Thursday, April 03, 2025

In which there's some talk of cheeseheads, King Donald the messiah, and nuking the country to save the planet ...

 

Who's a cheesehead now?



It's left to the likes of The Bulwark to enjoy tales of A Wakeup Call in Wisconsin ... and there's also Rattled Trump Says Elon Musk Is on the Way Out, The Tesla billionaire is returning to his businesses, according to the president. (paywall, but the header says it all. See also Changing his Tune)

The stench of Musk and Tesla receding, the pond must tend to the lizards of Oz, but even the reptiles felt the weighty presence of King Donald, with the lead story early in the morning this day ...

Rival leaders in race to benefit from Trump bump
Anthony Albanese is poised for a showdown with Donald Trump if sweeping tariffs are slapped on Australian goods, with the government considering WTO action, as Peter Dutton pledges to ‘stand up’ to the US President.
By Geoff Chambers, Jack Quail and Ben Packham




The reptiles held out hope against hope ...

LIVE Politics Now
Trump open to tariffs deal, dangles a 50pc discount
With Australian exporters bracing for US tariffs on $23.9bn worth of goods,  one insider has suggested the US President may be willing to negotiate over his April 2 tariffs, offering a 50 per cent discount to some ­nations.
By Joe Kelly and Noah Yim

A discount! 

But wasn't the Duttinator going to take him down? Of course the cartoonists had tremendous fun with the notion of the mutton Dutton standing up to King Donald, including the infallible Pope...



Over at Crikey, the keen Keane noted Dutton has flirted pathetically with Trump. On ‘Liberation Day’, the honeymoon is over, Peter Dutton is unable to help himself in constantly offering Trump-style policies. But if Trump launches another economic attack on Australia, where can he run? (archive link)

Inter alia:

...Labor was and is refusing to “offer a running commentary” on Trump, anxious to avoid upsetting the toddler-in-chief, but since the campaign has started the government has been happy to link Dutton to the US, if not directly to Trump. Expect that to only increase in the wake of “Liberation Day” if key Australian sectors are hurt.
And while that’s happening, Dutton has given Labor another gift in the form of a Trump-style commitment to shutter the federal Department of Education, an idea that could have come straight from Project 2025.
It’s another stumble in a campaign start so poor that Dutton is already, just a few days in, promising colleagues that he will lift his game. Bizarrely, it looks like the start of the election caught the Coalition by surprise, despite it being the most heavily teased election in decades. Dutton’s signature nuclear policy — which clearly landed poorly in the Coalition’s internal polling — has had to be binned in favour of a gas reservation policy. Yesterday’s debacle in Victoria — where an announcement to cut funding from the Suburban Rail Loop (an excellent idea) and shift it to the Tullamarine rail link (a terrible idea) was inexplicably held in a vineyard — suggests inexperienced and poor-quality staff are making important decisions.
Dutton has repeatedly emphasised in his backgrounding to journalists that he’s no Trump. But publicly, he keeps trying to sound like Trump and offer policies like Trump. It doesn’t matter what press gallery journalists believe, only what voters think. And, having worked to align himself with the mad king, Dutton may find himself unable to escape the long shadow Trump is casting over this campaign.

Put it another way, per the willing Wilcox ...



The pond loves the smell of a cartoon in the morning, while the reptiles tried to batter the Teals, and this splendid effort by Natasha fell into the digital void...

Exclusive
No woke syllabus for us: Catholic schools
Catholic schools have called for the ‘ideological’ national curriculum to be abolished, as new research reveals more boys are slipping behind girls in their academic performance.
By Natasha Bita

That bloody Jesus and his woke ways. No room for him in the church of tykes.

Elsewhere, also lost in the void, the reptiles did show a dim awareness that things might be kinda funny with the climate ...

Flood of the century unleashes heartache across the outback
Outback Queensland’s flood of the century has descended into a human and financial disaster for far-flung communities, beef stations and vast sheep runs as stock losses pile up and emergency services scramble to save people from the rising waters.
By Jamie Walker, Mackenzie Scott and Elodie Jakes

(But naturally there was no sighting of a mention of the seas pounding Sydney).

Over on the extreme far right of the rag, the pond felt particularly safe in ignoring petulant Peta this day. She was trying to flog the Duttonator over the finish line ...

Forget polls, election clash is just getting started
The Coalition has to better sheet home to voters who is responsible for their pain. Under Labor’s watch our living standards have dropped 8 per cent – the worst in the developed world.
By Peta Credlin
Columnist

She was top of the reptile digital world, ma ...



... but petulant Peta's prominence could be explained by looking down the list.

What a motley bunch, what a crew of riff-raffs and ne'er do wells...

Once upon a time the pond could have turned to the savvy Savva, but she's over in the Nine rags, scribbling Wakey, wakey: Dutton looks shaky as his aptitude is put to the ultimate test, The opposition leader has made a lot of mistakes since January, and they are beginning to catch up with him. (archive link)

For those keen to wander down the archived Savva memory lane, this is a teaser...

...Albanese, and Dutton especially – who has gushed over Trump and continues to ape his policies – have nothing to lose if they go in hard against him. How will Trump punish us? By scrapping AUKUS? Please. Make our day.
Malcolm Turnbull is right. No slumping to our knees, no sucking up. Allowing Trump to think it’s OK to treat Australia as an enemy rather than as a friend is not on.
Nor is it OK for a prime ministerial aspirant from Queensland to spit on the capital of the nation he wants to lead while expressing his preference to live in a harbourside mansion in Sydney.

Oh dear, perhaps that explains why Jack the Insider went all whimsical with ...

What’s the half-life of a nuclear policy kerfuffle anyway?
Have you seen the Coalition’s nuclear policy? Have a good rummage around. Try to retrace your steps. Maybe it has fallen between the couch cushions?
Jack the Insider
Columnist

Gerard Baker of the WSJ was also on view, which reminded the pond that it hadn't noted a classic bit of WSJ Editorial Board FAFO relating to RFK Jr., which ran a few days ago 

RFK Jr. Is Already Vindicating His Critics, Shrinking HHS makes sense, but giving power to antivaccine crusader David Geier doesn’t. (archive link)

The archive had the opening snap of Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on Friday, but the pond wanted to dive straight away into the FAFO ...

