Sunday, April 06, 2025

In which Polonius goes nuclear and the bromancer nukes the poor, the weak, the helpless ...

 

After yesterday's epic Everest trudge, the pond wanted a quiet life.

It's true that there has been some low comedy, what with Nintendo delays Switch 2 preorders because of Trump tariffs.

“Pre-orders for Nintendo Switch 2 in the U.S. will not start April 9, 2025 in order to assess the potential impact of tariffs and evolving market conditions,” a Nintendo representative told CNBC. “Nintendo will update timing at a later date. The launch date of June 5, 2025 is unchanged.”
The delay marks one of the most significant immediate responses from a major company regarding the concerns about Trump’s tariffs and their impact on business and consumer spending. Most electronics companies manufacture in Asia, home to some of the steepest hikes. Nintendo’s Switch 1 consoles were made in China and Vietnam, Reuters reported in 2019.

That sent gamers lurking in their mother's basement in their undies into a frothing, foaming frenzy, and having a FAFO moment about voting for King Donald.

There were also individual moments where some went missing, Pulitzer winner Eugene Robinson joins the parade of columnists leaving The Washington Post.

The Washington Post lost another high-profile journalist because of owner Jeff Bezos and his efforts to revamp the paper’s opinion section to express more libertarian views.
Pulitzer Prize-winning columnist Eugene Robinson told staff in a note on Thursday, “I wanted to let you know that I’ve decided to leave The Post. The announced ‘significant shift’ in our section’s mission has spurred me to decide that it’s time for my next chapter. I wish nothing but the very best for the paper and for all of you. I won’t be a stranger, and I’ll be reading your unparalleled work every single day.”
In late February, Bezos told staff in a memo about the changes to the paper’s opinions section, writing, “We are going to be writing every day in support and defense of two pillars: personal liberties and free markets. We’ll cover other topics too of course, but viewpoints opposing those pillars will be left to be published by others. There was a time when a newspaper, especially one that was a local monopoly, might have seen it as a service to bring to the reader’s doorstep every morning a broad-based opinion section that sought to cover all views. Today, the internet does that job.
That led to well-respected journalist David Shipley immediately stepping down as the Post’s opinion editor. Then, last month, longtime Post columnist Ruth Marcus quit after saying publisher and CEO Will Lewis killed a column that expressed concern about Bezos’ new direction for the opinion section.

So it goes. Democracy dies in a billionaire's dark, dank pockets...


There were levels and bevils to the story, but this much was true ...

Although the story of Fox taking down its ticker may have been only partially true, what is undeniable is that Fox is attempting to steer its viewers toward a certain framing of the tariffs and their impact on the economy.
At one crucial moment on April 3, as stocks were collapsing, their chyron read, "stocks tumble but this is no time to panic," reinforcing the administration's line about the tariffs being necessary pain.
The stock market collapse is likely to have plenty of people concerned about their retirement funds and their jobs. Those watching Fox, though, will get the rosiest version of the story.



But enough of all that and the assorted casualties of war, it's meditative Sunday time, and who better to lead the pond away from all the fuss than prattling Polonius, lurking in the arras and ready for a good stabbing ...


For those too lazy to click on the image and read the fine print, the header ran Keen renewables promoter, flop as energy minister, There is nothing that the left in Australia likes more than high-profile Liberals who turn on the institution that made them politically famous and the ID for the snap read, Matt Kean, chairman of the Climate Change Authority. Picture: ABC, and at the very bottom there was that eternally mysterious injunction, This article contains features which are only available in the web version, Take me there

And here we are, and no King Donald tariffs or US trade or the US stock market game of a few ladders and any number of ginormous snakes...

Instead, just a genteel form of climate science denialism, courtesy Polonius, ready to dish it out on a rat in the denialist ranks.

It’s Liberal Ingrates time again in the lead-up to the federal election. On this occasion, Matt Kean stars.
The high-profile Kean is a former treasurer and energy and environment minister in the NSW Liberal-Nationals Coalition government.
Kean was the member for the relatively safe NSW seat of Hornsby from 2011 to 2024.
The words of Kean can be heard in a YouTube video put out by a group calling themselves Liberals Against Nuclear. Needless to say, this organisation has no formal or informal connection with the Liberal Party of Australia. It has a website but no office address.
Kean is quoted on YouTube by an anonymous woman as saying that nuclear power is a distraction that doesn’t stack up at the moment on practical or economic grounds. It is reasonable to assume he has no objection to being quoted in this advertisement, which is hostile to the Liberal Party under the leadership of Peter Dutton.
No surprise, really, since Kean was appointed by the Albanese Labor government as chairman of the Climate Change Authority in August 2024 shortly after he resigned from the NSW parliament.

The pond understands that the reptiles never provide links - once you've booked into the Hotel Hive Mind, you can never leave - but would it have been so hard to provide a link to Liberals Against Nuclear or to the ad that got up the Polonial nose? It's just 30 seconds long and hardly brilliant, and the pond would never have known about it, thanks be unto Polonius...

Instead the reptiles wandered back down a path that apparently internal Liberal polling has shown to be on the nose, hence the shift to gassing the country to save the planet. 

Never mind, there are a few brave souls still keen to nuke the country,  Liberal Senator Alex Antic spruiks the advantages of nuclear power particularly for South Australia. “Here in South Australia, we have 80 per cent of the country’s uranium; this is going to be a very good thing for South Australia,” Mr Antic told Sky News host Rowan Dean. “This has got to go ahead; nuclear power would be excellent for Australia – cheap, safe and effective.”




Rowan Dean?! Things have sunk very low for Polonius to be in such company.

Channeling the dismal Dean, Polonius was keen to go ad hominem and dump on the rat in the ranks from a great height ...

There is nothing the left in Australia likes more than high-profile Liberals who turn on the institution that made them politically famous.
Before he entered politics Kean was working in one of the big four accountancy firms, having studied business. Now he is a national figure with international contacts. He became well known initially for being a one-time Liberal minister who had public rows with former prime minister Scott Morrison and for opposing Dutton’s energy policies.
There was a profile in The Australian Financial Review by Paul Karp on March 21. Karp quoted from Kean’s supporters and critics but did not critique his record as NSW treasurer and energy minister. This was followed by a soft feature story in Good Weekend magazine on March 22 by Anne Hyland titled “Force of Nature”. Kean was photographed for the story staring into the distance, waist-deep in ferns. Really.
At least Hyland reported that Kean texted a journalist suggesting hostile questions that she could direct to Morrison during the 2022 election campaign.
However, the gist of the profile can be gauged by the penultimate sentence, which refers to the park’s towering trees. Namely: “As we admire them (the towering trees) in silence they stand tall like Kean, the chair of the Climate Change Authority.” By the way, Kean’s main job is at Wollemi Capital, which presents itself as “a specialist climate investor”.
Kean firmly and truly believes that renewables are the cheapest form of energy – solar, wind and hydro supported by batteries as back-up. He is completely dismissive of nuclear in the Australian energy market.

Well yes, it's not just because the keen Kean thinks so. 

The CSIRO put out costings in December last year ...

Despite nuclear power being a component of electricity generation for 16 per cent of the world’s countries, it does not currently represent a timely or efficient solution for meeting Australia’s net zero target.
Here’s why:
  • Nuclear is not economically competitive with solar PV and wind and the total development time in Australia for large or small-scale nuclear is at least 15 years.
  • Small modular reactors (SMRs) are potentially faster to build but are commercially immature at present.
  • The total development lead time needed for nuclear means it cannot play a major role in electricity sector emission abatement, which is more urgent than abatement in other sectors.

Nor can it be doubted that there's something in the air. 

Yesterday the pond linked to ‘Same shit, different year’: Australia records hottest 12 months and warmest March on record, ANU climate scientist says ‘everyone is getting fatigued these records keep falling – it’s now incredibly predictable’.

But the pond could just as easily have linked to Climate crisis on track to destroy capitalism, warns top insurer, Action urgently needed to save the conditions under which markets – and civilisation itself – can operate, says senior Allianz figure

Or to any number of other stories in the Graudian's climate coverage, which offers a bit more than the Bjorn-again one...

What do the reptiles do? 

Trot out an aging lying rodent in conversation with the climate denialist dog botherer, Former prime minister John Howard discusses the need for nuclear power in Australia’s energy mix. “We have been advocating and wisely asserting the need for nuclear power as part of the mix,” Mr Howard told Sky News host Chris Kenny. “We are busily dismantling natural advantages that providence gave us with fossil fuels, uranium, natural, although Peter Dutton has a very good plan for natural gas and coal, of course.”



That's how pitiful it is ... no wonder this keen Kean did a bunk from rampant luddite stupidity.

Polonius was very careful not to step into actual science, he preferred some simple-minded sniping...

Appearing on the ABC TV Q+A program on March 10, Kean declared: “People talking about building nuclear today are the same people that are, sort of, arguing that we should be building a Blockbuster Video complex when Netflix is already here.” A smart line. But no more than that.
Blockbuster Video was a movie rental chain that went bankrupt in 2010. Whereas France has long relied on nuclear energy as its primary source of power and is planning new reactors. China has more than 20 reactors under construction. In the US, Silicon Valley tech companies are planning to build nuclear reactors to feed their power-hungry AI projects.
It would seem that Kean recycles a style of ridicule. Until recently, he compared any proposal to establish new coal-fired power plants with companies that were into Kodak cameras when iPhones had arrived. However, China has hit a 10-year high for the construction of new coal-fired power plants. It would seem that the leaders of the Chinese Communist Party did not get the joke.

