Ukraine, but Britain was already talking about a much smaller stabilisation force for Ukraine than it had envisaged even a few months ago. Would such a force really deter Putin in the future?
Trump held out the possibility that the US could participate in such a force, then ruled that out. He now talks vaguely of US air support. But unless that air support means US Air Force assets would fire on Russian forces if they breached a peace agreement, it doesn’t really mean anything.

Then came another snap, Russian President Vladimir Putin meets US President Donald Trump on the tarmac after they arrived at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska, on August 15, 2025. (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP)




The bromancer seemed to get the notion that the Faux Noise warrior was just an authoritarian devoted to other dictators ...

And Trump has made it absolutely clear that there are no circumstances in which he would deploy Americans, in any capacity, to fight for Ukraine. But here’s the hard, inescapable, terrible truth about deterrence. Unless you’re really willing to fight, it’s meaningless.
Trump had threatened Putin with extensive new sanctions if he didn’t agree to a ceasefire, especially by applying tough US sanctions against any third country that traded with Russia. So nations would get a choice: trade with Russia or trade with the US. That would be a very tough measure to impose and enforce. But it’s the one non-military action the US could take that might make Russia change.
Instead, Trump dropped that demand in a minute, and about the only concrete result so far is that the US is now happy to supply Ukraine with weapons, so long as Europe pays for them.
There’s nothing wrong with Europeans paying for US weapons to go to Ukraine, but there’s nothing in this that will cause Russia to make peace.
The failure of Trump’s earlier threat of “very serious consequences” for Russia if Putin didn’t agree to a ceasefire tells you everything.
Virtually every war that doesn’t result in total victory for one side and total defeat for the other side ends with a ceasefire in place.

There came a final AV distraction, Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov is warning Moscow is aware of what he calls “clumsy attempts” from the European Union to change US President Donald Trump’s position on Ukraine. Mr Lavrov says there can be no security guarantees for Ukraine without Moscow’s approval. “We cannot agree with the fact that it’s now proposed to resolve collective security issues without the Russian Federation – this will not work,” Mr Lavrov said.



No wonder the bromancer has avoided writing about Ukraine, because his thoughts aren't Faux Noise friendly ...

These ceasefires typically harden and become lines of permanent settlement, as in the Korean War, the China/India border wars, the India/Pakistan border wars, and the Russia/Japan end to World War II after Russia took the Kuril Islands from Japan. If there were a ceasefire in place in Ukraine, Russia would get to keep the 20 per cent of Ukraine it has conquered through invasion. But it seems Ukraine would now wear that.
But it’s not enough for Putin. He wants a great slab of extra territory from Ukraine on top of this, and as far as possible he wants Ukraine to be incapable of defending itself in the future, and reliant instead on security guarantees, minus US force. If Putin gets a deal like that, will he wait even three years for Trump to be gone from the Oval Office before he pushes on with the further conquest of Ukrainian territory?
Trump’s former national security adviser, John Bolton, once predicted that Putin would “play Trump like a fiddle”.

The pond is pleased the bromancer has caught up ...




And so to a few final words...

That seemed a harsh prediction at the time. But Putin’s shimmy-shammy diplomacy, his dance of the seven veils and his majestic flattering of Trump seem to have robbed Trump of whatever purpose and conviction he once, recently, briefly, had on Ukraine.
So long as Trump gets to announce a deal with himself as hero, that seems to be good enough for him.
Ukraine and the Europeans have to go along with this and get the best deal they can. But so far the big winner out of all these summits is Putin.
You can rest assured that Beijing is watching intensely.

On the upside, King Donald is doing his level best to turn the US into a carbon copy of Russia ...




And so at last to our Henry, the reptiles' regular, reliable Friday treat...



The header: Europe’s history offers a template, but it’s unlikely to fit Ukraine, As Donald Trump seeks to shepherd Russia and Ukraine into a negotiated agreement, the similarities to the Finnish-Soviet wars that raged from 1939 to 1944 are overwhelming.

The caption for the affectionate caress: President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin arrive at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson last week. Picture: Getty Images

This was a more substantial, five minute outing (so the reptiles said) and for some reason our Henry did a Finlandia ...