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has been secretary of Health and Human Services for all of six weeks, but he’s already vindicating his critics. First he downplayed a measles outbreak in Texas. Then he reportedly hired a trial-lawyer ally to work on a government study of the link between vaccines and autism. Now he has pushed out a top Food and Drug Administration official because he helped accelerate approval of the Covid vaccines.
Mr. Kennedy grabbed headlines on Thursday by proposing to consolidate sundry HHS agencies and cut 20,000 jobs. The bloated department could use some shrinking. Most of his plan, such as refocusing the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on its core mission of preparing for and responding to infectious disease outbreaks, isn’t radical.
What is disturbing are news reports that Mr. Kennedy has tapped David Geier, a longtime vaccine critic, to assist with a CDC study of vaccines and autism. The White House hasn’t confirmed the reports, but HHS lists Mr. Geier in its staff directory as a “senior data analyst.”
Mr. Geier has spent decades spreading the discredited theory, embraced by Mr. Kennedy, that thimerosal in vaccines causes autism and neurological damage in children. He has published more than a dozen studies that trial lawyers have cited as evidence of vaccines’ harms, though they have been rejected by judges and the government’s special vaccine courts.
Mr. Geier has also accused the CDC of concealing vaccine safety data and claimed that better nutrition and hygiene—not vaccines—are responsible for the disappearance of deadly infectious diseases. If Mr. Kennedy truly wants an independent, impartial review of vaccine data, Mr. Geier is the wrong man for the job. The study’s results look preordained.
Another concern is that Mr. Kennedy will create a brain drain at HHS as he pushes out scientists who don’t toe his antivaccine line. We warned last month that Mr. Kennedy might try to fire Peter Marks, the head of the FDA biologics division who helped shepherd President Trump's Operation Warp Speed for Covid vaccines in the first term.
On Friday Mr. Marks resigned, which is especially regrettable since he pushed the FDA bureaucracy to accelerate life-saving therapies for children with rare genetic disorders. He also pushed back against those in and outside of the agency, including Biden FDA Commissioner Robert Califf, who fretted that the FDA was approving too many novel drugs with high prices.
Mr. Marks writes in his resignation letter that he was willing to work with Mr. Kennedy to address his “concerns regarding vaccine safety and transparency.” However, he adds, “it has become clear that truth and transparency are not desired by the Secretary, but rather he wishes subservient confirmation of his misinformation and lies.”
Some Senate Republicans hoped that other Trump HHS appointees—e.g., FDA Commissioner Marty Makary and National Institutes of Health Director Jay Bhattacharya—would keep Mr. Kennedy in check. It isn’t working out that way. NIH is now requiring grants or contracts involving mRNA technology to be reported to Mr. Kennedy’s office. The mRNA platform helped to develop Covid vaccines, and it has shown potential to treat and prevent other diseases including cancer.
Mr. Kennedy rightly criticized the Biden Administration’s Covid responses for ignoring science, but he won’t restore public confidence if he feeds skepticism about vaccines that have saved countless lives. Our worst fears about Mr. Kennedy are coming true.

Speaking of worst fears, is it any wonder then that Baker of the WSJ turned to the divine for help? Apparently the current Messiah wasn't enough for him ...



The pond kids you not, it really does exist...

This book will explain in depth how "Donald John Trump's" full name literally means: "The Ruler of the World, graced by Yahweh (the LORD) and a descendant of a Drummer." Upon reading this book, the reader will be captivated when they realize how President Donald John Trump fulfilled most of the prophecies as the Son of Man. It speaks about End Time Prophecies and Biblical revelations regarding "President Donald J. Trump, the Son of Man. The Christ." (Amazon link only for those wanting to pander to billionaire oligarch Bezos, destroyer of democracy in darkness).

Baker did his best in a three minute read headed Faith, freedom and the long thread of technology, As humanity pushes the boundaries of science and artificial intelligence, God is waiting in the wings.

God is in the wings, She isn't in the White House?

For some reason the reptiles opened with this snap, The Sheldonian Theatre and the Clarendon Building seen through the arch of the Hertford Bridge.



Then Baker began his mystic journey ...

The tension between science and religion has in some ways defined human progress. The steady accumulation of scientific knowledge across millennia has challenged, undermined and, for many, extinguished the idea of some divine infinite creator, a spiritual superhuman that commands our universe.

(The reptiles provided two links for that opener, but being the hive mind, they only led to other bits of the hive mind. The talk of science and religion linked to a February 2016 review by John Carmody of a book by Peter Harrison, while the idea of some divine creator led to that recent Oz fetish about the way that the Pellists performed miracles from beyond the grave. Neither are of any interest, consequence or relevance, save to reveal the way that the reptiles insist everyone stay within the hive mind. Welcome to the hotel lizard Oz, you can never leave).

Back to Baker's journey ...

In this commonly shared view of history as a continuous progression through ascending levels of intelligence, magic gave way to religious belief, which gave way to the scientific method and empiricism.
Mysteries ascribed to the supernatural were discovered to be merely the product of shrinking pockets of ignorance. It was no longer necessary to invent an omniscient God, as Voltaire said in a less enlightened time: science has enabled us to become him.
Yet God – or at least some sense of a supernatural being beyond the compass of the human mind – somehow refuses to die.
The realisation that knowledge itself begets as many questions as answers continues to leave just enough room for faith, as scientific “truths” themselves fall victim to new realities and the rediscovery of the inexplicable.
Sometimes scientific progress enabled rather than eroded religious faith: observation of the intricacy of cell division or the first view of Earth from the moon evinced a new awe at the genius of creation and, for some, a heightened sense of the divine. Now – in more prosaic ways – there are signs that our latest technological innovations are generating new thinking in surprising places about man, faith and God.
There have been murmurings of a religious revival in recent years. Some polling suggests the long steady decline in faith among Americans may have levelled off.
Even in godless Europe there is some evidence of renewed religious interest, and not merely because of the growing population of Muslims.

Oh that's awkward, did he have to mention two long absent lords, the following of either one dooming deniers to an eternity in hellfire? 

The pond was reminded of a joke that could be found in the Graudian ...

Once I saw this guy on a bridge about to jump. I said, "Don't do it!" He said, "Nobody loves me." I said, "God loves you. Do you believe in God?"
He said, "Yes." I said, "Are you a Christian or a Jew?" He said, "A Christian." I said, "Me, too! Protestant or Catholic?" He said, "Protestant." I said, "Me, too! What franchise?" He said, "Baptist." I said, "Me, too! Northern Baptist or Southern Baptist?" He said, "Northern Baptist." I said, "Me, too! Northern Conservative Baptist or Northern Liberal Baptist?"
He said, "Northern Conservative Baptist." I said, "Me, too! Northern Conservative Baptist Great Lakes Region, or Northern Conservative Baptist Eastern Region?" He said, "Northern Conservative Baptist Great Lakes Region." I said, "Me, too!"
Northern Conservative†Baptist Great Lakes Region Council of 1879, or Northern Conservative Baptist Great Lakes Region Council of 1912?" He said, "Northern Conservative Baptist Great Lakes Region Council of 1912." I said, "Die, heretic!" And I pushed him over.

Hey nonny no, on we go ...

There could be any number of reasons for this turn, but two conversations in the past few months have convinced me that it is in good part the direct result of the technological advances the secular mind has created.
In one of the more unusual events I’ve attended in recent years, on a cold mid-February day in Oxford, I listened as two unlikely prophets of a new spirituality entranced an audience of ambitious young students.
In Christopher Wren’s Sheldonian Theatre, seated aptly under the gaze of Robert Streater’s magnificent ceiling art – “Truth Descending on the Arts and Sciences to Expel Ignorance from the University” – Twitter co-founder Biz Stone and Pinterest co-founder Evan Sharp talked about how their entrepreneurial success at creating the screen-based activity now consuming so much of young people’s minds had turned them into urgent advocates of a renewed appreciation of the divine.
Their conversation was titled Reconnecting with the Sacred in a Technology-Driven World. Illuminated by a sea of candles that evoked an ancient church or a very expensive spa, they talked about the damage done to mental and social health by the ubiquity of social media and technology and how it demanded the reawakening of a fully spiritual humanity.