It's back to clean, virginal, dinkum, decent, honest and pious Oz coal, coal, coal ... The life of the Eraring coal-fired power plant in NSW’s Hunter Valley has been extended. Picture: Origin Energy




Back to the ad hominem attacks, bringing in the boofy beefhead from down Goulburn way, famous for hating windmills ...

What Kean and his supporters seldom discuss is his own record as a senior minister in NSW.
In February 2022, it was announced that the Eraring coal-fired power station in NSW would close in August 2025. Kean publicly backed the decision.
At the time Angus Taylor, the minister for industry and energy in the Morrison government, said he was “bitterly disappointed” with the decision, fearing that this would lead to energy shortages in NSW.
Taylor was correct, Kean was wrong.
In May 2024, the Minns Labor government in NSW did a deal with Origin Energy to keep Eraring open for an additional two years beyond August 2025.
This decision was made after new modelling showed NSW could face energy shortages if Eraring closed in 2025.
Recently it was announced that Origin Energy has opted out of a profit and loss sharing arrangement with the NSW government for the financial year 2025-26. This indicates that Origin Energy believes that Eraring will turn a profit for that year. Eraring is no Kodak – for which the people of NSW have much reason to be thankful.
Meanwhile, this year energy customers in NSW are destined to have higher energy price rises than in most other states. Asked on Sky News’ Credlin program on March 13 as to what was causing the price hike, Aidan Morrison, energy research director at the Centre for Independent Studies, blamed Kean. Morrison said NSW energy consumers were now seeing “the actual costs flow through from the renewables energy program … the big NSW electricity road map that Kean produced … when he was energy minister”.
Don’t expect Kean to acknowledge the failures of his own energy policies. He’s busy talking about himself to journalists and being photographed for magazines.

Don't expect Polonius to talk about the actual economics of nuclear energy in Australia; don't expect Polonius to talk about the advantages enjoyed by renewables; don't expect Polonius to ever contemplate the spectacle of climate science catastrophes in action.

Do expect Polonius to do his best to shoot the messengers. It's all he's got ...

And so to the Sunday bonus, and here the pond was torn. There was the dog botherer out and about in a state of perplexity ...

Social media influencers dumb down the election, Voters face a serious choice in perilous times – yet political debate has never been so frivolous.

The pond could have had some fun wondering if the dumbest blonde (stereotyping!) influencer on the full to overflowing intertubes could dumb down the election any more than the dummies of the lizard Oz, or in particular the exceedingly dumb dog botherer ...

Dame Slap was also out and about seeking attention...

An insiders’ guide to the radical left’s march through our institutions, This abuse of power and exploitation of young university students is committed by the same group of academics who rail against abusive power structures in our society – and taxpayers are stumping up for the hypocrisy.

But that was just another exercise in woke bashing, featuring a student who only dared to go by the name Amelia ...

The pond had only one choice ... the bromancer.

Some think of the bro as an expert in the killing fields, defence, the war on China by Xmas and so forth, but the bromancer can pretty much turn his hand to bashing anything ... and so it came to pass that he targeted the NDIS with one of his heat-seeking missiles...


For those too lazy to click on the risible, truly pathetic image, the header ran Our welfare addiction is killing Australia, It’s self-evidently a good thing to help genuinely disabled people. Australians don’t begrudge that. But the NDIS is perhaps the worst designed public policy initiative in Australian history.

The cheaply acquired dismal snap came from a stock footage library, so the reptiles could plunge in a verbal dagger ... Middle-class welfare is plunging Australia into unsustainable debt. Picture: iStock

Again there was that deeply mysterious injunction, This article contains features which are only available in the web version, Take me there.

It should have said "take me to the bromancer so I can endure ten minutes (or so the reptiles clocked it) of him bashing minorities, the weak, and the suffering (and don't forget bludging students" ...

It was, in its own bro way, fully Trumpian ...

Welfare is killing Australia. Middle-class welfare, specifically the fentanyl-like addiction to ever increasing transfer payments at every stage of human life, and the substitution of the industrial-bureaucratic state for the traditional role of the family, is plunging Australia into unsustainable debt, precluding any chance of our making a serious effort to defend ourselves, and, paradoxically, contributing to the social breakdown whose symptoms it’s meant to address.
We pay much more, we expect much more, the state is much bigger, the budget is utterly unsustainable, and yet the state also fails to deliver results for the money, with many social indicators getting worse the more money is spent on them.
The same syndrome, only more virulent and destructive, afflicts the US and is part of the cause of the Donald Trump tariff explosion. Most west European nations are in a similar situation, sometimes even worse, and without some key US strengths, such as the role of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency.

The reptiles offered a snap with an amazing claim, As treasurer, Peter Costello completely paid off Australian government debt in 2006.



The pond thought it was just a caption error, but the source was the bromancer ...

Peter Costello, who as treasurer in the Howard government completely paid off Australian government debt in 2006, tells me: “We are a society – most Western industrial countries are in the same boat – living beyond our means. One of the things that traditionally gave us comfort in living beyond our means was the idea that the US would dig us out of a hole if we ever got into one, as they did in World War II. One of the messages out of the Trump administration is that they don’t feel the necessity to dig other people out of holes they’ve dug for themselves.”

Hang on, hang on, back in 2006, even Petey boy didn't make that claim. 

There was still debt, there was still interest to pay, all he could claim was that in the moment, he'd managed to remove debt and lower interest payments for a single financial year ...

Now the Australian Government is debt free in net terms. We do not have to collect taxes to pay the Government’s interest bill. We are saving over $8 billion per annum in interest payments. (read the whole speech here if not terminally bored already).

The bromancer then did a "Ned" and called in others to help him fill his word count ...

Economist Saul Eslake tells Inquirer that since Josh Frydenberg’s last budget in 2022, it has been clear federal government spending has been on a trajectory to stay a good 2 per cent of GDP above the average that prevailed all the way from the mid-1970s, the end of Gough Whitlam’s government, until the early 2020s.
In Frydenberg’s last budget the forecast was that by 2032 federal spending would reach 26.5 per cent of GDP. Jim Chalmers’ recent budget puts the 10-year forecast at 26.7 per cent. That’s probably too optimistic. Unless there’s another monumental, sustained commodity prices boom, we’re heading for ever increasing government deficit and debt. Ultimately, that’s unsustainable.

With that level of gloom, there had to be a villain, and here he was, Treasurer Jim Chalmers. Picture: Emma Brasier



Who to target? As if you had any doubt, see how the bromancer takes aim at the poor, the maimed, the lame and the blind (and some others beyond the biblical measure):

Eslake thinks the nation ought to find a way to raise 1.5 per cent more of GDP in revenue in the least economically disruptive manner and aim, heroically, to get half a per cent of GDP in budget savings.

Hang on, hang on, hasn't this very same bro been scribbling how we needed to piss money against the wall on kit and drones and such like for years?

He was, he was, he wanted to satisfy the mango Mussolini's call for a minimum of a 3.5% spend, and to hell with talk of a half per cent in budget savings, he wanted to match the Germans and their 2.5% of GDP, revolutionising their national debt rules to do it ...

That was then, this is now ...

The rise in debt is staggering. Eslake dolefully pronounces: “I fail to see how any government can cut any other area of spending to finance that.”
And that leaves out the urgent necessity to find 1 per cent more of GDP to take defence spending to 3 per cent, as the Trump administration rightly requests, and as almost every expert appointed by the Albanese government to officially guide defence policy has advised.
Almost unbelievable budget growth has come in the National Disability Insurance Scheme. In 2012-13 disability services cost the federal government $1.2bn. This year the NDIS will cost $49bn. By 2028-29 it’s forecast to cost $64bn. That figure itself is dubious and relies on keeping growth of the NDIS to 8 per cent a year, a heroic prediction.
It’s self-evidently a good thing to help genuinely disabled people. Australians don’t begrudge that. But the NDIS is perhaps the worst designed public policy initiative in Australian history. There are now more than 700,000 people on the NDIS. Some 13 per cent of boys aged five to seven are on the NDIS. This is not only financially disastrous. It’s a species of social madness.

It seems boys are the problem, Some 13 per cent of boys aged five to seven are on the NDIS. Picture: iStock



Damn you callow youth, time to learn to live on a diet of tar and hay ...

 The NDIS design is characteristic of the way transfer payments are evolving in Western societies. It is demand-driven and it turns out demand is infinite. When previous Coalition governments tried to impose more rigorous scrutiny on who got support and how much, they were howled down as inhumane.
To repeat, helping genuinely disabled and certainly gravely disabled people is a worthy use of government money. But when you subsidise a particular syndrome, behaviour or identity you vastly expand the number of people who will claim those characteristics. The New York Times recently investigated the history of autism diagnoses. When the US federal government offered financial subsidies to states for educating autistic children, the number of autistic children skyrocketed.

Note how the piety was short-lived ...To repeat, helping genuinely disabled and certainly gravely disabled people is a worthy use of government money.