As Donald Trump seeks to shepherd Russia and Ukraine into a negotiated agreement, the similarities to the Finnish-Soviet wars that raged from 1939 to 1944 are overwhelming. But while the settlement of those wars did stem the bloodshed, preserve Finland’s democratic constitution and retain elements of its sovereignty, the longer-term consequences of the current process are far harder to predict.
The circumstances that led to the outbreak of war between Finland and the Soviet Union on November 30, 1939, are well-known. After the signing of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact in late August 1939, Joseph Stalin’s focus shifted to preventing Finland, the Baltic States and the Baltic Sea from being used to launch attacks on the USSR. In September and early October, Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia were coerced into “mutual assistance” pacts with the Soviet Union that paved the way for their annexation. Finland, however, rejected Stalin’s sweeping territorial demands, triggering the Soviet invasion.
The Soviets claimed the invasion was legitimate under their doctrine of “indirect aggression”, which stated that any “internal change or change of foreign policy” by a neighbouring government that could facilitate an attack on the USSR amounted to aggression. As a result, by rejecting the USSR’s demands, Finland had committed an act of war, with the Soviet action being mere self-defence.

The reptiles interrupted with an AV distraction featuring a chat with Rita, meter maid,  Author Douglas Murray says Russian President Vladimir Putin is an “exceptionally slippery” character to negotiate with. This comes amid the Russian President’s meeting with his American counterpart, US President Donald Trump, in Alaska to discuss peace talks over the Russia-Ukraine war. “The first meeting … in Alska between Trump and Putin was very interesting,” Mr Murray told Sky News host Rita Panahi. “Putin is an exceptionally slippery character to be negotiating with.”



Please allow the pond to wonder at this point why our Henry takes Finland as his example, when Munich might be more suitable ... per PoliticoWhy there are fears of Munich 1938 in Washington 2025, Putin is focusing on a deal that would grant him Ukraine’s key defensive lines, just as Hitler secured Czechoslovakia’s fortifications in 1938. (*archive link)

...In September 1938, Adolf Hitler argued that handing over the ethnic-German majority Sudetenland region to the Reich would satisfy his ambitions and end the threat of war in Europe. France and Britain agreed, and browbeat Prague into accepting. Hitler — whose word was as reliable as Putin's — said he had no further territorial ambitions.
Czechoslovakia had spent several years building thousands of pillboxes, blockhouses and fortresses in the forested and mountainous region — staffed by a modern and well-equipped army of 1.2 million. Germany took it all without firing a shot.
In March 1939, German troops swept into the rest of the country with the Czech army unable to put up any resistance.
Kyiv eyes Munich
The Ukrainians are very well aware of what happened to the Czechs 87 years ago.
“Without security guarantees, freezing the war means a second Munich 1938,” warned Olexiy Haran, professor of comparative politics at the National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy, in a comment for Germany’s Federal Center of Civic Education.
That's a reference to supposed security guarantees for Kyiv, which Trump's Ukraine war negotiator, real estate developer Steve Witkoff, has said are similar to NATO's Article 5 common defense provision — although Trump has repeatedly ruled out Ukraine joining the much more reliable Atlantic alliance.
Haran argued that “if we sign a ceasefire agreement or even hold an election without security guarantees, Putin could resume his aggression the very next day.” Such an agreement, he said, would “de facto recognize Russia’s control of Ukrainian territories for an indefinite period,” and repeat the mistakes of 1938, when concessions to an aggressor only invited further escalation.
Yaroslav Hrytsak, a Ukrainian historian and professor at the Ukrainian Catholic University, warned that the danger goes beyond another Munich-style betrayal. “It’s the Yalta moment too,” he said.

Well yes, and so it's back to our Henry in Finland, and never mind King Donald trying to arrange his very own Munich, though perhaps scraps of paper are now too heavily tariffed to wave about ...

However, legal pretences aside, Stalin’s decision was based on his conviction that a “military weakness and internal divisions” made Finland an easy target, ensuring the war would be over “in 12 days”. As the Red Army swept to victory it would, his intelligence services claimed, be “cheered on by happy Finns, free from the yoke of Fascist oppression”.
In reality, the Soviets’ overwhelming numerical superiority did not stop the Finns from bringing the invasion to a blood-soaked halt, before a complete change in the Red Army’s strategy and tactics led to a Soviet breakthrough in February 1940. Fearful of being “wiped off the map”, the Finns agreed to negotiate, finally making significant territorial concessions in the Moscow Treaty of March 12, 1940.
That agreement proved short-lived. When Hitler launched “Operation Barbarossa” in June 1941, the Finns joined the German attack on the USSR and once again proved their fighting prowess. Indeed, even after the German army had all but collapsed, the Finnish armed forces managed to prevent the Red Army from occupying Finland.
It was nonetheless apparent by then that the Finns could not prevail. They were consequently forced into a second round of territorial concessions, albeit ones that left the bulk of pre-war Finland intact.
That Stalin accepted the June 1944 armistice was understandable: his priority was the march on Berlin. What needs explaining, however, is that even after Germany’s capitulation the Soviet Union neither occupied Finland nor sought to transform it into a full-blown “people’s democracy”.
Instead, the 1947 Finnish-Soviet Peace Treaty and the 1948 Agreement of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance allowed Finland greater autonomy than any of the USSR’s satellite states.