He's talking to a man who wants to take credit for co-founding what has become veritable cesspool? 

Even worse the reptiles featured a snap of the dude, Biz Stone, co-founder of Twitter. Picture: Jacob Kepler/Bloomberg


Of course you're going to turn to the divine when you see what Uncle Leon has wrought ...

Sharp had an especially profound observation: we think of technology as just things that are new, he said, and when we’ve got used to them we stop calling them technology. But technology is a tool for human development. Structured, ancient institutional religions continue to have meaning; an “unbelievable tapestry of these traditions that are thousands of years old, and what they have, from my perspective, is the most precious technology on earth”.
The second conversation was one I had with a brilliant young entrepreneur in artificial intelligence – the company he founded already has an 11-figure valuation.
Like many in the field, he is focused not just on the opportunity of AI but also on what it will mean for our humanity. AI, he told me recently, will soon create a world in which “intelligence is a commodity”.
If this is true – and I have no reason to challenge the word of such an authority – it has revolutionary implications for what it means to be human.
The entire history of human development can be viewed in some ways as the extraction of the scarce resource of intelligence and its application to human problems. If machines will do all that better and at an infinite rate, what is left for the human mind?
I don’t know, but I suspect part of the answer will be a deeper appreciation for what distinguishes man – and that surely is the existence of a soul, as well as a body and a mind.
In The Queer Feet, GK Chesterton’s becassocked detective hero Father Brown explains how he captured a thief: “I caught him, with an unseen hook and an invisible line which is long enough to let him wander to the ends of the world, and still to bring him back with a twitch upon the thread.”
Chesterton was invoking the idea of God’s continuing, often unrecognised, immanence in our lives; the sense that, however much freedom we may have, however much agency we claim, we are simply spooling out the long thread that attaches us to our maker.
Watching the latest explosion of new technology I reflect that perhaps the whole long march of science, all that secular accumulation of knowledge, is simply the unreeling of that long, seemingly limitless thread, and that eventually we all feel the twitch.
The Wall Street Journal

Being a friendly atheist, the pond doesn't have much to say to twitchers of the Baker kind, and even less to the Sharp kind, which if heated, might cut a little butter, but it does recall this Blake poem ...

"Love seeketh not itself to please,
Nor for itself hath any care,
But for another gives its ease,
And builds a Heaven in Hell's despair."

So sung a little Clod of Clay
Trodden with the cattle's feet,
But a Pebble of the brook
Warbled out these metres meet:

"Love seeketh only self to please,
To bind another to its delight,
Joys in another's loss of ease,
And builds a Hell in Heaven's despite." 

A Hell in Heaven's despite! Put that another way, in the current US context, where King Donald is the new messiah ...


(Daily Kos)

Would the long absent lord begin to recognise the treatment of strangers in the current USA?

The pond supposes it should pay some attention to local activities, and looked to find some Pearls of Wisdom in Peter Dutton needs to do more to smash through this election duopoly, Albanese’s campaign is based on two big lies: one, that wind and solar are the cheapest forms of energy. And two, that Dutton plans to end Medicare.

First came a reminder that it's terribly hard to do a flattering snap, Leader of the Opposition Peter Dutton delivers keynote address at the Menzies Research Centre in Sydney. Picture: Britta Campion



Then it was on with the Pearls ...

How ironic. In the opening days of the election campaign Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton accused our major supermarkets of short-changing the public yet they lead a political duopoly that is guilty of just this.
If you doubt this is the case, consider the policy platforms the Labor Party and the Coalition are offering voters. In many areas they’re barely distinguishable, reflecting an implicit bargain not to disrupt a political equilibrium with which they are both comfortable but one that falls far short of the policy changes the country needs.
The major parties are running a unity ticket on significant fiscal, economic and environmental policy questions. They are both committed to net zero, which will continue to drive up power prices. Both support bracket creep. Neither is prepared to reduce our punishingly high top marginal income tax rates. Neither is prepared to touch the National Disability Insurance Scheme and other unsustainable entitlement programs.

Just as the Pearls were cascading to the ground, the reptiles rudely interrupted with a lying rodent talking to a dog botherer, Former prime minister John Howard shared his thoughts on Opposition Leader Peter Dutton during the lead-up to the federal election. “Strong, purposeful, steady, you want someone who is grounded; you can’t serve almost a decade in the police force without seeing life often at its worst,” Mr Howard told Sky News host Chris Kenny. “My association with and it started when he entered parliament when he successfully defeated Cheryl Kernot and held it through successive elections.”



Well they would say that ...

Nor do the Prime Minister and the Opposition Leader appear to acknowledge the need for painful, politically difficult policy calls to be made in response to pressing economic and security challenges – although Dutton has indicated he will say more about our future defence needs.
In this campaign, productivity – the ultimate determinant of our living standards – is the economic concept that cannot be mentioned. Indeed, by demanding that the Fair Work Commission approve an “above-inflation wage increase” for the millions of employees on awards – and being silent on the need for higher productivity to pay for this – the Albanese government is calling for a new inflationary breakout.
Of course, like any self-respecting corporate duopolists, the major parties give the impression of real competition by talking up a small number of policy differ­ences. Under the heading of cost-of-living support, we have Albanese’s $5 to $10 a week income tax cuts up against Dutton’s $14 a week fuel excise cut. Think Coke v Pepsi. To be fair, Dutton has committed to increase our gas supply and build seven nuclear reactors. This is no small deal. On nuclear, he has not blinked in the face of Labor’s appalling fear campaign and looked like a leader as a result. His refusal to demonise gas and coal – which a renewables-captured ALP cannot help demonising – is a breath of fresh air.
In contrast, Albanese’s campaign is based on two big lies: one, that wind and solar are the cheapest forms of energy (the cost of these is infinitely high for the 60 to 70 per cent of the time weather conditions do not favour them); and two, that Dutton plans to end Medicare.

Ah, the cheapest form of energy and the nuking of the country to save the planet. 

That reminded the pond that Jack the Insider had a few words to say on that matter, what with the keen Keane already noting that it had "clearly landed poorly in the Coalition’s internal polling" ...