That billy goat butt repetition was immediately followed by a rival billy goat butt - butt they're all bludgers, malingerers, deviants, ne'er do wells, fakes and frauds, bunging on a do to live the life of Riley ...

The Labor government has moved to moderate the growth of the NDIS, to increase reviews and to limit the numbers and categories of people who can claim it.
But it’s still growing at breakneck speed. It now costs equivalent to 150 per cent of the whole Medicare budget.
One aim of the NDIS was to get disabled people back into the work force. Instead it needlessly medicalises many children, and few people on the NDIS for any length of time come off it.
Far from making any serious effort to control social spending, and especially transfer payments, the Albanese government has doubled down on such payments.

It's those bloody socialists, splashing the cash, The Albanese government has doubled down on NDIS payments. Picture: Jason Edwards/NewsWire



The bromancer decided to widen the attack by including in bludging university students ...

These are rank bribes that the government and the nation cannot afford. A classic is forgiving HECS debt for university graduates. Although many degrees are now of dubious workforce benefit, overall university graduates will be wealthier than non-graduates. That’s why they should pay something for their higher education.

Of course the bromancer didn't have to pay for his education as vulgar youff must do today ... instead he pissed away his time on university politics ...

Dirty tricks became second nature to Sheridan, as can be seen from the following subtle, but telling, comment:
"At campus we were dealing with young people … I had worn a beard continuously since the day I left school … I thought it was good politics. I thought that we shouldn’t hide or disguise our policies or principles but nor should we needlessly distance ourselves from students culturally. I urged fellow Democrat Club members to grow their hair a bit longer." (p.185)
Sheridan became close friends with Michael Danby (Vic ALP) and Michael Easson (NSW ALP). He met Danby at a special AUS conference in 1977.
"Michael [Danby] was a dedicated Labor man…Like me, he let student politics and other activities consume a lot of energy at the expense of his formal studies …"  (pp. 193-94) (many more quotes here)

How the pond loathed student politicians, how the pond loathes the hypocrisy of those now dishing it out on vulgar youff ...

The HECS debt is nowhere near the total cost of a degree and a graduate begins to pay it back, at a modest rate, only when they reach a prescribed income level. HECS is a price signal. Price signals used to be a core principle of Australian social spending. Private health insurance, for example, provides a price signal for medical services.
Forgiving HECS debt is especially unfair to those graduates who have paid their HECS debts in full. This is social spending of deep perversity. It penalises the thrifty, the honest, the hardworking.
It has nothing to do with promoting education. Having a HECS debt looks as though it’s just a way for governments to identify a specific group of voters to bribe. It would make as much sense to give $350 to every left-handed Liverpool supporter with red hair.
Very little social spending achieves any broader social objective than handing out money. In 2012-13 the federal government spent $12bn on schools. This has exploded to $31bn in 2024-25. Yet all the objective tests show that Australian school results have gone backwards in that time. Whatever the problem was, it wasn’t money.

Then it was back on to the main Trumpian theme, the handout mentality, and what an endless rant it was, finally landing on DOGE...

The demands now for government spending on childcare, aged care, disability assistance and healthcare are essentially limitless. Much childcare and aged care was formerly undertaken by families. Sadly, it’s many years now since public policy had the objective of strengthening families.
We’ve industrialised and bureaucratised family functions. But guess what? The industrial-bureaucratic state does a much worse job than families do when they’re given any kind of fighting chance.
Next year, Australian gross government debt will pass $1 trillion. Our states also have big levels of debt. International markets assume the commonwealth provides an implicit guarantee on states’ debts. Technically that’s not true but in reality it probably is.
Eslake makes a brutal forecast: “I’d be very surprised if in May and June there wasn’t a credit downgrade for some of the states. Victoria, Northern Territory and Tasmania, I’d say a downgrade is dead certain. Queensland highly likely. NSW likely. South Australia unlikely. Western Australia not likely at all.”
A credit rating downgrade is not a loss in a beauty contest. It affects the costs of borrowing. As Costello wisecracks: “A bankrupt can borrow money, but he’ll pay 20 per cent interest.”
In 2024-25, the federal government will pay $24bn just to service its debt. That amount of money could almost take the defence budget from 2 per cent to 3 per cent of GDP or do a million other things.
But debt feeds on itself, becomes a spiral. A government borrows to pay interest on debt, then borrows to service that new debt, ad infinitum.
Australia is still in a relatively good position because John Howard and Costello paid off all the government debt and put money into the Future Fund. But our politics has been a conspiracy to kill good policy and prevent sound finance ever since Howard lost office in 2007.

There was that lie again, or if you're of a kinder type, that misrepresentation and distortion ... say it again, he didn't pay off all government debt, and there was still interest to pay on long standing government debt. Then read on ...

The Howard government not only paid off debt, it also deregulated industrial relations, which cut unemployment and allowed productivity to increase. Productivity has been falling under the Albanese government.
The Howard government also produced pro-growth tax reform in the GST and significant welfare reform with Tony Abbott’s work for the dole. Once healthy people had to work for the dole, it became more attractive to work for money.
These policies were denounced as harsh. They were similar to policies pursued by Bill Clinton in the US and recently by Labour in Britain. More than anyone, they benefit the people who come off welfare. Sit-down money is a long-term killer. It kills the spirit and often kills the body.

The pond must interrupt again. It was the bromancer that helped kill British spirit and some bodies...




Sorry for the detour but it is a lazy Sunday meditation ... here, have another one ...




Back to the main menu, and the bromancer pretending his bro buddy, his one true love, was the real deal ...

The last big effort at fiscal reform was Abbott’s 2014 budget. Every one of its modest elements was demonised and the Senate refused to pass it.
The Australian Democrats, once the main minor party in the Senate, had a slogan: “Keep the bastards honest”. The Senate’s minor parties today live by the reverse: Keep the bastards dishonest, under no circumstances let them implement their election platform if that involves fiscal restraint or taking away a single dollar from any constituency or progressive social cause.
One reason the West is in such diabolical strategic and cultural trouble is because most of our friends and allies are in an even worse social, cultural and fiscal position than we are. Federal government debt in the US is 100 per cent of GDP, normally a level that sets off panic alarm stations. US federal government spending has risen from 19 per cent of GDP before 2008 to 23 per cent today. Taxes are at 17 per cent. The US last had a budget surplus in 2001, under Clinton. Last year it spent $US7 trillion and had a deficit of $US2 trillion. In a time of full employment, it registered budget deficits near 6 per cent of GDP two years in a row.
US federal government debt is now more than $US36 trillion ($56.9 trillion). The biggest items of expenditure are social security, Medicare, Medicaid, interest payments on debt, defence, veterans’ benefits, education.
Elon Musk and his Department of Government Efficiency have made immense noise and cut some whole federal departments. They may have cut $US150bn or more in government spending. Some of the cuts have been mad, such as Internal Revenue Service people who raise money or the whole of the US Agency for International Development, so the US was unable to respond effectively to the earthquake in Myanmar.

Why is it that the reptiles always end up there, ranting away in company with Uncle Leon? Elon Musk and his Department of Government Efficiency have made immense noise and cut some whole federal departments. Picture: AP



At least that provides an opportunity for a cartoon ...



What's amazing is that the bromancer sounds like King Donald and DOGE aren't enough. There needs to be more cutting, except sweet defence spending ...

But even if you thought all these cuts good, DOGE has no real chance of making a long-term difference. Trump has said he won’t touch transfer payments, mostly called entitlements in the US. Although Trump, perversely, has favoured cutting defence spending, he recently signed a budget that, rightly in my view, increased the defence budget. Entitlements spending, debt servicing and defence are out of bounds for Musk. That means he’s operating across only about 15 per cent of US government spending.

Thank the long absent lord, it's only about punishing the poor ...



At this moment the pond had to call another halt ...

The brilliant British historian Niall Ferguson proposes what he calls “Ferguson’s law”: a great power that spends more on interest payments than on defence will not remain a great power for much longer. In 2024 the US, for the first time since World War II, crossed that threshold.

Brilliant? Only inn his own lunch time ...

The OECD’s recent global debt report records that across the organisation’s member countries, more money is spent servicing interest than on defence.
Ferguson has argued that Britain’s fiscal position in the 1930s fed directly into the disastrous policies of appeasement.
China, Russia, Iran and North Korea don’t stint on military equipment. If, God forbid, there’s a military confrontation, you can’t meet missiles with social spending.
Even under Trump, perhaps especially under Trump, transfer payments in the US are rising faster than salary and wage income.
In Britain, government debt is just below 95 per cent of GDP. Nonetheless, Britain has made the decision to quickly increase defence spending to 2.5 per cent of GDP. It cut the aid budget to do it. It’s also trying to cut transfer payments. The welfare state in parts has become insidious and cruel.
The left-wing New Statesman magazine has run a series of pieces on how some welfare is too easy to get and has a debilitating effect on its recipients.
In Britain if you’re on sickness benefits you get much more money than if you’re on the dole, and effectively you can stay on sickness benefits forever. There’s no incentive to come off them. But what a sad and lousy life they offer.
Nearly four million Brits of working age are on health-related benefits. Some 60 per cent of new claims arise from “stress” and related ailments. The budget deficit is just on 2 per cent of GDP and interest payments on government debt cost nearly twice as much as the defence budget.

Just like Brexit, stiff the poor; just like King Donald, stiff the poor mug punters who thought he was their saviour ...