The reptiles again interrupted with a snap, Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky pose for a picture with European leaders following a meeting in the Oval Office at the White House on Monday. Picture: Win McNamee/Getty Images




Our Henry maintained his fixation with Stalin ...

That was partly because the USSR had achieved its initial goal. Given the Soviets’ territorial gains, there was no conceivable scenario in which Finland could be used by a third power to stage an attack on the USSR. The crucial factor, however, was that attempting to completely suborn Finland might provoke a renewal of the war, dangerously undermining Stalin’s grand strategy.
In effect, by 1947-48, Stalin had three major objectives. The first was to consolidate the Soviet grip on Eastern Europe and on the Soviet zone in Germany, both of which imposed substantial demands on the Red Army.
A second was to prevent Sweden, Denmark and Norway from going ahead with a proposed Nordic Defence Union, which would have given the soon to be formed NATO a platform from which to attack the USSR’s northern flank. Sweden told Stalin it was willing to scuttle the Nordic Defence Union, and not seek security guarantees from the US-led alliance, if and only if he desisted from making Finland a Soviet satellite.
Finally, a third objective was to secure Communist participation in the coalitions governing France and Italy. A renewed invasion of Finland could scupper the electoral prospects of those countries’ communist parties, which were masquerading as champions of national sovereignty. But none of that meant the Soviet Union withdrew from Finnish affairs. On the contrary, Finland was forced into a condition of coerced neutrality, which Finland’s leading political parties enforced by ensuring the politicians the USSR regarded as “unfriendly” were excluded from senior positions, that the media remained extremely circumspect in its attitude to the Soviet Union, and that all major foreign policy decisions were quietly cleared through the KGB.
As anti-Soviet politicians were starved of funds and relegated to the sidelines, while the Soviet Union’s “friends” received massive support, a deeply ingrained culture of anticipatory acquiescence to Soviet demands developed, in what became known as Finlandisation but would be better described as “Helsinki syndrome”.
Yet no matter how seriously that corrupted the Finnish polity, it did not undermine the Cold War peace, which was solidly anchored by the bipolar global order. Finland’s fate consequently had few wider ramifications. But that is no longer the world we live in.

The reptiles interrupted with a final AV distraction, Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has drawn a hard line against any Western security guarantees for Ukraine. He claims any guarantees would only work with Moscow’s co-operation. The Russian Minister's remarks contradict Donald Trump's claim that Vladimir Putin agreed to European and US security guarantees at their summit in Alaska. Mr Lavrov says any peace deal should be based on a Russian proposal which allows Moscow to veto any action by guarantors. “We cannot agree with the fact that it’s now proposed to resolve collective security issues without the Russian Federation – this will not work,” Mr Lavrov said.




Actually speaking of the world we live in, hasn't our Henry's Finlandia obsession completely obscured the role of TACO King Donald?

Instead of blathering on about Finland and Stalin, he might have done a Tom Nichols in The Atlantic, Trump Keeps Defending Russia, The president sees the Ukraine war through Kremlin-tinted glasses. (that's an archive link).

No need to scribble about Stalin when the world has a variant Chamberlain leading the way ...