Have you seen the Coalition’s nuclear policy? Have a good rummage around. Try to retrace your steps. Maybe it has fallen between the couch cushions? Don’t tell me the dog got a hold of it.
There was an unconfirmed sighting two days ago, as reported in the Bairnsdale Advertiser in East Gippsland, Victoria under the imposing headline, “Coalition Nuclear Policy Unpacked”.
This proved illusory. The Bairnsdale ’Tiser merely chronicled a community meeting held by the East Gippsland Climate Action Network where a spokesman, who isn’t a member of the Coalition but is an engineer, explained the policy and raised several concerns about it.
Last week another breadcrumb on the nuclear energy policy trail was spotted when former Senate candidate for the Nuclear Disarmament Party, occasional harmonicist and environment minister in the Rudd cabinet Peter Garrett wrote an opinion piece for Nine newspapers. Unsurprisingly, he was against it. In the absence of any polemical response from the Coalition, I was left to wonder if Garrett had merely written the piece to publicise the re-release of Hercules – EP on vinyl with two new tracks.
So, where could the Coalition’s nuclear policy be? Furthermore, has the absence of any reference to it been driven by an internal partyroom brawl over the correct pronunciation of nuclear – you say new-clear, I say new-cular, let’s call the whole thing off?
I recall attending a soiree back in June 2024 where several Liberal Party apparatchiks were in attendance just days after the Coalition released its nuclear policy. At the time it was a bare-bones plan to build seven nuclear plants in five states, two small modular nuclear reactors, with a lot of artist’s impressions.
I heard much of the voluble positive chatter from afar. I turned to a mate and offered my opinion: “It’s terrible politics.”
“At least,” my mate said, “it’s got people talking.”
That was 15 months – a political eon ago. Now it appears it is being talked about only in Bairnsdale. Excitable party hacks aside, nuclear energy was always going to be a much harder sell to the Australian people who basically fall into three camps – why not, opposed and damned opposed.
Shortly after the policy was released and right on cue, Paul Keating offered a statement pronouncing his dislike for the policy and offering some free character assessment of Peter Dutton to boot. A walking thesaurus of invective, the former prime minister described the Opposition Leader as “a charlatan – an inveterate climate change denialist. A denialist now seeking to camouflage his long-held denialism in an industrial fantasy – resorting to the most dangerous and expensive energy source on the face of the earth – nuclear power.”
It’s not the most expensive energy source, by the way. That’s good old liquefied natural gas.
There has been more meat applied to the policy since, most of it released during the Christmas rush in 2024. One of the five large-scale reactors, would be firing up at Traralgon’s Loy Yang power station, just 150 clicks from Bairnsdale.
Meanwhile, in the world of realpolitik, perhaps there is a fatalist’s sense that the policy could shift from the theoretical into the actual only if, while in government, the Coalition could garner support to revoke the Australian Radiation Protection and Nuclear Safety Act and federal Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act.
It almost certainly would need the support of crossbenchers in the House of Representatives and in the Senate to do so. The two acts, introduced in the early years of the Howard government, were merely symbolic, designed to ward off political scare campaigns. The black-letter law remains like an albatross around the neck of nuclear energy proponents. But for the sake of argument, I figure a year to overturn those two acts. Then on to the states where required legislative changes are even less likely. Let’s be kind and give that three years.
Then to the sites, with NIMBY protests and environmental impact statements up the wazoo. Even generously, it would mean soil turned on a large-scale nuclear reactor not a day earlier than 2030. From there, 20 years minimum for the build. And that’s only if the Coalition can find the policy first. Win, lose, or draw, the Coalition will be frustrated because Energy Minister Chris Bowen remains wide open to all manner of verbal assaults on Labor’s energy policy, its shortcomings, its shortfalls and its pitfalls.
Without wanting to state the obvious, Bowen, in cricketer’s parlance, is prone to wave the bat outside off. Terrible footwork. Of course, the Coalition’s recent silence on nuclear policy is in direct contrast to millions of households around the country that recoil in horror every time they glimpse their electricity bills.
The greater shame of the disappearing policy is that the nation won’t consider nuclear options for decades, despite some quite stunning advances in small modular reactors. They remain expensive, not only to purchase and assemble but also in projected costs of electricity generation.
We can safely expect improved performance and economies of scale as production gears up in a world that is screaming for zero-carbon technology. Taking that option off the table for the foreseeable smacks of arrogance and bad planning. I expect the door will remain closed on SMRs, only for it to rear up and become another source of political dispute in the middle of the century.
Alas, I don’t expect to be around for that momentous occasion. I’ll be in Bairnsdale looking for the Coalition’s nuclear policy.

The pond regrets having to strip Jack of his illustrative snaps, but the Pearls of Wisdom man was already well cluttered with snaps of villains, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese on the campaign trail In Victoria.



Call these Pearls of Wisdom petulant Peta-lite, and you can see why the pond was keen to do a white rabbit and scurry through the rest of them ...

To his credit, Dutton has been prepared to make a partial break with our political duopoly but seems hesitant to go the full way. This caution plays into the hands of Albanese. As we know, since World War II not a single first-term government has been defeated at the polls. Even Gough Whitlam was re-elected in 1974.
By refusing to offer a more compelling alternative to Albanese, Dutton is ignoring this political reality. He may be sending a subliminal message to the electorate – and I have in mind the 40 per cent of disengaged voters our electoral laws compel to turn up at the polls – that Albanese’s economic, fiscal and international policy settings are broadly acceptable. Dutton’s advisers could argue that oppositions offering ambitious policy manifestos inevitably fail.
But I am not calling for a 2025 version of Fightback. A single game-changing announcement can do the trick.
The only requirement is that it forces voters – and the media – to see our current political orthodoxy for what it is: a recipe for long-term national decline. Paul Keating’s much-maligned banana republic comment did just this.
At the risk of sounding like a broken record, a commitment to abolish bracket creep would serve this purpose beautifully. It should be backed up by data showing how much this “inflation tax” has taken out of household budgets since 2022 – which by some estimates is greater than the toll higher interest rates have taken – and the damage it will continue to do under a returned Labor government. With this commitment Dutton would be appealing to voters’ loss aversion, a more powerful psychological incentive than the future benefit of more gas supply offers.
It would put an end to Labor’s taunt that Dutton is not lowering taxes. Getting rid of bracket creep would not cost a great deal in the short term (although the cost rises across time), it would put an automatic check on the growth of spending and it would be a progressive, not regressive, change to our tax system.

Strange, if he'd been Baker, perhaps it would have been a single flash of light descending from the heavens. 

Instead the reptiles relied on an old ploy, yet another revival of an ancient Satan, but all that did was remind the pond that the lizard Oz is now for a very aged demographic. 

Who else would care to see a roughed up snap of Gough?



Why no snap of Billy McMahon? Why no snap of Harold Holt? In their day, they were hot contenders, major players in the game of worst PM of all time...

Because nobody cares. It's all bubble headed influencers these days ...



Oh reptiles of the hive mind, see where print media now stands in the scheme of things?

Talk about irrelevance disappearing into the sunset, talk about the compleat uselessness of these Pearls of wisdom ...

As I have said before, let the election be fought as a referendum on this rather than Labor’s fictitious Medicare fear campaign. Better still, Dutton also should offer substantial personal income tax cuts, but I suspect the policy work simply has not been done.
A possible alternative to bracket creep reform, or an addition to it, would be to announce a substantial, specific and urgent increase in the defence budget in response to our rapidly deteriorating security environment. With the recent Chinese warship visit fresh in people’s minds, the electorate would be more than open to this. Again, such an announcement would put Labor in a difficult position, forcing it on to electoral ground it does not want to fight on – and exposing Labor’s instinctive anti-defence stance to full view.
No one can predict how election campaigns will unfold. Despite recent polling, Dutton could well win on the basis of his current agenda for change. Having worked on an election campaign long ago, I know how significant an ill-advised handshake, an unscripted comment to a voter or a costing black hole can prove to be in a tight contest.
Perhaps Dutton still may have a major policy card up his sleeve, as he has been hinting. His risk-averse advisers may be telling him not to play it, but for oppositions seeking to unseat first-term governments playing it safe is risky in itself. In short, Dutton needs to do more to challenge the foundations of our political duopoly, just as he did with great success on the voice and nuclear power.
David Pearl is a former Treasury assistant secretary.