So fully Xian ... just as you could read in the bible, even if it made you liable ...

The Parable of the Banquet
(Matthew 22:1-14)

And when one of them that sat at meat with him heard these things, he said unto him, Blessed is he that shall eat bread in the kingdom of God.
Then said he unto him, A certain man made a great supper, and bade many: And sent his servant at supper time to say to them that were bidden, Come; for all things are now ready. And they all with one consent began to make excuse. The first said unto him, I have bought a piece of ground, and I must needs go and see it: I pray thee have me excused. And another said, I have bought five yoke of oxen, and I go to prove them: I pray thee have me excused. And another said, I have married a wife, and therefore I cannot come. And another said, sorry lord, I've got a column to write for the lizard Oz pouring shit on the poor, the maimed and the halt.
So that servant came, and shewed his lord these things. Then the master of the house being angry said to his servant, Go out quickly into the streets and lanes of the city, and bring in hither the poor, and the maimed, and the halt, and the blind. And the servant said, Lord, it is done as thou hast commanded, and yet there is room. And the lord said unto the servant, Go out into the highways and hedges, and compel them to come in, that my house may be filled. For I say unto you, That none of those men which were bidden shall taste of my supper, especially that bastard wanking away in the lizard Oz.

The Parable of the Guests
(Luke 14:7-14)
And he put forth a parable to those which were bidden, when he marked how they chose out the chief rooms; saying unto them, When thou art bidden of any man to a wedding, sit not down in the highest room; lest a more honourable man than thou be bidden of him; And he that bade thee and him come and say to thee, Give this man place; and thou begin with shame to take the lowest room. But when thou art bidden, go and sit down in the lowest room; that when he that bade thee cometh, he may say unto thee, Friend, go up higher: then shalt thou have worship in the presence of them that sit at meat with thee. For whosoever exalteth himself shall be abased; and he that humbleth himself shall be exalted.
Then said he also to him that bade him, When thou makest a dinner or a supper, call not thy friends, nor thy brethren, neither thy kinsmen, nor thy rich neighbours; nor thy righteous reptile loons pounding away for the lizard Oz, lest they also bid thee again, and a recompence be made thee. But when thou makest a feast, call the poor, the maimed, the lame, the blind: And thou shalt be blessed; for the reptile dispensers of fear and loathing cannot recompense thee: for thou shalt be recompensed at the resurrection of the just.

When thou makest a feast, call the poor, the maimed, the lame, the blind?

None of that nonsense please, just bring on the bat and hope it goes bang...



The pond was reminded of the sad and sorry finish endured by the hard-working Boxer. 

Life was easy for the pigs and no doubt for reptile hacks who's idea of hard work is pounding away at a keyboard, but it can be a bit tougher if you happen to a shearer, a farm worker, or a labourer ...or a Boxer (Project Gutenberg for the full text)

...Late one evening in the summer, a sudden rumour ran round the farm that something had happened to Boxer. He had gone out alone to drag a load of stone down to the windmill. And sure enough, the rumour was true. A few minutes later two pigeons came racing in with the news; "Boxer has fallen! He is lying on his side and can't get up!"
About half the animals on the farm rushed out to the knoll where the windmill stood. There lay Boxer, between the shafts of the cart, his neck stretched out, unable even to raise his head. His eyes were glazed, his sides matted with sweat. A thin stream of blood had trickled out of his mouth. Clover dropped to her knees at his side.
"Boxer!" she cried, "how are you?"
"It is my lung," said Boxer in a weak voice. "It does not matter. I think you will be able to finish the windmill without me. There is a pretty good store of stone accumulated. I had only another month to go in any case. To tell you the truth, I had been looking forward to my retirement. And perhaps, as Benjamin is growing old too, they will let him retire at the same time and be a companion to me."
"We must get help at once," said Clover. "Run, somebody, and tell Squealer what has happened."
All the other animals immediately raced back to the farmhouse to give Squealer the news. Only Clover remained, and Benjamin who lay down at Boxer's side, and, without speaking, kept the flies off him with his long tail. After about a quarter of an hour Squealer appeared, full of sympathy and concern. He said that Comrade Napoleon had learned with the very deepest distress of this misfortune to one of the most loyal workers on the farm, and was already making arrangements to send Boxer to be treated in the hospital at Willingdon. The animals felt a little uneasy at this. Except for Mollie and Snowball, no other animal had ever left the farm, and they did not like to think of their sick comrade in the hands of human beings. However, Squealer easily convinced them that the veterinary surgeon in Willingdon could treat Boxer's case more satisfactorily than could be done on the farm. And about half an hour later, when Boxer had somewhat recovered, he was with difficulty got on to his feet, and managed to limp back to his stall, where Clover and Benjamin had prepared a good bed of straw for him.
For the next two days Boxer remained in his stall. The pigs had sent out a large bottle of pink medicine which they had found in the medicine chest in the bathroom, and Clover administered it to Boxer twice a day after meals. In the evenings she lay in his stall and talked to him, while Benjamin kept the flies off him. Boxer professed not to be sorry for what had happened. If he made a good recovery, he might expect to live another three years, and he looked forward to the peaceful days that he would spend in the corner of the big pasture. It would be the first time that he had had leisure to study and improve his mind. He intended, he said, to devote the rest of his life to learning the remaining twenty-two letters of the alphabet.
However, Benjamin and Clover could only be with Boxer after working hours, and it was in the middle of the day when the van came to take him away. The animals were all at work weeding turnips under the supervision of a pig, when they were astonished to see Benjamin come galloping from the direction of the farm buildings, braying at the top of his voice. It was the first time that they had ever seen Benjamin excited—indeed, it was the first time that anyone had ever seen him gallop. "Quick, quick!" he shouted. "Come at once! They're taking Boxer away!" Without waiting for orders from the pig, the animals broke off work and raced back to the farm buildings. Sure enough, there in the yard was a large closed van, drawn by two horses, with lettering on its side and a sly-looking man in a low-crowned bowler hat sitting on the driver's seat. And Boxer's stall was empty.
The animals crowded round the van. "Good-bye, Boxer!" they chorused, "good-bye!"
"Fools! Fools!" shouted Benjamin, prancing round them and stamping the earth with his small hoofs. "Fools! Do you not see what is written on the side of that van?"
That gave the animals pause, and there was a hush. Muriel began to spell out the words. But Benjamin pushed her aside and in the midst of a deadly silence he read:
"'Alfred Simmonds, Horse Slaughterer and Glue Boiler, Willingdon. Dealer in Hides and Bone-Meal. Kennels Supplied.' Do you not understand what that means? They are taking Boxer to the knacker's!"
A cry of horror burst from all the animals. At this moment the man on the box whipped up his horses and the van moved out of the yard at a smart trot. All the animals followed, crying out at the tops of their voices. Clover forced her way to the front. The van began to gather speed. Clover tried to stir her stout limbs to a gallop, and achieved a canter. "Boxer!" she cried. "Boxer! Boxer! Boxer!" And just at this moment, as though he had heard the uproar outside, Boxer's face, with the white stripe down his nose, appeared at the small window at the back of the van.
"Boxer!" cried Clover in a terrible voice. "Boxer! Get out! Get out quickly! They're taking you to your death!"
All the animals took up the cry of "Get out, Boxer, get out!" But the van was already gathering speed and drawing away from them. It was uncertain whether Boxer had understood what Clover had said. But a moment later his face disappeared from the window and there was the sound of a tremendous drumming of hoofs inside the van. He was trying to kick his way out. The time had been when a few kicks from Boxer's hoofs would have smashed the van to matchwood. But alas! his strength had left him; and in a few moments the sound of drumming hoofs grew fainter and died away. In desperation the animals began appealing to the two horses which drew the van to stop. "Comrades, comrades!" they shouted. "Don't take your own brother to his death!" But the stupid brutes, too ignorant to realise what was happening, merely set back their ears and quickened their pace. Boxer's face did not reappear at the window. Too late, someone thought of racing ahead and shutting the five-barred gate; but in another moment the van was through it and rapidly disappearing down the road. Boxer was never seen again.
Three days later it was announced that he had died in the hospital at Willingdon, in spite of receiving every attention a horse could have. Squealer came to announce the news to the others. He had, he said, been present during Boxer's last hours.
"It was the most affecting sight I have ever seen!" said Squealer, lifting his trotter and wiping away a tear. "I was at his bedside at the very last. And at the end, almost too weak to speak, he whispered in my ear that his sole sorrow was to have passed on before the windmill was finished. 'Forward, comrades!' he whispered. 'Forward in the name of the Rebellion. Long live Animal Farm! Long live Comrade Napoleon! Napoleon is always right.' Those were his very last words, comrades."

The pond apologises for the long distraction, but what a relief to read a real writer, instead of the bromancer doing his own brand of Napoleon, and serving up a dubious main meal for those in need of a little Xian help ...



Off to the glue factory cries the bromancer ...anything to end this troublesome expense...