Donald Trump loves to speak extemporaneously, and usually, he makes very little sense. (Sharks? The Unabomber? What?) Trying to turn his ramblings into a coherent message is like trying, as an old European saying goes, to turn fish soup back into an aquarium. But he is the president of the United States and holds the codes to some 2,000 nuclear weapons. When he speaks, his statements are both policy and a peek into the worldview currently governing the planet’s sole superpower.
This morning, the commander in chief made clear that he does not understand the largest war in Europe, what started it, or why it continues. Worse, insofar as he does understand anything about Russia’s attempted conquest of Ukraine, he seems to have internalized old pro-Moscow talking points that even the Kremlin doesn’t bother with anymore.
The setting, as it so often is when Trump piles into a car with his thoughts and then goes full Thelma & Louise off a rhetorical cliff, was Fox & Friends. The Fox hosts, although predictably fawning, did their best to keep the president from the ledge, but when Trump pushes the accelerator, everyone goes along for the ride.
The subject, ostensibly, was Trump’s supposed diplomatic triumph at yesterday’s White House meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and seven European leaders. The Fox hosts, of course, congratulated Trump—for what, no one could say—but that is part of the drill. A Trump interview on conservative media is something like a liturgy, with its predictable chants, its call-and-response moments, and its paternosters. Trump ran through the usual items: The war was Joe Biden’s fault; the “Russia, Russia, Russia hoax”; the war never would have happened if Trump had been president. Unto ages of ages, amen.
But when the hosts asked specifically about making peace, the president of America sounded a lot like the president of Russia.
The war, Trump said, started because of Crimea and NATO. Considering his commitment to being a “peace president,” Trump was oddly eager to castigate his predecessors for being weak: Crimea, he said, was handed over to Russian President Vladimir Putin by Barack Obama “without a shot fired.” (Should Obama have fired some? No one asked.) Crimea, you see, is a beautiful piece of real estate, surrounded by water—I have been to Crimea, and I can confirm the president’s evaluation here—and “Barack Hussein Obama gave it away.” Putin, he said, got a “great deal” from Obama, and took it “like candy from a baby.”
Trump did not explain how this putative land swindle led to Putin trying to seize all of Ukraine. But no matter; he quickly shifted to NATO, echoing the arguments of early Kremlin apologists and credulous Western intellectuals that Ukraine existed only as a “buffer” with the West, and that Putin was acting to forestall Ukraine joining NATO. Russia was right, Trump said, not to want the Western “enemy” on their border.
This might be the first time an American president has used Russia’s language to describe NATO as an enemy. Perhaps Trump was simply trying to see the other side’s point of view. He then added, however, that the war was sparked not only by NATO membership—which was not on the table anytime soon—but also by Ukrainian demands to return Crimea, which Trump felt were “very insulting” to Russia.

And so on, and so our Henry, in his Finland obsessed outing, managed to entirely avoid what really matters at the moment ...

The bipolar anchor, and the stability it brought, have disappeared, creating no end of opportunities for revanchist autocracies. Moreover, after three years of intense combat, Vladimir Putin’s military is more credible and capable, and his hold on power even firmer, than in 2022, while his ambitions remain untamed. Nor are there factors at work comparable to those that restricted Stalin’s claims over Finland.
Even were Ukraine to obtain effective security guarantees – and that is far from certain – Putin’s strengthened resources of credibility, force and power are therefore likely to be put to use, both at Russia’s fringes and elsewhere. That is not to blame Trump, who is making the best of a bad lot. 

Say what? All that to make a feeble fudge excuse for the TACO Captain Bonespurs? Even the bromancer wasn't that desperate or pathetic.

As if it were all the fault of Europe, as if King Donald and his minions weren't in NATO and had nothing to do with proceedings...

Rather, the fault lies squarely with the Europeans, who passively accepted the annexation of Crimea and did nothing whatsoever to enforce the agreements that had been reached about the Donbas.

Um, is it wrong to recall that the Russians provided their own guarantee way back in 1994, worth the paper it was written on, but no more than that?

To make things worse, once the war started, their military assistance was so paltry, and, like the Biden administration’s, so laden with restrictions, that the Ukrainians could not strike a decisive blow when the invading forces were at their weakest.
As Russia absorbs what was Ukrainian territory, China will not hesitate to draw the lessons of this conflict – which, along with that in Gaza, defines the era – and translate them into action. And no lesson is starker than the fact that one has go back to the 1930s to find a time when the democracies so largely lacked the will to win or were so readily, and so cheaply, intimidated into anticipatory acquiescence.
With our own government showing a timidity worthy of Helsinki at the height of the Cold War, there is no need to ask for whom the bell of Finlandisation now tolls. It tolls for you and me.

At least he's at one with the bromancer on using Ukraine to stoke fears of China, but what a disappointment. 

The 1930s dismissed, the role of King Donald downplayed, his vain attempt at demanding he be the new Nobel-prize winning Kissinger of the ages ignored ...

And as for the many other many other examples of abandoned treaties and broken guarantees that litter history ...starting with that one in 1994? All forgotten so that our could rage on about Finland. 

Are the days of Thucydides lost forever? What about the Thirty Years' Peace? (which lasted only 15 years)...

Besides, is Finlandisation what's really tolling? 

Isn't Americanisation what is tolling for thee and me?



Cue Gary Johns assaulting a TG charity, and you're well on your way ...