The pond is content. 

Let the current agenda for change run its course, and soon enough we'll be nuking the country to save the planet, at least in the lizard Oz's collective hive mind...

And so to end with the joyous thought that at last Liberation Day is at hand, with the immortal Rowe helping usher it in ...




Wednesday, April 02, 2025

In which the bromancer gets closer to his war with China by Xmas ...

 

Oh there's feistiness everywhere today on the lizard Oz.

The Duttinator was in top form ...he'll show King Donald what for ... he's ready to trumple in the jungle, he knows how to rope-a-dope...




He'd take him in a heartbeat. He'd show the Canucks that you didn't need to elbow up, you'd just need a bloody good coathanger aimed at that flabby, always flapping, mush.

The fighting spirt seemed to infect the rest of the lizard Oz.

The pond will admit that this morning it hadn't taken Jennings of the fifth form seriously ...but then the bromancer chipped in, showing there was a sea-change in the air...



As everyone or anyone who visits the pond knows, the pond is a huge fan of the bromancer, and trusts that he will be able to conduct his war with China by Xmas ...

He was blindly on the offensive ...

Albanese needs a sea-change on his blindly defensive attitude, Every time the Chinese navy engages in aggressive military actions near the Australian coast, the Prime Minister absolves them of doing something untoward.

It was only a three minute read, or so the reptiles said, but full of trust, or at least hope, that the Cantaloupe Caligula would do the right thing, once the Reichsmarschall des GroßAustralisch Reiches bromancer made his stand and bunged on a do with the fiendish Orientals, blithely sailing around, unaware of the threat that he posed to their wayward ways...

Chinese ship Tan Suo Yi Hao is currently sailing off Australia's southern coast. Picture: China's Institute of Deep-sea Science and Engineering, This article contains features which are only available in the web version, Take me there



We're here, and the dear leader was in teaching mode ...

It’s time to give Anthony Albanese a basic geography lesson.
Every time the Chinese navy engages in aggressive military actions near the Australian coast, the Prime Minister absolves them of any hint they might be doing something untoward by saying Australia sometimes has ships in the South China Sea.

Um, yes, Australia sometimes does make a point of wandering about the South China Sea.




But that's right and proper, that's gunboat diplomacy conducted by the forces of good, colonialists reaffirming their imperialist legacy, while what the perfidious Chinese are doing gets right up the bromancer's nose ...

When you're a valiant warrior and have shifted from the dry sherry into quaffing a hard port while reclining in the leather chair in your local club, you're not ready to tolerate any excuses from the quislings or the rats in the ranks...

This week, in reaction to Chinese spy ship Tan Suo Yi Hao undertaking operations in Australia’s exclusive economic zone, Albanese remarked inter alia that Australia sometimes “has vessels in the South China Sea”.
On February 22, in response to a Chinese navy flotilla conducting live-fire exercises slap bang in the middle of the aviation route between Australia and New Zealand, which forced 49 aircraft to divert from their normal course, and doing this without adequate notice, the Prime Minister offered the same what-about-us excuse.
He said: “Given Australia has a presence in the South China Sea, its location is hinted at there by the title of the sea …”

(At this point there was a large gap in the text, suggesting that tragically the pond had missed out on key information. Perhaps a map showing that the South China Sea was really the Gulf of America.

Or perhaps a graph, perhaps providing a comparison of the armed forces available to China and Australia, vital evidence that showed that the bromancer could thrash the wayward horde with one arm tied behind proverbial back).

The bromancer was in a state of agitation, hardly surprising given that he's always agitated...

Has he missed the entire regional strategic debate for the past 30 years? His staff should tell him Australia does not recognise Chinese sovereignty over the South China Sea. Most of the South China Sea is nowhere near China. That’s what the argument and Beijing’s famous nine dash lines have been about for 30 years.
An Australian navy ship in the South China Sea is not analogous to a Chinese vessel off the coast of Australia.
Sovereignty is not hinted at by the name of the body of water. Otherwise Australia would be offending Indian sovereignty every time it sailed into Perth, which is, after all, on the shores of the ­Indian Ocean.

Indeed, indeed, and never mind Ships 'foxtrot' in the South China Sea

HMA Ships Hobart and Stalwart are in the Philippines after completing a trilateral transit of the South China Sea.
The Royal Australian Navy ships sailed in a task group with United States Ship Milius and Japanese Ship Kirisame.
Hobart Navigating Officer Lieutenant Dean Gilbert said the transit was constructive.
“It was another great opportunity while deployed on Regional Presence Deployment 22-4 to engage with key partners and enhance our interoperability in the Indo-Pacific,” Lieutenant Gilbert said.
“I have enjoyed facing these challenges and developing the bridge team into an effective and highly functioning component of Hobart to ensure the safe execution of the navigation plan.”
During the transit, task group personnel conducted activities designed to increase interoperability and communications between the three partners and promote an open, inclusive and resilient Indo-Pacific.

No comparison, all that talk of interoperability and keeping an open, inclusive and resilient Indo-Pacific is mere idle, indolent chat. Just jolly japing amongst interoperable chums ...

No match for the wretched, deviant Chinese ...

The Chinese live-fire exercise in February was certainly too close to aviation routes. The Chinese spy ship has surely undertaken maritime research in Australia’s EEZ. It should have applied for permission from Australia six months in advance.
If the Chinese vessel wasn’t undertaking maritime research, what was it doing south of the Australian mainland? That’s not a direct route to anywhere else.
It was almost certainly identifying Australia’s submarine ­cables, the location of some of which is not publicly available.
No doubt it was tracking the best routes and relevant features for Chinese military submarines as well.

It was time for a pause for an AV distraction, with the bromancer rampant on the safe seas of Sky Noise,

The Australian’s Foreign Editor Greg Sheridan has described a Chinese government research vessel being spotted off Australia’s south coast as “very disturbing”. “I think this is very disturbing for Australia – these military vessels are interrupting Trans-Tasman flights, they’re circumnavigating Australia,” he told Sky News Australia. “They are seeing what is the best place for their submarines to sail if they want to come and attack Australia, they’re looking at our submarine cables which they can cut in the event of hostilities.” Mr Sheridan claims the Albanese government has been “all at sea” in its response to this.



The bromancer mounted a final attack on the salient, bringing in close allies, in much the same way that the US will no doubt help us when the bro decides to bung on a do with the Chinese.

Get the Duttinator into office, and after he's boxed King Donald's ears, he can box dictator Xi's as well ...