Most European countries are in similar shape. Their actual ability to fulfil their recent defence spending pledges is unclear.
We’re better off only because of the legacy of the Howard government. The Albanese government has blown hundreds of billions of dollars of unexpected revenue, from historically high commodity prices, on social spending that is nearly impossible to reverse.
The OECD debt report argues governments should borrow only to fund productive infrastructure and investment. The Albanese government is borrowing to fund social spending. Government debt is rising faster than the economy is growing.
That must produce crisis eventually. We are paying an enormous cost for the wilful erosion of the family and the growing cynicism of the electorate. Generally voters recognise that governments spend too much. But they won’t countenance losing a dollar of government benefits themselves. The only time they believe anything positive a government says is when it’s shovelling money into voters’ pockets.
King Lear said it best: “That way madness lies.”

Thank the long absent lord he's finally shut up, with the pond thinking that actually madness lies in admiring the unthinking cruelty of the reptiles trapped in the hive mind...

Spend oodles of money on bombing the shit out of the world? Extra fine, super peachy keen. Spend money on the poor and the helpless? Nah, not really ...

Well the pond almost managed to avoid the full madness, but it kept on creeping back in .... and so to end with yet another celebration of the madness ... and a way to sort out the student problem for the bro ...




Saturday, April 05, 2025

A Saturday wasted, suffering along with the Ughmann and nattering "Ned" ...


Whatever else happened during the week, one certainty was that the excitement of following the carnival of clowns meant certain stories disappeared into the ether, into the cornfield, or up into the darkness of reptile fundaments.

For example, stories you won't be reading in the lizard Oz, part "n" where "n" is (∞). 

There's always the climate: ‘Same shit, different year’: Australia records hottest 12 months and warmest March on record, ANU climate scientist says ‘everyone is getting fatigued these records keep falling – it’s now incredibly predictable’.

And the cornfield is especially receptive to stories about that ongoing genocide... Evidence of ‘execution-style’ killings of Palestinian aid workers by Israeli forces, doctor says, Forensic consultant says multiple bullets were used from short range in attack that has caused global outrage

But no use complaining, the pond knows you have to leave the real world at the door when you step into the hive mind ...

News from Ukraine - apart from the Cantaloupe Caligula's desire to pander to Vlad the sociopath - is also scarce. You might need to check in to the Graudian to read Ukraine war briefing: Kyiv solving its troop shortages, says top US general in Europe, Gen Christopher Cavoli says Russia has lost 4,000 tanks, comparable to whole US fleet; Kremlin goes to war against Elton John. What we know on day 1,136.

Little hoppy toads popped out in that debrief:

The US has withdrawn from the ICPA, an international group collecting evidence of potential Russian war crimes in Ukraine, the president of its parent body, Eurojust, said on Thursday. Michael Schmid said: “We of course regret that but at the same time we obviously continue the work with the [other] participants.” The ICPA brings together investigators from several countries under the umbrella of Eurojust, an EU judicial body.

But inevitably things always turn back to the mango Mussolini and his latest folly, sometimes featuring an attempt to find some light in the darkness, as in Nathalie Tocci's piece, The far right has seemed unstoppable in Europe. Here’s how Trump’s tariffs could change that.

What might the political fallout in Europe be? The good news is that Trump’s trade war puts Trump-friendly far-right forces in Europe in a terribly uncomfortable position. It’s one thing for the European far right to support Trump in principle, or to support the administration’s tyranny over peoples it doesn’t care about, be it Ukrainians, Canadians, Mexicans or Palestinians. It’s quite another to defend Trump and his policies when the victims are countries that these far-right parties supposedly represent.
Far-right leaders in Europe have adopted two approaches. The most populist among them have remained as obsequious as ever. Matteo Salvini, the leader of the League party in Italy, claimed that Trump’s tariffs represented an “opportunity” for Italian business, without specifying why and how. And if that opportunity is not seized, it will presumably be because of the “grave mistakes” made by Brussels, as the Hungarian foreign minister, Péter Szijjártó, declared. Most other far-right leaders, however, are on the back foot, aware that they are damned if they speak in favour of Trump and damned if they don’t. Italy’s prime minister, Giorgia Meloni, who called the decision “wrong” while meekly arguing in favour of transatlantic talks (as if this were not the position of the European Commission), is clearly uncomfortable.
Another political upside of Trump’s transatlantic trade war on Europe is that it could strengthen unity. This effect is already on display. Squeezed in between Russia’s war and US betrayal, Europeans have rediscovered their support for the EU. The latest Eurobarometer revealed that 74% of Europeans believe their country’s membership of the EU is a good thing, the highest figure in 42 years. Intuitively, citizens understand that by sticking together the EU can better defend their interests. And nowhere is this more true than in the area of trade, an exclusive competence of the EU. This means that the union can develop and deploy a coherent counterstrategy to Trump’s trade war that represents the bloc as a whole, with its second-largest economy in the world and more than 450 million citizens. On trade and the economy, the US can hurt the EU a lot, but the reverse is also true.

If only ... 

Meanwhile,  the pond has gone way beyond the point of tariff and clown carnival fatigue, but here we are again.

Of course the pond could join the Duttonator in his march against the Chinese in the north ... as usual the reptiles were keen for a war on China (and never mind who set up the lease) ...



Across in the extreme far right section, the pond could marvel at Dame Slap's blather at the radical left's march through the institutions, thereby ignoring the Cantaloupe Caligula's long march through News Corp...



A few of these offerings could serve as meretricious fodder for a meaningless Sunday meditation, but duty is duty, and key reptiles were still well down the mango Mussolini path ...

The Ughmann was showing signs of FAFO fatigue, and so went full tyke, as if that was some kind of solution ...



For those interested in the text portions of that opener, the header was a howl of despair: Labor, Coalition are failing to grasp that the world we knew is gone, The fundamental ideas that grounded us are shifting, for better or for worse. What is for sure; we will miss America when it is gone.

It was a seven minute read, so the reptiles said, and should someone just have come in from Mars with Uncle Leon, the snap was identified, US President Donald Trump pumps his fist after delivering remarks on reciprocal tariffs at the White House on Thursday. Picture: AFP

And there was that usual, strange, deeply weird advice, This article contains features which are only available in the web version, Take me there

Let us go there together, muttering Agnus Dei, qui tollis peccata mundi, miserere nobis.

It is Lent. For Christians it’s a time to contemplate the great arc of their faith: life, death and resur­rection.
Whether you believe or not, there is beauty in the thought that hope can triumph over death. That life has a meaning science will never measure, a truth that can be revealed only by artists, musicians, poets and prophets.
The old faith is ebbing. Many would not now make the connection between the story of Christ and the holiday they enjoy as Lent ends.
They probably wonder why the date moves from year to year. The cross on the Easter bun is no more than a decoration. The season is now, for many, unintelligible, meaningless.
But this year Lent has given everyone pause to wonder about their beliefs.
It’s a time to ponder the twilight of a global order we took for granted. Time to marvel at the death of a secular faith: that the liberal, rules-based, democratic world would endure, expand and shelter us.

Oh FFS, does he really think the long absent lord is going to get us out of this man- and Faux Noise-made mess, especially when entirely meaningless visuals are added to his word stew? The new US tariffs imposed on China were far higher than Beijing had expected. Picture: AFP



Then came the Ginsbergian howl, the cry of despair.

On one level, President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs are just another trade distortion in a world already thick with them.
China manipulates its currency, subsidises whole industries and, as Australia has learned, uses trade as a weapon. The EU throws up regulatory walls and slaps carbon levies on imports from countries that don’t share its ideology.
But what makes this moment different is not the act but the actor. The US built the architecture of the post-war order: rules, alliances, institutions, open markets. Now it is walking away from all of it. The tariffs are another milestone on America’s march out of its own design.

How to handle the sobbing? How to deal with the incessant AV distractions that interrupt the flow President Trump spoke to reporters on board Air Force One, a day after he announced a 10% across-the-board tariff on U.S. imports.



The pond suggests sipping on the Ughmann's tears, perhaps fortified with the odd 'toon ...



On and on he sobbed ...

We now stand in the ruins of an empire of ideas fading like breath on a mirror.
Under Trump, allies are treated as rivals. Trade agreements are scorned. The moral confidence that once underpinned American power has curdled into grievance. There is no longer any real sense that the republic sees itself as steward of the global commons. It has grown weary of the burden and suspicious of those who once walked with it.
Australia was one of those nations.
A loyal foot soldier. We echoed the “rules-based order” rhetoric. We stood for the anthem. We sent troops to every war, no matter how senseless. Our soldiers died in the name of “alliance maintenance”.
We bet everything on the staying power of the idea of America, in the hope that it bought us security. But it was just an idea. A gamble. And Australia’s major parties never imagined it could be a busted flush.
Maybe Trump is doing us a favour. Maybe the liberal world order that Western politicians lauded was always an illusion. A long peace, for some, mistaken for permanence.

For some bizarre reason, the reptiles felt the need to repeat that mantra in a caption for yet another snap, Maybe Trump is doing us a favour by breaking the illusion of the liberal world order. Picture: AFP



Getting run over by a tank is some sort of favour?



Deeply weird, deeply cilice style masochistic Catholic shyte ...

Rules observed only in the service of the strong. Rules built on democratic and human rights follies that countries such as China and Russia always scorned.
Now, that illusion is breaking.
This is no small thing. Even a myth has value. Paper money is no more than a promise of payment, it isn’t actually worth anything. Ideas are how we make sense of the world and when ideas change, the world changes.
As Gustave Le Bon wrote in 1895: “The memorable events of history are the visible effects of the invisible changes in human thought.”
This is a time of memorable events because the fundamental ideas that grounded us are shifting. And while America retreats, China advances with the grim assurance of a returning empire. This new settlement will be much worse for Australia than the old one. We will miss America when it is gone.