Albanese has become increasingly loose, undisciplined and imprecise in the way he talks about defence and national security. The key feature of the way he talks is vagueness and a failure to be across obvious detail – such as the status of the South China Sea, or confusion over whether it’s the Australian Defence Force or the Australian Border Force monitoring the Chinese spy ship.
On the ABC’s Insiders on Sunday, David Speers asked him whether Australia’s current defence budget, at 2 per cent of GDP, was adequate to defend Australia.
“Absolutely,” he replied, then blustered to make effective ­follow-up questions impossible.
Public attention has focused on the Trump administration suggesting Australia should devote 3 per cent of GDP to defence.
In fact, almost everyone the Albanese government has nominated to make authoritative recommendations to guide Aus­tralian defence policy has come to the same conclusion. Their views have nothing to do with Donald Trump.
When he won government, Albanese and Defence Minister Richard Marles commissioned Angus Houston, former chief of the ADF, along with former politician Stephen Smith, to conduct the Defence Strategic Review.
Late last year, Houston called for the defence budget to go to 3 per cent of GDP because the threats have worsened, and to prevent the money needed for AUKUS nuclear subs cannibalising the rest of the defence budget.
The chief author of the DSR, Peter Dean, from the US Studies Centre at Sydney University, recently made the same call.
Former defence minister Kim Beazley, who Albanese always supported in Labor leadership contests and wanted as Australia’s prime minister, similarly called on the Albanese government to go to 3 per cent of GDP.
So has Dennis Richardson, former head of the Defence Department and tapped by the Albanese government to conduct an inquiry into the Australian Submarine Agency.
Here’s the direct contradiction for Albanese. He told us explicitly and implicitly that Houston, Dean and the others are authoritative sources of defence policy advice. They’ve all concluded we must spend 3 per cent of GDP to acquire critically necessary military capability.
Without any explanation of why they’re all wrong, Albanese blithely ignores their unanimous view. If he won’t listen to them on defence, he could at least get a briefing from one of them on the South China Sea.

Splendid stuff. 

And if Albo won't get a detailed briefing from the reptiles' very own Reichsmarschall des GroßAustralisch Reiches, then he'll keep on getting stick from the bromancer, which it has to be said, is a bit easier than giving dictator Xi some stick, or a stiff arm ... or perhaps getting help from King Donald, who has his own country to destroy.

What joy. 

The mutton Dutton going to war with King Donald and the bromancer going to war with China by Xmas, and King Donald going to war with the mug punters who gave him the powers of an unchecked monarch ...




Glorious times ... please bromancer, may we have another ...


In which the pond returns to the Mein Gott well, before diving in with nattering "Ned"


Liberation Day ... freedumb day ... and all that the foreign-owned News Corp has worked towards will soon come to pass ...

Per the top of the NY Times digital page, as in the USA, Wednesday rolls around ...



Exciting times, though Liberation Day seems to have bypassed the lizard Oz...or at least they thought so little of it that they slipped in a mention of it right down the page, preferring to feature PayPal in a big wrap-around...



Instead of Liberation Day, the reptiles, led by a lesser member of the Kelly gang, were featuring - peddling is a better word - this sort of mystical "Jesus on a cheese toastie" nonsense ...

INSIDE STORY
‘Our little miracle’: how parents asked Pell to save their boy’s life
Wes and Caitlin Robinson didn’t believe Vincent would survive after receiving an astonishing 52 minutes of CPR. But they credit the late George Pell with interceding to save their baby after he nearly drowned in their hot tub.
By Joe Kelly

That's down there with PRAISE BE, Trump’s Press Secretary Claims He’s Facing ‘Evil Forces’, Karoline Leavitt is painting the White House as being engaged in “spiritual warfare.” (archive link)

Meanwhile, will someone call on the Pellists to save the planet?

EXCLUSIVE
Liberals to drop fines on car emissions
The Coalition will abolish fines for car companies who breach targets under Australia’s first vehicle emissions standards scheme.
By Greg Brown, Sarah Elks and Joanna Panagopoulos

It took 3 reptiles to write up that story?

The reptiles remained in campaign mode, leading with ...

WAGES
Labor makes inflated promise to low-paid workers
Anthony Albanese will back above-inflation pay rises for 2.9 million low-paid workers, igniting an election fight with Peter Dutton and business.
By Ewin Hannan

Over on the extreme far right, the pond decided that there were some who could be safely ignored ...



Worrywart simplistic Simon (here conflicts of interest) was at it again ...

Dutton now trapped in a Labor double-dare
The politics of Albanese’s call for above-inflation wage rises presents a political problem for Peter Dutton but seems to disregard the problem that lies beneath.
By Simon Benson
Political Editor

Dame Slap was in "must" mode...

Why Dutton must purge shoddy industry super funds
If Dutton wins the May election, he can and should defang these funds. They are now large public offer financial institutions – many of whose members are not union members.
By Janet Albrechtsen
Columnist

The pond must keep avoiding Dame Slap, especially when she wants to purge ...the pond will indulge in bulimia nervosa another day ...

The pond must also avoid Jennings of the fifth form when wanting to bung no a do with China ...

China’s ‘research ship’ just the latest act of an aggressor
The government should direct the air force to fly P8 maritime surveillance aircraft around the Chinese ship.
Peter Jennings
Contributor

Really? Even Japan and South Korea are hunkering down with China ahead of Liberation Day ... or at least having talks.

Perhaps out of sheer perversity, or because the last late arvo Mein Gott inspired the pond's correspondents, the pond decided to reach back to yesterday and savour the Mein Gott outing, Peter Dutton should alert voters to Labor’s hidden tax plans ahead of May 3 federal election, If the Albanese government is returned to power, we must prepare for Labor’s new signature tax on unrealised capital gains to spread and impact a lot more than currently promised.

It was a four minute read, or so the reptiles said, but who couldn't love a piece that began with an AV distraction featuring the Canavan caravan? Nationals Senator Matt Canavan discusses recent polling results, which show the Labor Party ahead of the Coalition. Newspoll, the Resolve Political Monitor, and YouGov have all recorded increases in Labor’s primary vote, although neither major party has been able to achieve a commanding lead. “The changes in the polls are so small as to be almost insignificant,” Mr Canavan told Sky News Australia. “All these numbers show is that it’s very, very close. “I think we’ve got to fight for every vote, I think this election is up for grabs.”



Up for grabs? Not in Mein Gott's world - he was in a state of frenzied, deep anxiety ...

With the opinion polls telling us that the Albanese government is set to win the election, Australians must prepare for the ALP's new signature tax – a tax on unrealised capital gains or the “savers tax”.
The launch pad will be those with superannuation balances above a non-indexed $3m, but that’s just the start. With the Greens’ help, it will extend deeper into superannuation and then almost certainly break out into the wider investment field.
Given the government knows it can raise most of the superannuation money via a fair and well-accepted taxing system, it is clear that the unrealised gains tax is destined for a much wider net outside superannuation.
Many speculate it will eventually hit the family home.
Bill Shorten lost the 2019 election to Scott Morrison partly because of a botched franking credits tax. But Anthony Albanese faces Peter Dutton, who appears to be a much less effective election campaigner than Morrison in 2019.

Don't you just love the audacity of "many speculate."

Many speculate that the reptiles get their snaps from cheap stock sources these days and wrangle and mangle them into pathetic collages using AI ... Peter Dutton and Anthony Albanese. Picture: Supplied/iStock



Mein Gott wildly speculated away ...

Nevertheless, the government is going to the 2025 election with another and arguably more dangerous botched tax.
If you hold shares or property, you will be taxed on the rise in the value of those shares and property even though you have not sold. The annual property values will be determined by the Australian Taxation Office.
Initially, the tax aims to attack those who hold farms or commercial property in a superannuation fund, but if it breaks out of superannuation the “savers” tax will hit all equity investments.
The government will deny it has any intention of taking the tax out of superannuation, but the massive unsustainable deficits projected in the latest budget means the government may have no choice but to use the tax widely. Treasury will be well aware of this “backup”.
What makes the tax so dangerous to the nation is that it has been carefully concealed in the budget, and it makes absolutely no sense to introduce it unless it is planned to extend eventually beyond superannuation into all investments.
Whoever wins the next election will need to grow the economy or introduce either a major new tax or substantial cost-cutting.
The ALP vows not to cost cut, and its high-cost energy plus industrial relations and environmental legislation mean growth will be restrained.
If it wins, the ALP can raise most of the extra money required by extending the “savers tax” into most equity investments.

Oh the government might deny, but Mein Gott knows, in a way that only Mein Gott knows, perhaps by channelling the 'little to be proud of' man, Nationals Leader David Littleproud says the Albanese government is trying to tax unrealised capital gains. Housing Minister Clare O'Neil has ruled out any immediate changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax. “They said they wouldn’t touch superannuation, and now they’re trying to tax unrealised capital gains, which is an ideology that every Australian should have a shiver down the back of their spine on,” Mr Littleproud told Sky News Australia.



It's a hidden plot, a fully masked conspiracy,  unmasked by Mein Gott, though with a 'perhaps' here and a 'perhaps' there ...

Indeed, the masks used to conceal the tax's launch make the savers tax looks like it was created to give the ALP a second term option to raise vast sums.
The savers tax had its origins in a widely discussed measure to lift the tax on superannuation balances above $3m from 15 to 30 per cent.
The logical and simple way to calculate that tax was to apply exactly the same method of calculation to the second 15 per cent as applied in the first 15 per cent.
A conventional 30 per cent tax calculation on income derived from assets over $3m in both self-managed funds and industry/retail funds was extremely easy to administer.
Where a person had, say, $4m in super that was spread over several funds, it was that person’s responsibility to alert the funds that the member was liable for the extra tax to require a conventional return statement containing the necessary data.
Those industry or retail funds unable to provide that data would suggest to members that they switch their money to a separate fund in the group that was structured so it could provide the required data.
There might be problems in the first year and a low deeming rate could be applied for that year. After that, those not able to provide the required data would be penalised, perhaps with an unrealised gains tax.

The reptiles flung in a snap of the chief unmasked villains, Anthony Albanese and Jim Chalmers in Brisbane. Picture: Jason Edwards/NewsWire



Vicious, the bloody vicious animals are vicious, and that set Mein Gott off...

Instead of this simple process, the government launched a vicious unrealised gains tax, which made no sense unless it was planned to extend well beyond people with $3m in superannuation.
The government won the debate on the fairness of a properly constructed 30 per cent tax on income from superannuation balances above $3m.
Such a tax would have been regarded as fair by the community and would have passed the parliament without substantial opposition.
The new tax when incorporated into the 30 per cent superannuation tax scheme caused the entire legislation to be rejected by the Senate.
But the government left the amounts to be raised by the “savers tax” in the forward estimates, so although it is not mentioned in the budget, the funds from the unrealised capital gains tax calculation are in the expected revenue for 2025-26. Only a government that had a wide agenda for this tax would play such a game.
The biggest victims from a wider tax will be those trying to develop a new business and asking for capital to help.
Nobody will invest if they have to sell assets to pay for the unrealised gains tax.
And if there is a later loss, they must wait for capital profits to get the money back. The existence of the tax will impact all Australian equity markets.
There are very few leading countries, if any, that have an unrealised gains tax, which means that we should alert overseas investors that any unrealised gains tax will not stop at superannuation.
Fascinatingly, former US vice-president Kamala Harris put an unrealised gains tax in her set of policies. But whereas the Jim Chalmers cut-off was at $3m, the Harris cut-off was $US1bn ($1.62bn).

Fascinating, amazing how airy castles can be built in an airy Mein Gott world, and the pond thinks it has done its duty by domestic politics ...



The pond isn't sure it works like that. Five weeks or ten, it's all a blur ...and the blur might go on for years.

Just a small example.

The pond is in the habit of turning on the news to accompany an early lunch, and yet yesterday the ABC decided it would break schedule and indulge the Duttonator ...

The pond immediately turned over to SBS, which was running the Beeb's news ...a temporary fix, but a chance to step outside the bubble ...



Actually they say a day is a long time if you bump into Australian media.

To be fair, the pond would have done the same if Albo had intruded, but it means that the ABC is on the pond's banned list going forward ...

Would that the pond could do the same with the reptiles, but herpetology studies insist that the pond must pay attention to at least one other reptile each day, and so nattering "Ned" stepped forward with Malcolm Turnbull’s AUKUS plea will fall on deaf ears, While it’s essential for Australia to reassess our ties with the US, Turnbull’s insistence that Albanese and Dutton must now adopt a tougher and aggressive stand towards Trump constitutes a demand that, right now, is pure folly.

No Liberation Day for "Ned", he's all for bending the knee and kissing that arse ... (not that there's anything wrong with arse-kissing in the right circumstances with the right people)



The reptiles decided on a more sedate portrait of Doge City in action, President Donald Trump speaks to reporters before signing an executive order in the Oval Office.



It turned out that Malware had given "Ned" a fright, though it's likely that the pompous, portentous bore is easy to scare, what with his devotion to Chicken Little routines, with much flapping and clucking ...

Malcolm Turnbull’s effort on Monday to secure a “fundamental rethink” of the Australian-American alliance generated a broad consensus that the Trump presidency means deep changes in the alliance – probably the most profound recalibration in its 75-year history.
While Turnbull’s opposition to the AUKUS nuclear-powered submarine project is unwavering, the reaction at the Canberra conference he convened came with a twist – the warning that AUKUS is in trouble but the immediate problem is homegrown, arising in Australia before it materialises in the US.
Turnbull’s purpose in hosting his Canberra forum was to penetrate what he called the “realities” of Donald Trump that both Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton “prefer to ignore”. The sentiment of the conference was that Trump is far more dangerous to the global order, and to Australia, than is publicly recognised by either the Labor Party or Coalition.
But Turnbull’s remarks in his National Press Club speech on Tuesday reveal his motivation is to intensify his campaign against AUKUS based on his belief there is “very little prospect” of Australia getting the Virginia-class submarines the US has pledged to sell to Australia under the agreement.

Fancy imagining that a snake-oil salesman might run out of snake oil ... but to be fair Malware himself isn't bad at snake-oil-selling, Malcolm Turnbull addresses the National Press Club.



"Ned" a-flapping he did go, perhaps startled by that look on Malware's face...