But Faux Noise still marches on, and had the pleasure of watching capitalism at work in all its madness, Conservative cable channel Newsmax shares plunge 77% after a dizzying 2-day surge ...

Quick, look away, look to the threat from the north only the Duttonator can stop, Chinese President Xi Jinping has predicted the world in chaos with “great change”. Picture: Getty Images



The hapless Ughmann remained in melancholy mood and mode... what of the war on China?

President Xi Jinping has read the signs of the times better than most. He speaks of a world undergoing “great change unseen in a century”.
“The most important characteristic of the world is, in a word, chaos,” Xi said, “and this trend appears likely to continue.”
We should be at least as concerned about the order Xi hopes to build as the one Trump wants to abandon.
Here the Albanese government is labouring under its own illusion – the belief that China can be managed as long as there is official silence on the long list of things Beijing finds irksome.
The government celebrates the end of China’s trade sanctions as proof that this plan is working. China’s ambassador to Australia has declared “relations have stabilised, improved and achieved a comprehensive turnaround” since the end of the Morrison government.
But all governments should be judged by their deeds, not their words. Based on this, where do we stand?

Where do we stand? Why we stand with another reptile AV distraction, Sky News Business Editor Ross Greenwood has examined the ASX 200 which has seen a "pretty heavy fall" after opening on Friday. The results follow US President Donald Trump's recent sweeping tariff announcements.



Speaking of things swept from mind by the latest ruckus ...



Back to the war on China, because that's the best distraction the reptiles have got at the moment ...

In February 2025, China sent three warships on a mission to circumnavigate Australia and conduct live-fire exercises in the Tasman Sea with minimal notice.
This forced the rerouting of 49 commercial flights. In response, Anthony Albanese said the warships were operating legally in international waters but a protest had been lodged with Beijing because more notice should have been given of the live fire.
The government’s disposition was that this event was unremarkable. But ponder this: there has not been a shot fired off Australia’s coast by a non-Allied power since the Imperial Japanese Navy sunk ships in World War II.
China showed us what gunboat diplomacy looks like and we met it with a whimper. Beijing now knows that our navy is incapable of circumnavigating our own coastline.
Now a Chinese research vessel has been observed travelling along Australia’s southern coast, closely shadowing key undersea communication cables.
Albanese says that while he would prefer the ship were not there, its activities are unremarkable and Australian agencies are monitoring its movements.
We speak sotto voce as China bellows: we are here and your world has changed. It does not seek war, it seeks submission. It seeks to underline our weakness and interprets silence as surrender. With each step back we take it will step forward.
Surely this should be at least as disturbing to the political class as a US-instigated trade war.
These are not just geopolitical moves. They are spiritual tremors. We once believed the future belonged to openness, to freedom, to democracy. That technology would flatten borders. That engagement would tame ambition. Instead, we are seeing the return of something older, darker, more primal: the logic of empires. The raw assertion of power.
The election campaign is a daily pantomime that screams we are not ready for this era. Not strategically, not economically and certainly not intellectually. Because to prepare would require naming the change. It would demand saying out loud what many fear to even think: that the world we knew is gone.
If appearances are any guide neither the ALP nor the Coalition has begun to grasp the scale of this moment.
The daily campaign fare is a study in tactics. The only thought on display about geopolitics is how it can be leveraged for a victory in May. If there is any strategic thinking beyond that it is well disguised.

Amazingly the reptiles decided to interrupt with an AV distraction suggesting that King Donald was on track in Ukraine, US President Donald Trump claims the government is “spearheading the drive” to get a deal done on a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia. “We have an envoy from Russia, we’re talking about it, we’d like to see that stop as soon as possible because thousands of people are being killed,” President Trump said. “We’re spearheading the drive to get it done. Europe has not been successful in dealing with President Putin, but I think I will be successful.”



Apparently the reptiles forgot how Fortress America is relating to the world ...



The real reason for all the whimpering and crying? Won't someone think of the Duttonator, left out on his own DOGE limb ...

You can understand Labor’s thinking. Contempt has consequences. In Canada, Trump’s bullying has done what Justin Trudeau could not – revive long-dormant national pride and the hopes of the Liberal Party as that nation heads to the polls.
In Trump’s rhetorical wake, the once sky-high ambitions of a conservative landslide have dropped like a stone.
This should terrify the Coalition. Walking in the President’s shadow may work in Scranton or Miami but it’s a much harder sell in Sydney or Melbourne.
Claiming you are better able to deal with him may be interpreted as being the best mate of the guy in the bar with the broken bottle in his hand.
Labor will seize the opportunity to tie the Coalition to every part of the Trump agenda that unsettles Australians. There are already signs he is a drag on the Coalition’s ticket.
The Coalition derides Albanese as “weak” but there seems to be no credible idea about how to make Australia strong.

At this point, the reptiles slipped in a snap for those in the hive mind who'd forgotten the leadership, The difference between the major parties led by Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton are largely at the margins. Picture: AFP



That produced a final, seemingly endless bout of whimpering and whining ...

The differences between major parties are largely at the margins. And when the dust settles on this campaign, what plan does either party have to navigate this new era? Our politics remains rooted in a world that no longer exists.
There is no sense of emergency, no organising vision, no admission that the assumptions of the past have collapsed. We are left with technocratic managerialism at the end of history.
By their actions in this campaign the major parties clearly demonstrate the belief that Australians won’t do hard things. That they are not capable of understanding that when the world changes, we must change – and that demands tough choices.
It is time for difficult conversations and some hard decisions. We need to talk about trade-offs. We need to review all spending and build financial buffers, and that means some will lose benefits. We cannot keep borrowing to fund our lifestyle. We must prepare for shocks – economic, military, political.
The bipartisan embrace of net zero is a fool’s errand that needs to end. In the real world, countries responsible for 60 per cent of global emissions have no intention of hitting this target. If we continue to pursue it we will make ourselves poor and next to net-zero effect on cutting global emissions.

Ah, the pond knew that link would come in handy,  ‘Same shit, different year’: Australia records hottest 12 months and warmest March on record, ANU climate scientist says ‘everyone is getting fatigued these records keep falling – it’s now incredibly predictable’.

Back to the liturgy and an Ancient Mariner determined to bring on hope in the form of invisible beings...

We sit on some of the richest energy resources in the world. If we do not harness them now, we will be weaker in the only terms that matter: industrial strength, national income and energy security. We cannot afford policies that privilege ideology over sovereignty.
In foreign policy we should do what we can to keep the US engaged in our region because, right now, we are incapable of defending ourselves. But we must spend more on defence and assume there will be no nuclear-powered submarines. Our goal should be clear: defend the homeland and make Australia a hard target.
Making Australia a hard target also means ensuring that we take social cohesion and foreign interference in our internal affairs seriously. The real threat to the nation is not war but comes in the grey zone of cyber theft and attacks, the insidious nature of some social media, the coercion of our people and the sinister voices of those who seek to divide us.
It is Lent. The lesson from the season is that we should never despair. There is always hope, no matter how difficult the times may seem.
But it is a time of reckoning. A time to contemplate what must die and what must be reborn.

Oh FFS, why if you watch Faux Noise, there's hope in abundance, an entire new range of classy models are going to be reborn in the showroom...



Anyone who has made it thus far would think it couldn't get any worse.

But it can ... "Ned's" Everest this day was an unholy 11 minute read.

The reptiles flung every visual distraction that they could find to help the hive minders make it to the end, but it was a struggle from the get go, with the reptiles offering up a truly feeble gif with floating thingies as the starter ...



For those wanting the text, there was the header, Unleashed Trump goes rogue before the world, The immediate task is to stay calm, keep making the trade argument for a concession but take the essential leap to greater defence self-reliance, and there was that weird injunction once again, This article contains features which are only available in the web version, Take me there

There we are ... standing by for "Ned" in full Chicken Little mode ...

The US, under Don­ald Trump, has gone rogue. Trump is now unleashed in his full devastating consequences. His exec­utive order seeks to dismantle the world trade system originating from 1947, threatening disruption, recessions and a new protectionist Fortress America.
Trump’s new tariff regime is the final termination of the age of trade liberalisation and globalisation that has lifted incomes around the world and been pivotal in Australia’s prosperity. His tariffs have been almost universally rejected by other nations and are imposed on countries whether “friend or foe”, revealing Trump discounts any strategic partnerships and historical ties in his pursuit of an inward-looking, protectionist America.

After just two pars came another visual distraction, Revealing the depth of his paranoia about free trade, Donald Trump casts America as the victim of the trade system. Picture: Saul Loeb/AFP



"Ned" whimpered on ...

His executive order is one of the most important documents emerging from the White House since World War II. It repudiates, literally, the foundations of the post-war trade prosperity model. It will transform the world economic order, risk a global trade war, further undermine trade links between the US and China, deepen the harm to the once prized system of US alliances and have grave implications for the world strategic order. The initial rout on Wall Street is entirely predictable.
Revealing the depth of his paranoia about free trade, Trump casts America as the victim of the trade system, saying: “For decades, our country has been looted, pillaged, raped and plundered by nations near and far, both friend and foe alike.” Casting America as the victim and himself as the liberator, Trump is likely to win immediate electoral kudos at home.

Immediately there was an AV distraction, with the dog botherer also whining and moaning, Sky News host Chris Kenny discusses President Donald Trump taking “aim” at the world with a 10 per cent tariff on every country. “Donald Trump took aim at the world today including Australia, this was classic isolationist Trump, turning his back on countries abroad, friends and foes alike,” Mr Kenny said. “In order to trumpet populist protectionist economics for his domestic audience.”



Why no clips from Faux Noise? 

Have faith, have trust, have Ughmann style hope, the "Judge" will set you right  ....Jeanine Pirro: “I don't really care about my 401(k) today. You know why?... I believe in this man.”, Pirro: “Donald Trump is the only one who can do it”



It's boom times for Media Matters and those interested in Faux Noise's contributions to the mess, but on all that "Ned" is strangely silent, preferring his own brand of whining ...

But his revolution will come with higher inflation in the US, a loss of investor confidence and the prospect of trade retaliation from other nations. Trump misconstrues the meaning of tariffs, denies they function as a tax and proclaims a new golden age for the US with its industry being reborn. The hope, perhaps forlorn, for a reprieve may arise when the economic damage to America becomes manifest.
While Trump has some justification in China’s manipulation of trade rules, his assault on the global system is a false and chaotic answer. The calculations that form the basis of his “reciprocal” tariffs are imprecise or fraudulent. The rational assessment is that these are not serious people – yet they have the power to change the world, a pointer to genuine danger.

Then came another visual interruption, The new US tariffs imposed on China were far higher than Beijing had expected. Picture: AFP



Not a mindless repeat of that bloody meaningless snap of a meaningless container ship laden with meaningless boxes ...

Sheesh reptiles, you don't make navigating the hive mind an easy experience ...

Trump signals he will now be ready to negotiate with other leaders with his executive order providing for him to ease or increase his tariffs, depending on the response. China, the EU and Canada are likely to retaliate. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned nations that retaliated would face even higher tariffs and said: “As long as you don’t retaliate this is the high end of the number.”
Trump imposes so-called reciprocal tariffs on many nations and also imposes a 10 per cent “baseline” tariff on any nation selling into the US market.
The upshot is Trump’s tariff on China’s goods is now 54 per cent (the new 34 per cent added to the existing 20 per cent) while other tariffs include the EU 20 per cent, Japan 24 per cent, South Korea 26 per cent, Taiwan 32 per cent, India 27 per cent and Indonesia 32 per cent. Australia’s new tariff is the baseline 10 per cent.

Wary that "Ned's" incessant whining was wearing, the reptiles hastily flung in another Sky Noise down under distraction, Trade Minister Don Farrell has described US President Donald Trump’s move to slug Australia with a 10 per cent tariff as a “bad decision”. “We want to continue discussions with the United States government to get that 10 per cent tariff reversed,” he told Sky News Australia. “I see yesterday as the start of another process with the United States government where we sit down with them – cooly, calmly, constructively – and work through what they think are the issues between our two countries and, as we did with China, get those tariffs removed.”



Where's the hope? Sean's full of hope, or full of something, Sean Hannity offers tariff prediction: “My level of confidence is pretty near 100% that this is all going to work out fine”


How can "Ned" ignore the tremendous work of his American kissing cousins, dissing the neighsayers? Is "Ned" something of a neigher, or a brayer, himself?

Australia is damaged but gets off with the least worst harm. Trump’s “reciprocal” calculations in relation to Australia are fraudulent since we impose virtually no tariffs on US exports to this country. Australia is not specifically targeted.
But this is a direct assault on Australia’s trade, agricultural exports, our beef industry and economic interests levied by our traditional alliance partner on an unjustified basis. The real impact on Australia will arise from the wider attack on world trade and economic growth from Trump’s unprecedented actions. The upshot is likely to see the Reserve Bank shift more to interest rate cuts.
Anthony Albanese said the tariffs on Australia were “totally unwarranted”. He said: “The administration’s tariffs have no basis in logic and go against the basis of our two nations’ partnership. This is not the act of a friend.” The Prime Minister said any reciprocal tariff for Australia would be zero, not 10 per cent.
In a direct repudiation of Trump, Albanese said the decisions “will push up costs for American households” and that it was “the American people who will pay the biggest price for these unjustified tariffs”. For that reason Australia would not retaliate by seeking to impose its own reciprocal tariffs on America. This is a sound decision. Retaliation by Australia would be counter-productive.

Then came another visual distraction, Anthony Albanese – accompanied on the campaign trail in Victoria by Foreign Minister Penny Wong and Trade Minister Don Farrell – speaks on tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump. Picture: Jason Edwards / NewsWire



"Ned" had a panic attack about what this might mean for the Duttonator ...

Albanese was strong but measured, careful not to personalise an attack on Trump. Significantly, Albanese issued two warnings: our shared friendship and alliance were bigger than this “poor decision” by Trump and his decision “will have consequences for how Australians see this relationship”. But Trump doesn’t care how other nations regard him. Indeed, he will risk recession to impose his trade dogma.
This is a hostile act against Australia. Most Australians, unimpressed by Trump, will turn further against him. Trump’s decision inevitably injects him into the Australian election campaign. But the pro-Trump bandwagon in Australia, already badly depleted, will soon resemble a broken jalopy.
Albanese and Peter Dutton have a near identical policy response to Trump’s tariffs, rejecting them and pledging to negotiate a better deal. Yet Trump’s intervention is likelier to favour Albanese, who has spelt out a firm position in the national interest. Albanese will depict the Opposition Leader as closer to Trump and the risk for the Coalition lies in a mini Canada effect.

There immediately followed yet another AV distraction with a very long caption, helping explain that things might not be so grum ...

The Australian agricultural industry is bracing for impact from the recent 10 per cent tariff imposed on goods exported to the US, with the beef and canola sectors expected to be particularly affected. According to Dennis Voznesenski, agricultural economist at CBA, the beef industry is likely to bear the brunt of the tariffs. "Beef is likely to be the one that is most impacted and most directly impacted by the 10 per cent tariff," he explained in an interview with Sky News Business Editor Ross Greenwood. However, Mr Voznesenski noted that the timing of the tariffs might actually be at a relatively favourable time. “Last year, around 28 -29 per cent of all of our beef exports went to the US, but it actually might be at a relatively favourable time,” he said. “The US is desperately short of beef. They have a cattle herd that's the lowest in multiple decades, and their beef demand is still incredibly strong. “So the question is, yes, one, the tariffs are getting put on, but who wears the burden in the end? “Because the US importers, do they actually have the ability to negotiate for us to take the burden on it? I don't think so. “They just don't have enough beef, and they really need it at the moment.”



That's the spirit, that's the Laura message ... Laura Ingraham: “I personally know a lot of people who are buying into this market. That's how people always make money.”



Poor "Ned" didn't seem to understand, and wasn't buying ...

Conservative parties in Western democracies are being undermined by potential similarity with Trump. Being seen to be a better manager of Trump – or close to Trump – is more a negative than a plus. The Coalition badly misjudged Trump and now is stranded, engaged in a U-turn. Dutton’s response on Thursday was tactically flawed. For months he has been locked into the Coalition negative campaign insisting any problem in the Trump relationship was the fault of Albanese and Kevin Rudd. When no other leader won an exemption from Trump’s recent tariffs on steel and aluminium, Dutton blamed Labor, making the spurious claim he could have got an exemption.
This week Dutton doubled down on his tactical blunder – engaging in the absurd pretence that, unique among world leaders, he could have achieved a better deal for our country over the 10 per cent tariffs. Who would be fool enough to believe this? Dutton blames Albanese for Trump’s tariffs on Australia – yet that is obviously false. The person to blame is Trump. Trump’s mission was to dismantle the liberal trade system, punishing enemies and allies alike, and that would have included Dutton had he been prime minister.

At this point the reptiles introduced a piece of "artwork" - the pond hesitates to defame art, but the reptiles do it regularly, The Trump factor makes it harder for Peter Dutton to prosecute Anthony Albanese’s obsessive accommodation of China. Artwork: Frank Ling




Oh Frank, just stop, stop it at once, all that does is make the pond feel queasy and remind the pond of that recent king tide taking out Sydney beaches ...

The pond has to focus on "Ned" ...

Dutton says he would use the critical minerals card in negotiations with Trump. But Labor has used this for weeks in its intense negotiations with the Trump administration. Nothing new there. Dutton cannot offer any reasons why he could get a better deal from Trump and has to fall back on the past success of the Turnbull and Morrison governments, but that is irrelevant now. The related problem for Dutton is that the Trump factor makes it harder for the Coalition to get clean air on Albanese’s real security weakness – his obsessive accommodation of China at the precise time when China’s navy engages in great power provocation of Australia, an omen of our future.
Albanese cannot summon the strength to even address China’s provocation and engages in virtual excuses for the activities of its navy, even pretending that an Australian ship in the South China Sea is equivalent to Chinese navy intelligence-gathering activities off Australia’s coastline. Why didn’t Dutton run a tactic of political unification on Trump and maximum differentiation on China? When, pray, will the Coalition release its increased defence budget and will the increase be meaningful?