This is a frontal assault by Turnbull on the joint Labor-Coalition position. It has become a personal obsession and crusade. Turnbull has never recovered from Scott Morrison’s abandonment of the conventional submarine deal Turnbull did with the French. He brands AUKUS as “born in deceit” and perpetuated by leaders “sucking up” to the US and engaged in dishonesty about the project.
But Turnbull has conflated two issues. While it is essential for Australia to reassess our ties with the US, his insistence that Albanese and Dutton must now adopt a tougher and aggressive stand towards Trump – he censured them to “get off your knees and stand up for Australia” – constitutes a demand that, right now, is pure folly. This is advice no responsible PM would follow.
Australia must defend its interests; but we are not Canada. Premature gestures of toughness towards Trump have no place now, when we still await Trump’s Indo-Pacific thinking, and when strength will be required further down the track. This was bad, self-glorifying advice from Turnbull.

Indeed, indeed ...




Relax, "Ned" was on top of those tariff thingies...

Obviously, Albanese and Dutton will reject any of Trump’s tariff decisions this week that damage Australia. But this cannot obscure the broader challenge Australia faces from Trump’s transformational policies that were effectively canvassed at Turnbull’s Monday forum.
Former departmental head Heather Smith told the opening session: “The fragmentation of the international economic system is now a fact. The post-Cold War order isn’t collapsing, it has collapsed. The US is dismantling the foundations of its global hegemony, along with the norms and values that have underpinned the US-Australia relationship. And this dismantling cannot be reversed by a change of administration – once gone, always gone!
“The US has adopted a mercantilist view of the world with conflicting goals – where tariffs are the answer to everything. We are in uncharted waters. It will be lonelier and more fraught for Australia in this multipolar world – as demonstrated by both the US and China having engaged in economic coercion against us.

Hmm, perhaps time for an exchange of views with those left out in the cold?

The reptiles then turned to an AV distraction, featuring Malware in action ... Former prime minister Malcolm Turnbull has told Australian politicians to “get off" their knees and "stand up for Australia”. “Be as transitional* with America as it is with us,” Mr Turnbull said at the National Press Club on Tuesday. “Trying to get a into a race of who can do the most sucking up, particularly with Mr Trump … it’s not the way to advance your interests, or your nations interests.”

(* Did Malware really say "transitional"? Did he mean "transactional"? Or did the reptiles pull a classic Graudian? The pond is betting on the reptiles).



"Ned" did what he does best ... regurgitate the thoughts of others ...

“To say that Australia is not well positioned is an understatement. It’s a dog-eat-dog world. But our political and some of our bureaucratic class are largely admiring the problem. So, the biggest challenge to overcome is the inability of our political class to position Australia for this new world.”
The universal sentiment was that Australia must become more self-reliant in defence. Indeed, this will be a Trump demand. It is an essential but insufficient response. How self-reliant is the question. One polarity was offered by ANU professor Hugh White and the Lowy Institute’s Sam Roggeveen basically saying Australia needed a capability to defend itself – and that this is achievable.
Yet it heralds a pivotal change in our national existence and a defence budget at least in the range of 4-5 per cent of GDP. Roggeveen said while Australia long had a fear of abandonment, when it happens, we respond effectively. White said Trump “is doing us a favour” – he was exposing the fraudulent assumptions of our defence policy: if the US faced a military challenge from China then it would confront “a war it doesn’t want and cannot win”.
Smith said Trump was “clearly not interested in retaining US primacy” – a decisive but probably true assessment. White said effective deterrence meant convincing your opponent you are willing to fight a war and, judged by this test, Trump was unwilling to run effective deterrence against Russia or China.
Yet there was an unreality about the cost of self-reliance. Smith said economic success at home was “central” to Australia’s ability to project power. The domestic debate about economic reform and productivity should be recast: improved economic performance is now a security imperative. Yet the politicians still cannot talk like this.

If you help "Ned" out, join the wise men discussing the shape of the camel, you score a snap, Dennis Richardson



Or was that a giraffe? How they fervently argued about the meaning of the giraffe's neck ...

Richard Denniss, from the Australia Institute, asked what will become smaller to finance a bigger defence budget. Was this about higher taxes and less welfare? The central problem, of course, is the public won’t accept defence at 4-5 per cent of GDP, short of a major crisis.
White offered the most contentious view, saying he believed the US wanted either regional primacy or no regional role, a view that was widely disputed. Former Defence and DFAT chief Dennis Richardson said that regardless of who was the US president, given the power of the US, Australia would always seek a close relationship with Washington. But he warned of risks to relations depending upon how far Trump went; for example, if he used the military option to annex Greenland.
Former ambassador John McCarthy said Australia needed to revise its thinking about the US. He said Trump’s stance towards Asia was uncertain but if Trump favoured a sphere-of-influence policy for China that would have “enormous consequences” for Japan and South Korea before Australia.
McCarthy said China always believed the US alliance networks had given America a permanent strategic advantage over China – a devastating implicit critique of Trump. He said China could be seen as a “potential threat” to Australia and that meant the US alliance would remain an asset. McCarthy, contradicting White, envisaged a strategic equilibrium in the region was possible, with Australia working with the US to try to maintain that equilibrium.

Two more of the wisemen were gifted huge snaps, Retired navy admiral Peter Briggs, Hugh White



The pond wasn't fussed. After all, the Cantaloupe Caligula had shown himself to be a man of compassion, deeply Xian and caring, on a range of matters ...


(That story ran in WaPo, where democracy went do die in the darkness of a billionaire's pocket, but you can also find it at Reuters. Also try Jonathan V. Last in The Bulwark if you want to cultivate a sense of nausea) ...

Meanwhile, the parade of wise men continued, with the bearded one redeemed ...

Former foreign minister Gareth Evans listed his four points of our calibration: less America, more self-reliance, more Asia, more global engagement. Analyst Alan Dupont warned Trump was a “radical change” to the US alliance, and the US was losing its deterrence value for Australia. Dupont articulated the broad position of the forum – don’t sever the alliance but recognise a Trumpian alliance will be more limited and transactional, and that Australia must do more, notably building a world-class defence industry.
Addressing the AUKUS conundrum, Richardson contradicted Turnbull, saying the “worst possible” option for Australia was changing submarine policy yet again. “If we are going back to start again, we have learnt nothing,” he said. Richardson agreed there were “risks” with AUKUS but “the biggest risks were in Australia” and came under three headings: political will, the budget and organisation.
This is a critique of the Albanese government. While Turnbull focused on possible US non-compliance next decade – and there are genuine concerns – the more immediate test is whether Australia is equipped to meet the unfolding AUKUS timetable in the next few years.

The next few years? But if we believe the troller-in-chief, we'll have oodles of time...



"Ned" wound up with more a whimper than a bang ...

Turnbull was searching for a Plan B. Rear Admiral Peter Briggs offered a passionate case for a switch to the French nuclear-powered Suffren-class submarine, but his passion was not widely shared.
In his speech on Tuesday Turnbull said a Plan B was needed but he didn’t embrace a specific option, calling instead for the politicians to admit the problems in the AUKUS project. His plea will fall on deaf ears.

And that's how snake-oil salesmen keep reeling in the all-day News Corp suckers ... still willing to believe that somehow AUKUS will work out, and perhaps might even help in the invasion of Greenland and the occupation of Canada.

But why worry, why the hills are alive with DOGE-style snake oil sellers... (archive link)




Still, even as they face the chop, the infallible Pope closed out this day by bringing good news for the cardigan wearers ... what with special exemptions all the go ...