Lest anyone think that "Ned" had gone a little hard on the Duttonator, the reptiles wheeled in the dog botherer to give Albo a hard time,  Sky News host Chris Kenny says Anthony Albanese’s “weakness” on China is on display for the Australian people. Mr Kenny said Labor’s handling of China in the lead-up to the election is a “major vulnerability” for the party. “Beijing has come out strongly on Albo’s side, the communist regime have praised their handsome boy. “It all stems back to how our prime minister has rolled over in the face of Chinese intimidation.”



It didn't really help, "Ned" was determined to be gloomy ...

Albanese, in addition, faces the task of quarantining anti-Trump hostility from spilling into the alliance and reinforcing the campaign against AUKUS and its nuclear-powered submarine agreement to which Labor is committed. During the election campaign, at least, it is vital for Labor to keep the broader strategic relationship separate from Trump’s trade campaign against Australia.
Yet the pressure for a rethink of the alliance partnership will intensify; witness the Malcolm Turnbull-inspired conference in Canberra last Monday.
Speaking at this conference three days before Trump’s tariff statement, Heather Smith, former departmental chief and G20 sherpa for the Abbott government at the 2014 summit, offered a prescient analysis: “The fragmentation of the international economic system is now a fact. The US is dismantling the foundations of its global hegemony, along with the norms and values that have underpinned the US-Australia relationship. And this dismantling cannot be reversed by a change of administration; once gone, always gone!

At this point the reptiles seemed to want to become a broadcaster, providing The latest news from Australia and around the world.



What a relief the pond can only provide an indicative screen cap, while "Ned" rambled on, deep in the thickets of despair, or ennui, for those crying out "that's way more than enough already" ...

It's hard having to quote the thoughts of others to boost the word count:

“The US has adopted a mercantilist view of the world with conflicting goals, where tariffs are the answer to everything. We are in uncharted waters. It will be lonelier and more fraught for Australia in this multipolar world, as demonstrated by both the US and China having engaged in economic coercion against us.”
Smith argued that in this world a strong, reform-based Australian economy was essential now as a national security policy imperative. Obviously, this should be the Coalition brief – yet it lacks an economic reform-based agenda for the 2025 election. Major problem.
The nation seems immobilised before the looming crisis identified by Smith: how to balance our interests in a world where the US retreats from the global order and China positions to become the regional hegemon “earlier than ever it expected.”
Unsurprisingly, Paul Keating seized on what he saw as the transformation inherent in Trump’s assault on the global trade system.
“Today’s tariff announcements change the world geo-economic settings and, with it, the world’s geo-strategic settings,” Keating said. He said the phalanx of American acolytes in Australia “must have choked on their breakfasts as Donald Trump laid out his blitzkrieg on globalisation, with all its implications for the rupture of co-operation and goodwill among nations.
“The announcement represents the effective death knell of NATO, a severing that will inform all other allied relationships with America including ANZUS with Australia.”

The reptiles doubled down with two huge snaps, Malcolm Turnbull addresses the National Press Club on ‘Sovereignty and Security - Australia and the new world disorder’. Picture: NewsWire / Martin Ollman, Paul Keating seized on what he saw as the transformation inherent in Trump’s assault on the global trade system. Picture: Mick Tsikas-Pool/Getty Images


 


The pond can't remember a time when the reptiles needed to interrupt "Ned" with so many visual distractions, but lordy lordy, were they needed, or what ...

Neither Labor nor Coalition will accept this view. Nor should they. Australia must await Trump’s plans for the Indo-Pacific where he can be expected to uphold the alliance with Australia.
Our immediate task is to stay calm, navigate the best strategic passage with Trump, keep making the trade argument for a trade concession but take the essential leap to a bigger defence budget and more defence self-reliance.
Trump’s response to the sharemarket rout and massive criticism of his tariff decision was predictable: he doubled down. On Wall Street the S&P 500 fell almost 5 per cent, the worst result since mid-2020. Trump delivered the immortal line: “Remember there are no tariffs if you build your plant or make your product in the US.”

Just a few pars and then came another visual distraction, Sky News US Analyst Michael Ware spoke on the recent tariffs put on by US President Donald Trump claiming that consumer confidence is “absolutely plunging”. Mr Ware claimed the American economy will “stagnate” and prices will "just go up”. “There’s a trade war, it’s going to lead to a trust deficit … and the downstream effects politically could most hurt the Trump MAGA base.”



Consumer confidence is plunging? Not so fast, trust Jesse ... Jesse Watters: “If you're worried cars are going to cost more, buy American”



It was at this point that the pond realised that the more links it provided to Faux Noise distractions, the longer it would take to get to the end of an interminable "Ned" ... 

Bloomberg columnist John Authers said: “Tariffs at these levels would turn America into its own economic island, trading only with itself. Horizontal links with the rest of the world are out.
“Yes, the globalised status quo isn’t working, but it’s difficult to see how this will be any better. Back-of-envelope math suggests that this is even bigger than the Smoot-Hawley tariffs at the beginning of the Great Depression.”
The Wall Street Journal said: “There will certainly be higher costs for American consumers and businesses. Tariffs are taxes and when you tax something you get less of it. Car prices will rise by thousands of dollars, including those made in America.
“Mr Trump is making a deliberate decision to transfer wealth from consumers to businesses and workers protected from competition behind high tariff walls. Over time this will mean the gradual erosion of US competitiveness. The cost in lost American influence will be considerable. Mr Trump’s new tariff onslaught is giving China another opening to use its large market to court American allies.”

Quick, another distraction, wheel in some more containers, US hikes China tariffs to 54%, scraps $800 duty-free loophole; Beijing vows retaliation as ASEAN supply chains reel from new duties.



"Ned" was still being devastated...

Asia has been particularly hard hit. Trade diplomacy will get turbocharged and Australia, presumably, will be involved. Already Japan and South Korea are talking with China about a form of co-ordinated response.
Frankly, these decisions reveal Trump to be brain-dead in terms of national interest economic and strategic sentiment in Asia. While Trump demands that allies do more and spend more on their own defence, he punishes them with high tariffs and says allies are often worse than enemies in their use of tariffs. He is clueless about trade policy as an instrument of broader strategic policy. He is alienating most nations in Asia – whether America’s partners or not – and virtually inviting them into deeper economic dialogue with China.
This is a devastating blow for Australian foreign policy.

Not another meaningless visual distraction, China was always destined to be the target of Trump’s punishing tariffs, however it’s the rest of Asia that has been sent reeling by the trade hit. An electronic board shows Japan’s Nikkei 225 index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange on Thursday. Picture: AFP



Look, it's just a learning moment ...



At this point the pond thought that "Ned" had reached a conclusion ...

The only conclusion is that Trump’s America has no viable trade and economic game plan for Asia to serve as a counterpoint to China, the precise role Australia wants the US to play.
In the process Trump undermines the image of the US as a trusting and responsible nation on whom other countries can rely as a great power. This confirms his determination to end America’s role as a post-war economic and strategic guardian of the global system in favour of a rudimentary withdrawal, perhaps even to the Western Hemisphere.
As Bob Carr told Sky News this week, Trump’s tariff decisions destroy the mantra of his apologists that Trump should be taken seriously but not literally. Wrong – he must be taken literally.
Think about Greenland, Panama, Ukraine and Canada. Trump says the US “will get Greenland”. New Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney says Canada’s relationship with the US based on economic integration and security co-operation is “over”.
Trump does not just view tariffs as a bargaining tool. He sees them as pivotal to the re-industrialisation of America, the curing of its trade deficit and as a revenue mechanism to reduce personal income tax. He embarks on an experiment plagued with contradictions and a change agenda where his success is improbable.
Financial Times trade policy analyst Alan Beattie said: “This isn’t part of a carefully designed industrial policy or a cunning strategy to induce compliance among trading partners or a choreographed appearance of chaos to scare other governments into obedience. It’s wildly destructive stupidity.”

It seems that the local reptiles had finally caught up with the work of their kissing cousins in Faux Noise, and that this was the final visual interruption, Trump’s tariff table includes entities that are not even countries. Picture: Brendan Smialowski/AFP



Could the pond provide its own final 'toon supplement?



And so to a final mercifully short "Ned" summation ... (if only he'd been this pithy earlier, and cut the read down to five minutes) ...

The incompetence of Trump’s tariff table is an insult to US governance. It includes entities that are not even countries. This administration is a danger to itself and the world.
The core of the problem is the erosion of trust in the US. Trump’s intellectual failure is his view of trade and tariffs as a zero-sum game – gains for one nation are losses for another nation.
Having an American president embracing this false proposition and then making global policy based on this falsity will not only damage global growth but generate trade resentments on top of existing strategic rivalries.
Trump will punish all other nations in his quest to “Make America Great Again”. There will be many unpredictable consequences but one guaranteed consequence – he will turn people and nations against America, and that’s a tragedy.

Of course "Ned" didn't get to the heart of the incompetence.

For that you have to look elsewhere.

After joining the "Elbows Up" movement, and reviving an acquaintance with CBC, one pleasure has been watching Andrew Chang's segment About That. This episode was about those tariffs, and the calculations to arrive at them, and shows the difficulty of applying logic and reason when confronted by narcissistic insanity, with neither the Ughmann's "hope" or "Ned's" endless pomposity helping ...